Bucks vs Pistons Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Apr. 8

• The Pistons are -18.5 favorites vs. the Bucks
• Total (Over/Under): 220.5 points
• Watch the game on FDDT | FDWI

The Milwaukee Bucks visit Little Caesars Arena to take on the Detroit Pistons on Wednesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:00 pm in Detroit, MI.

The Pistons are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -18.5 (-115).

The Bucks vs Pistons Over/Under is 220.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Bucks are 35-44 against the spread, while the Pistons are 42-37 against the spread.

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Bucks vs. Pistons Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

Pistons vs Bucks Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Pistons will win Wednesday‘s game with 78.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Bucks and Pistons.

Pistons vs Bucks Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Bucks will cover the spread for Wednesday‘s game with 67.4% confidence.

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Bucks Best Bets for Tonight:

• The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the Team Total Under in 27 of their last 40 away games (+12.10 Units / 27% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the Game Total Under in 26 of their last 40 away games (+10.60 Units / 24% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 17 of their last 24 away games (+9.15 Units / 34% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 14 of their last 24 away games (+7.65 Units / 29% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 13 of their last 18 away games (+7.30 Units / 35% ROI)

Pistons Best Bets for Tonight:

• The Detroit Pistons have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 29 of their last 40 games at home (+16.75 Units / 23% ROI)
• The Detroit Pistons have hit the 2H Moneyline in 24 of their last 30 games (+13.84 Units / 24% ROI)
• The Detroit Pistons have covered the 2H Spread in 21 of their last 30 games (+10.95 Units / 33% ROI)
• The Detroit Pistons have hit the 1H Moneyline in 26 of their last 35 games at home (+9.55 Units / 10% ROI)
• The Detroit Pistons have covered the 2Q Spread in 23 of their last 35 games at home (+9.35 Units / 23% ROI)

Milwaukee Bucks Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Bucks have gone 35-44 (-13.4 Units / -15.43% ROI).

• 31-48 against the Moneyline (-14.55 Units / -12.43% ROI)
• 36-43 against the Over for game total points (-11.3 Units / -13% ROI)
• 43-36 against the Under for game total points (+3.4 Units / 3.91% ROI)

Detroit Pistons Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Pistons have gone 42-37 (+1.35 Units / 1.55% ROI).

• 57-22 against the Moneyline (+10.05 Units / 3.95% ROI)
• 37-41 against the Over for game total points (-8.1 Units / -9.32% ROI)
• 41-37 against the Under for game total points (+0.3 Units / 0.35% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Pistons:

• The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 21 of their last 45 games at home (-17.10 Units / -21% ROI)
• The Detroit Pistons have only covered the 1Q Spread in 17 of their last 45 games at home (-15.30 Units / -29% ROI)
• The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 20 of their last 50 games (-14.60 Units / -25% ROI)
• The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 21 of their last 50 games (-12.65 Units / -22% ROI)
• The Detroit Pistons have only hit the Team Total Under in 18 of their last 45 games at home (-12.60 Units / -25% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Bucks:

• The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 11 of their last 45 games (-21.10 Units / -40% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the Team Total Over in 13 of their last 40 away games (-18.40 Units / -40% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 12 of their last 45 games (-16.15 Units / -31% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Bucks have only covered the 1Q Spread in 17 of their last 45 games (-15.15 Units / -29% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the Game Total Over in 14 of their last 40 away games (-14.60 Units / -33% ROI)

Jump to:

• Keys to Winning for the Milwaukee Bucks
• Keys to Winning for the Detroit Pistons
• Player Injuries for Milwaukee Bucks vs. Detroit Pistons
• Milwaukee Bucks Offensive stats
• Detroit Pistons Offensive stats
• Milwaukee Bucks Defensive stats
• Detroit Pistons Defensive stats

Milwaukee Bucks: Keys to the Game vs. the Detroit Pistons

The Bucks are winless (0-13) when their eFG is 50% or worse this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .218

The Bucks are 6-7 (.462) when attempting 25 or more free throws this season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .556

The Bucks are 22-1 (.957) when allowing fewer than 100 points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .916

The Bucks are 1-25 (.038) when their eFG is 50% or worse since the start of the 2024-25 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .199

Detroit Pistons: Keys to the Game vs. the Milwaukee Bucks

The Pistons are 5-1 (.833) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .397

The Pistons are 26-3 (.897) when shooting 50% or better from the field this season — tied for 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .785

The Pistons are 28-10 (.737) when allowing 15 or more second chance points this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .460

The Pistons are 54-20 (.730) when allowing 12 or more offensive rebounds this season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .502

Milwaukee Bucks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Bucks are shooting 52% (418/812) in close and late situations this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 46%

The Bucks are shooting 40% from three (639/1,585) at home this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Bucks have 19.0 free throw attempts per game this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 23.6

The Bucks have a TS% of 55% in close and late situations this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 49%

Detroit Pistons Offensive Stats & Trends

The Pistons have averaged 30.4 points in the paint per game (2,372 points/78 games) in the first half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 25.2

The Pistons have averaged 57.8 points in the paint per game (4,512 points/78 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 49.7

The Pistons have an eFG% of 48% in close and late situations this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 53%

The Pistons have averaged 58.4 points in the paint per game (2,276 points/39 games) at home this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 49.8

Milwaukee Bucks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Bucks have averaged 3.9 blocks per game (312 blocks/79 games) this season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8

The Bucks have averaged 7.2 steals per game (1,748 steals/243 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.0

The Bucks have averaged 7.3 steals per game (575 steals/79 games) on the road since the start of the 2024-25 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.4

The Bucks have averaged 7.5 steals per game (589 steals/79 games) this season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.4

Detroit Pistons Defensive Stats & Trends

The Pistons have blocked 493 shots this season — most among NBA teams

The Pistons have averaged 6.3 blocks per game (493 blocks/78 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8

The Pistons have averaged 5.8 blocks per game (925 blocks/160 games) since the start of the 2024-25 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

The Pistons have averaged 10.4 steals per game (808 steals/78 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.4

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