Bucks vs Pistons Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Mar. 27

min read
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 27, 2023, 5:30 PM
  • The Bucks (53-21) are -17.5 favorites vs. the Pistons (16-58)
  • Total (Over/Under): 232.5 points
  • Monday, March 27, 2023 at 7:00pm EDT
  • Watch the game on BSDET & BSWI

The Milwaukee Bucks visit Little Caesars Arena to take on the Detroit Pistons on Monday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EDT in Detroit.

The Bucks are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -13.5 (-105).

The Bucks vs Pistons Over/Under is 227.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Bucks are 40-29 against the spread, while the Pistons are 30-41 against the spread.


Bet now on Pistons vs Bucks and all NBA games with BetMGM


Bucks vs. Pistons Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Milwaukee Bucks-13.5 -105O 227.5 -115-800
Detroit Pistons +13.5 -115U 227.5 -115+550

Pistons vs Bucks Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Bucks will win Monday‘s game with 80.1% confidence.

Pistons vs Bucks Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Pistons will cover the spread for Monday‘s game with 66.4% confidence.

These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Bucks and Pistons, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.


Bet now on Pistons vs Bucks and all NBA games with BetMGM


  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 60 of their last 94 games (+22.45 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have covered the 1Q Spread in 56 of their last 91 games (+18.45 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the Game Total Under in 30 of their last 43 away games (+15.70 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 55 of their last 91 games (+14.98 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the Moneyline in 59 of their last 84 games (+14.50 Units / 6% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 50 of their last 78 games (+17.79 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 46 of their last 75 games (+13.75 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have hit the Game Total Under in 21 of their last 29 games (+12.20 Units / 38% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 38 of their last 81 games (+12.16 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have hit the Team Total Under in 20 of their last 29 games (+9.90 Units / 30% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Bucks have gone 40-29 (+8.1 Units / 9.95% ROI).

  • 53-21 against the Moneyline (+11.6 Units / 5.48% ROI)
  • 35-39 against the Over for game total points (-7.9 Units / -9.71% ROI)
  • 39-35 against the Under for game total points (+0.5 Units / 0.61% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Pistons have gone 30-41 (-15.15 Units / -18.61% ROI).

  • 16-58 against the Moneyline (-24.6 Units / -31.8% ROI)
  • 35-39 against the Over for game total points (-7.9 Units / -9.71% ROI)
  • 39-35 against the Under for game total points (+0.5 Units / 0.61% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 30 of their last 82 games (-29.35 Units / -31% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 77 games (-27.60 Units / -34% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 26 of their last 82 games (-26.00 Units / -31% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 4 of their last 33 games (-24.25 Units / -70% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 29 of their last 75 games (-23.09 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 34 of their last 94 games (-32.10 Units / -31% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 42 of their last 94 games (-29.01 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 36 of their last 91 games (-26.64 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 48 of their last 92 games (-22.01 Units / -14% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the Game Total Over in 13 of their last 43 away games (-20.00 Units / -42% ROI)

Jump to:

Milwaukee Bucks: Keys to the Game vs. the Detroit Pistons

The Bucks are 51-8 (.864) when scoring 15 or more fastbreak points since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .564

The Bucks are 42-15 (.737) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .548

The Bucks are 44-16 (.733) when shooting 80% or better from the free throw line since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .556

The Bucks are 70-6 (.921) when forcing an eFG of 50% or worse since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .774

Detroit Pistons: Keys to the Game vs. the Milwaukee Bucks

The Pistons are 23-83 (.217) when scoring fewer second chance points than their opponent since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .454

The Pistons are 10-61 (.141) when they lose the turnover margin since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .451

The Pistons are 5-25 (.167) when scoring fewer second chance points than their opponent this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .457

The Pistons are 8-39 (.170) when allowing 15 or more fastbreak points since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .435

Injury Report: Pistons vs. BucksMonday‘s Game, Mar. 27

  • Isaiah Stewart (Pistons): The Pistons announced that Stewart has a left shoulder impingement and will re-evaluated in 3-4 weeks.
  • Cory Joseph (Pistons): Joseph is questionable for Monday’s (Mar. 27) game against Milwaukee.
  • Cade Cunningham (Pistons): Cunningham had season-ending surgery on his shin. He plans on on being ready for next season, according to James Edwards III of The Athletic.
  • Alec Burks (Pistons): Burks hasn’t played since Mar. 6 against Portland and remains without a timetable to return.
  • Hamidou Diallo (Pistons): The Pistons announced that Diallo has a grade 2 right ankle sprain and will be re-evaluated in 3-4 weeks.
  • Rodney McGruder (Pistons): McGruder is questionable for Monday’s (Mar. 27) game against Milwaukee.
  • Bojan Bogdanovic (Pistons): Bogdanovic hasn’t played since Mar. 1 against Chicago and remains without a timetable to return.
  • Giannis Antetokounmpo (Bucks): Antetokounmpo is probable for Monday’s (Mar. 27) game against Detroit.
  • Meyers Leonard (Bucks): Leonard hasn’t played since Mar. 16 against Indiana and remains without a timetable to return.
  • Goran Dragic (Bucks): Dragic is probable for Monday’s (Mar. 27) game against Detroit.
  • Jae Crowder (Bucks): Crowder is probable for Monday’s (Mar. 27) game against Detroit.

Milwaukee Bucks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Bucks are shooting 43% from three (144/338) in the last two weeks — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 37%

The Bucks have averaged 57.8 points per game (12,827 points/222 games) in the second half since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 55.0

The Bucks have made 14.9 three-pointers per game this season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.3

The Bucks have made 14.4 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.4

Detroit Pistons Offensive Stats & Trends

The Pistons are shooting 44% (5,879/13,306) since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%

The Pistons have a TS% of 48% since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%

The Pistons have a TS% of 48% at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%

The Pistons have an eFG% of 50% in the second half since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 54%

Milwaukee Bucks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Bucks have averaged 39.3 defensive rebounds per game (8,716 rebounds/222 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36.0

The Bucks have averaged 39.8 defensive rebounds per game (2,705 rebounds/68 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Bucks have averaged 39.1 defensive rebounds per game (5,866 rebounds/150 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.8

The Bucks have averaged 4.5 blocks per game (998 blocks/222 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

Detroit Pistons Defensive Stats & Trends

The Pistons have averaged 34.2 defensive rebounds per game (7,627 rebounds/223 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 36.0

The Pistons have averaged 33.9 defensive rebounds per game (5,125 rebounds/151 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.8

The Pistons have averaged 33.9 defensive rebounds per game (2,342 rebounds/69 games) this season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Pistons have averaged 3.9 blocks per game (269 blocks/69 games) this season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7


Bet now on Pistons vs Bucks and all NBA games with BetMGM


Bet on NBA Odds at BetMGM

At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated NBA betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.

About the Author

BetMGM Betting

Read More @BETMGM

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.