- The Bucks (53-21) are -17.5 favorites vs. the Pistons (16-58)
- Total (Over/Under): 232.5 points
- Monday, March 27, 2023 at 7:00pm EDT
- Watch the game on BSDET & BSWI
The Milwaukee Bucks visit Little Caesars Arena to take on the Detroit Pistons on Monday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EDT in Detroit.
The Bucks are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -13.5 (-105).
The Bucks vs Pistons Over/Under is 227.5 total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Bucks are 40-29 against the spread, while the Pistons are 30-41 against the spread.
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Bucks vs. Pistons Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
Milwaukee Bucks | -13.5 -105 | O 227.5 -115 | -800 |
Detroit Pistons | +13.5 -115 | U 227.5 -115 | +550 |
Pistons vs Bucks Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Bucks will win Monday‘s game with 80.1% confidence.
Pistons vs Bucks Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Pistons will cover the spread for Monday‘s game with 66.4% confidence.
These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Bucks and Pistons, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.
Bet now on Pistons vs Bucks and all NBA games with BetMGM
Bucks Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 60 of their last 94 games (+22.45 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Bucks have covered the 1Q Spread in 56 of their last 91 games (+18.45 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the Game Total Under in 30 of their last 43 away games (+15.70 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 55 of their last 91 games (+14.98 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the Moneyline in 59 of their last 84 games (+14.50 Units / 6% ROI)
Pistons Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Detroit Pistons have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 50 of their last 78 games (+17.79 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Detroit Pistons have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 46 of their last 75 games (+13.75 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Detroit Pistons have hit the Game Total Under in 21 of their last 29 games (+12.20 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Detroit Pistons have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 38 of their last 81 games (+12.16 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Detroit Pistons have hit the Team Total Under in 20 of their last 29 games (+9.90 Units / 30% ROI)
Milwaukee Bucks Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Bucks have gone 40-29 (+8.1 Units / 9.95% ROI).
- 53-21 against the Moneyline (+11.6 Units / 5.48% ROI)
- 35-39 against the Over for game total points (-7.9 Units / -9.71% ROI)
- 39-35 against the Under for game total points (+0.5 Units / 0.61% ROI)
Detroit Pistons Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Pistons have gone 30-41 (-15.15 Units / -18.61% ROI).
- 16-58 against the Moneyline (-24.6 Units / -31.8% ROI)
- 35-39 against the Over for game total points (-7.9 Units / -9.71% ROI)
- 39-35 against the Under for game total points (+0.5 Units / 0.61% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Pistons:
- The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 30 of their last 82 games (-29.35 Units / -31% ROI)
- The Detroit Pistons have only hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 77 games (-27.60 Units / -34% ROI)
- The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 26 of their last 82 games (-26.00 Units / -31% ROI)
- The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 4 of their last 33 games (-24.25 Units / -70% ROI)
- The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 29 of their last 75 games (-23.09 Units / -27% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Bucks:
- The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 34 of their last 94 games (-32.10 Units / -31% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 42 of their last 94 games (-29.01 Units / -21% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 36 of their last 91 games (-26.64 Units / -26% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 48 of their last 92 games (-22.01 Units / -14% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the Game Total Over in 13 of their last 43 away games (-20.00 Units / -42% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Milwaukee Bucks
- Keys to Winning for the Detroit Pistons
- Player Injuries for Milwaukee Bucks vs. Detroit Pistons
- Milwaukee Bucks Offensive stats
- Detroit Pistons Offensive stats
- Milwaukee Bucks Defensive stats
- Detroit Pistons Defensive stats
Milwaukee Bucks: Keys to the Game vs. the Detroit Pistons
The Bucks are 51-8 (.864) when scoring 15 or more fastbreak points since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .564
The Bucks are 42-15 (.737) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .548
The Bucks are 44-16 (.733) when shooting 80% or better from the free throw line since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .556
The Bucks are 70-6 (.921) when forcing an eFG of 50% or worse since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .774
Detroit Pistons: Keys to the Game vs. the Milwaukee Bucks
The Pistons are 23-83 (.217) when scoring fewer second chance points than their opponent since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .454
The Pistons are 10-61 (.141) when they lose the turnover margin since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .451
The Pistons are 5-25 (.167) when scoring fewer second chance points than their opponent this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .457
The Pistons are 8-39 (.170) when allowing 15 or more fastbreak points since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .435
Injury Report: Pistons vs. Bucks – Monday‘s Game, Mar. 27
- Isaiah Stewart (Pistons): The Pistons announced that Stewart has a left shoulder impingement and will re-evaluated in 3-4 weeks.
- Cory Joseph (Pistons): Joseph is questionable for Monday’s (Mar. 27) game against Milwaukee.
- Cade Cunningham (Pistons): Cunningham had season-ending surgery on his shin. He plans on on being ready for next season, according to James Edwards III of The Athletic.
- Alec Burks (Pistons): Burks hasn’t played since Mar. 6 against Portland and remains without a timetable to return.
- Hamidou Diallo (Pistons): The Pistons announced that Diallo has a grade 2 right ankle sprain and will be re-evaluated in 3-4 weeks.
- Rodney McGruder (Pistons): McGruder is questionable for Monday’s (Mar. 27) game against Milwaukee.
- Bojan Bogdanovic (Pistons): Bogdanovic hasn’t played since Mar. 1 against Chicago and remains without a timetable to return.
- Giannis Antetokounmpo (Bucks): Antetokounmpo is probable for Monday’s (Mar. 27) game against Detroit.
- Meyers Leonard (Bucks): Leonard hasn’t played since Mar. 16 against Indiana and remains without a timetable to return.
- Goran Dragic (Bucks): Dragic is probable for Monday’s (Mar. 27) game against Detroit.
- Jae Crowder (Bucks): Crowder is probable for Monday’s (Mar. 27) game against Detroit.
Milwaukee Bucks Offensive Stats & Trends
The Bucks are shooting 43% from three (144/338) in the last two weeks — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 37%
The Bucks have averaged 57.8 points per game (12,827 points/222 games) in the second half since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 55.0
The Bucks have made 14.9 three-pointers per game this season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.3
The Bucks have made 14.4 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.4
Detroit Pistons Offensive Stats & Trends
The Pistons are shooting 44% (5,879/13,306) since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%
The Pistons have a TS% of 48% since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%
The Pistons have a TS% of 48% at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%
The Pistons have an eFG% of 50% in the second half since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 54%
Milwaukee Bucks Defensive Stats & Trends
The Bucks have averaged 39.3 defensive rebounds per game (8,716 rebounds/222 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36.0
The Bucks have averaged 39.8 defensive rebounds per game (2,705 rebounds/68 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
The Bucks have averaged 39.1 defensive rebounds per game (5,866 rebounds/150 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.8
The Bucks have averaged 4.5 blocks per game (998 blocks/222 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7
Detroit Pistons Defensive Stats & Trends
The Pistons have averaged 34.2 defensive rebounds per game (7,627 rebounds/223 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 36.0
The Pistons have averaged 33.9 defensive rebounds per game (5,125 rebounds/151 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.8
The Pistons have averaged 33.9 defensive rebounds per game (2,342 rebounds/69 games) this season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
The Pistons have averaged 3.9 blocks per game (269 blocks/69 games) this season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7
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