- The Nuggets (49-24) are -2.5 favorites vs. the Bucks (53-20)
- Total (Over/Under): 236.5 points
- Saturday, March 25, 2023 at 9:00pm EDT
- Watch the game on NBA TV & NBA TV
The Milwaukee Bucks visit Ball Arena to take on the Denver Nuggets on Saturday. Tipoff is scheduled for 9:00pm EDT in Denver.
The Nuggets are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-110).
The Bucks vs Nuggets Over/Under is 237.5 total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Bucks are 40-28 against the spread, while the Nuggets are 39-33 against the spread.
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Bucks vs. Nuggets Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
Milwaukee Bucks | +3.5 -110 | O 237.5 -110 | +135 |
Denver Nuggets | -3.5 -110 | U 237.5 -110 | -160 |
Nuggets vs Bucks Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Nuggets will win Saturday‘s game with 55.7% confidence.
Nuggets vs Bucks Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Nuggets will cover the spread for Saturday‘s game with 51.0% confidence.
These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Bucks and Nuggets, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.
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Bucks Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 61 of their last 94 games (+24.60 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Bucks have covered the 1Q Spread in 55 of their last 90 games (+17.45 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the Moneyline in 59 of their last 83 games (+15.50 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the Game Total Under in 29 of their last 42 away games (+14.70 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 54 of their last 90 games (+13.98 Units / 14% ROI)
Nuggets Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 49 of their last 69 games (+26.37 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the Moneyline in 26 of their last 30 games at home (+15.60 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 26 of their last 35 games at home (+11.10 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the Team Total Over in 17 of their last 23 games at home (+10.10 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 20 of their last 29 games (+9.70 Units / 29% ROI)
Milwaukee Bucks Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Bucks have gone 40-28 (+9.2 Units / 11.46% ROI).
- 53-20 against the Moneyline (+12.6 Units / 5.98% ROI)
- 35-38 against the Over for game total points (-6.8 Units / -8.47% ROI)
- 38-35 against the Under for game total points (-0.5 Units / -0.62% ROI)
Denver Nuggets Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Nuggets have gone 39-33 (+2.7 Units / 3.36% ROI).
- 49-24 against the Moneyline (+4.75 Units / 2.31% ROI)
- 36-37 against the Over for game total points (-4.7 Units / -5.85% ROI)
- 37-36 against the Under for game total points (-2.6 Units / -3.24% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Nuggets:
- The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 20 of their last 69 games (-35.22 Units / -45% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 36 of their last 86 games (-26.52 Units / -24% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have only covered the 4Q Spread in 36 of their last 86 games (-19.47 Units / -21% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 45 of their last 86 games (-18.42 Units / -13% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 44 of their last 85 games (-17.40 Units / -11% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Bucks:
- The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 33 of their last 94 games (-34.20 Units / -33% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 41 of their last 94 games (-31.33 Units / -23% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 38 of their last 94 games (-25.53 Units / -24% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 48 of their last 91 games (-21.01 Units / -14% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the Game Total Over in 13 of their last 42 away games (-18.90 Units / -41% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Milwaukee Bucks
- Keys to Winning for the Denver Nuggets
- Player Injuries for Milwaukee Bucks vs. Denver Nuggets
- Milwaukee Bucks Offensive stats
- Denver Nuggets Offensive stats
- Milwaukee Bucks Defensive stats
- Denver Nuggets Defensive stats
Milwaukee Bucks: Keys to the Game vs. the Denver Nuggets
The Bucks are 51-8 (.864) when scoring 15 or more fastbreak points since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .564
The Bucks are 42-15 (.737) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .548
The Bucks are 44-16 (.733) when shooting 80% or better from the free throw line since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .556
The Bucks are 70-6 (.921) when forcing an eFG of 50% or worse since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .774
Denver Nuggets: Keys to the Game vs. the Milwaukee Bucks
The Nuggets are 45-16 (.738) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .541
The Nuggets are 29-9 (.763) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .566
The Nuggets are 16-5 (.762) when attempting 25 or more free throws this season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .531
The Nuggets are 13-9 (.591) when allowing 15 or more second chance points this season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .468
Injury Report: Nuggets vs. Bucks – Saturday‘s Game, Mar. 25
- Collin Gillespie (Nuggets): Gillespie has not played this season and no timetable has been announced for his return.
- Meyers Leonard (Bucks): Leonard did not play in Friday’s game (Mar. 24).
- Goran Dragic (Bucks): Dragic hasn’t played since Feb. 13 against Orlando and remains without a timetable to return.
- Jae Crowder (Bucks): Crowder did not play in Friday’s game (Mar. 24).
Milwaukee Bucks Offensive Stats & Trends
The Bucks are shooting 43% from three (144/338) in the last two weeks — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 37%
The Bucks have averaged 57.8 points per game (12,827 points/222 games) in the second half since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 55.0
The Bucks have made 14.9 three-pointers per game this season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.3
The Bucks have made 14.4 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.4
Denver Nuggets Offensive Stats & Trends
The Nuggets are shooting 51% (5,068/9,911) in the first half since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%
The Nuggets are shooting 51% (3,413/6,651) in the first half since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%
The Nuggets are shooting 52% (1,623/3,125) at home this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 48%
The Nuggets have an eFG% of 58% in the first half since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 54%
Milwaukee Bucks Defensive Stats & Trends
The Bucks have averaged 39.3 defensive rebounds per game (8,716 rebounds/222 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36.0
The Bucks have averaged 39.8 defensive rebounds per game (2,705 rebounds/68 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
The Bucks have averaged 39.1 defensive rebounds per game (5,866 rebounds/150 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.8
The Bucks have averaged 4.5 blocks per game (998 blocks/222 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7
Denver Nuggets Defensive Stats & Trends
The Nuggets have averaged 4.2 blocks per game (928 blocks/222 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7
The Nuggets have averaged 4.0 blocks per game (308 blocks/77 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8
The Nuggets have 513 steals this season — 10th most among NBA teams
The Nuggets have averaged 4.0 blocks per game (605 blocks/150 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7
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