Bucks vs Rockets Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Apr. 1

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  • The Rockets are -17.5 favorites vs. the Bucks
  • Total (Over/Under): 218.5 points
  • Watch the game on SCHN | FDWI

The Milwaukee Bucks visit Toyota Center to take on the Houston Rockets on Wednesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00 pm in Houston, TX.

The Rockets are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -17.5 (-102).

The Bucks vs Rockets Over/Under is 218.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Bucks are 33-42 against the spread, while the Rockets are 32-43 against the spread.


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Bucks vs. Rockets Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

Rockets vs Bucks Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Rockets will win Wednesday‘s game with 80.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Bucks and Rockets.

Rockets vs Bucks Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Bucks will cover the spread for Wednesday‘s game with 70.0% confidence.


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  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the Team Total Under in 25 of their last 35 away games (+13.45 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the Game Total Under in 24 of their last 35 away games (+11.90 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 18 of their last 25 away games (+10.20 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 2H Game Total Under in 25 of their last 40 away games (+7.71 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 12 of their last 16 away games (+7.40 Units / 40% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have hit the 2H Game Total Under in 30 of their last 40 games at home (+18.68 Units / 41% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have hit the Game Total Under in 30 of their last 45 games (+14.60 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 16 of their last 21 games (+10.20 Units / 42% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 17 of their last 24 games at home (+9.05 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 16 of their last 23 games (+9.00 Units / 24% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Bucks have gone 33-42 (-13.2 Units / -16.01% ROI).

  • 30-45 against the Moneyline (-12.35 Units / -11.11% ROI)
  • 33-42 against the Over for game total points (-13.2 Units / -16% ROI)
  • 42-33 against the Under for game total points (+5.7 Units / 6.91% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Rockets have gone 32-43 (-15.25 Units / -18.5% ROI).

  • 46-29 against the Moneyline (-24.25 Units / -9.58% ROI)
  • 32-42 against the Over for game total points (-14.17 Units / -17.18% ROI)
  • 42-32 against the Under for game total points (+6.8 Units / 8.24% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the 2H Game Total Over in 10 of their last 40 games at home (-24.69 Units / -53% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the Moneyline in 29 of their last 50 games (-21.70 Units / -14% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 23 of their last 45 games (-20.95 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only covered the 1Q Spread in 15 of their last 45 games (-19.80 Units / -38% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only covered the Spread in 17 of their last 50 games (-19.30 Units / -35% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the Team Total Over in 10 of their last 35 away games (-19.05 Units / -47% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 15 of their last 50 games (-17.30 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 10 of their last 40 games (-15.75 Units / -34% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the Game Total Over in 11 of their last 35 away games (-15.40 Units / -40% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only covered the 1Q Spread in 20 of their last 50 games (-14.30 Units / -25% ROI)

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Milwaukee Bucks: Keys to the Game vs. the Houston Rockets

The Bucks are winless (0-13) when their eFG is 50% or worse this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .222

The Bucks are 13-4 (.765) when scoring 15 or more second chance points this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .539

The Bucks are 4-9 (.308) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points this season — 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .598

The Bucks are 1-26 (.037) when scoring fewer than 100 points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 10th-worst in the NBA. The Rockets have allowed 111.0 points per game since the start of the 2023-24 season — T-6th-best in the NBA.

Houston Rockets: Keys to the Game vs. the Milwaukee Bucks

The Rockets are 6-1 (.857) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .402

The Rockets are winless (0-3) when losing the rebounding margin by 10 or more this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .214

The Rockets are 1-19 (.050) when losing the rebounding margin by 10 or more since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .230

The Rockets are 19-9 (.679) when shooting 80% or better from the free throw line this season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .532

Milwaukee Bucks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Bucks are shooting 51% (389/758) in close and late situations this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 45%

The Bucks have averaged 11.2 second chance points per game (837 points/75 games) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 15.0

The Bucks have an eFG% of 60% in close and late situations this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 52%

The Bucks are shooting 73% from the free throw line (1,052/1,437) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 78%

Houston Rockets Offensive Stats & Trends

The Rockets have averaged 22.2 offensive rebounds per game (1,664 rebounds/75 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 17.9

The Rockets have averaged 20.8 offensive rebounds per game (4,975 rebounds/239 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 17.0

The Rockets have averaged 22.3 offensive rebounds per game (3,508 rebounds/157 games) since the start of the 2024-25 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 17.4

The Rockets have averaged 17.8 second chance points per game (2,796 points/157 games) since the start of the 2024-25 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.5

Milwaukee Bucks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Bucks have allowed 14.8 made three-pointers per game this season — 2nd highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 13.3

The Bucks have averaged 7.5 steals per game (564 steals/75 games) this season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.4

The Bucks have averaged 36.4 defensive rebounds per game (8,693 rebounds/239 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1

The Bucks have averaged 7.3 steals per game (891 steals/122 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.0

Houston Rockets Defensive Stats & Trends

The Rockets have blocked 437 shots this season — 2nd most among NBA teams

The Rockets have averaged 35.5 defensive rebounds per game (2,665 rebounds/75 games) this season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 34.9

The Rockets have averaged 4.7 blocks per game (556 blocks/118 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

The Rockets have blocked 456 shots on the road since the start of the 2024-25 season — most among NBA teams


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.