- The Spurs (5-2) are -1.5 favorites vs. the Bucks (5-0)
- Total (Over/Under): 219.5 points
- Friday, November 11, 2022 at 8:00pm EST
- Watch the game on CW35 & BSWI
The Milwaukee Bucks visit AT&T Center to take on the San Antonio Spurs on Friday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in San Antonio.
The Spurs are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-115).
The Bucks vs Spurs Over/Under is 219.5 total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Bucks are 9-2 against the spread, while the Spurs are 7-5 against the spread.
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Bucks vs. Spurs Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
Milwaukee Bucks | +1.5 -105 | O 219.5 -110 | 105 |
San Antonio Spurs | -1.5 -115 | U 219.5 -110 | -125 |
Spurs vs Bucks Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Bucks will win Friday‘s game with 54.9% confidence.
Spurs vs Bucks Spread Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Bucks will cover the spread for Friday‘s game with 54.9% confidence.
These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Bucks and Spurs, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.
Bucks Team Prop Bets for Tonight, Ranked by Units Won:
- The Milwaukee Bucks have covered the 1Q Spread in 45 of their last 66 games (+21.95 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 26 of their last 34 games (+17.30 Units / 46% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 56 of their last 93 games (+15.01 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 52 of their last 86 games (+14.67 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 22 of their last 28 games (+14.25 Units / 31% ROI)
Spurs Team Prop Bets for Tonight, Ranked by Units Won:
- The San Antonio Spurs have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 24 games (+13.05 Units / 26% ROI)
- The San Antonio Spurs have covered the 4Q Spread in 28 of their last 43 games at home (+11.84 Units / 25% ROI)
- The San Antonio Spurs have hit the Team Total Under in 21 of their last 29 games at home (+11.70 Units / 35% ROI)
- The San Antonio Spurs have covered the 1Q Spread in 46 of their last 79 games (+11.70 Units / 13% ROI)
- The San Antonio Spurs have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 42 of their last 70 games (+10.65 Units / 14% ROI)
Milwaukee Bucks Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Bucks have gone 9-2 (+6.8 Units / 56.2% ROI).
- 10-1 against the Moneyline (+8.35 Units / 22.39% ROI)
- 4-7 against the Over for game total points (-3.7 Units / -30.58% ROI)
- 7-4 against the Under for game total points (+2.6 Units / 21.49% ROI)
San Antonio Spurs Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Spurs have gone 7-5 (+1.5 Units / 11.36% ROI).
- 5-7 against the Moneyline (+6.7 Units / 55.6% ROI)
- 6-6 against the Over for game total points (-0.6 Units / -4.55% ROI)
- 6-6 against the Under for game total points (-0.6 Units / -4.55% ROI)
Negative Value Trends Against the Spread for the Spurs, Ranked by Units Lost:
- The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 21 of their last 62 games (-23.21 Units / -30% ROI)
- The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 35 of their last 84 games (-20.75 Units / -22% ROI)
- The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 36 of their last 84 games (-18.07 Units / -19% ROI)
- The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 27 of their last 68 games (-17.54 Units / -23% ROI)
- The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the Team Total Over in 8 of their last 29 games at home (-16.05 Units / -48% ROI)
Negative Value Trends Against the Spread for the Bucks, Ranked by Units Lost:
- The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 48 of their last 93 games (-27.47 Units / -16% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 24 of their last 58 games (-27.04 Units / -30% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 37 of their last 93 games (-26.75 Units / -25% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 34 of their last 86 games (-24.59 Units / -25% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 33 of their last 70 games (-24.36 Units / -22% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Milwaukee Bucks
- Keys to Winning for the San Antonio Spurs
- Player Injuries for Milwaukee Bucks vs. San Antonio Spurs
- Milwaukee Bucks Offensive stats
- San Antonio Spurs Offensive stats
- Milwaukee Bucks Defensive stats
- San Antonio Spurs Defensive stats
Milwaukee Bucks: Keys to the Game vs. the San Antonio Spurs
The Bucks were 28-10 (.737) when scoring more second chance points than their opponent last season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .552
The Bucks are 22-12 (.647) when they win the turnover margin since the start of the 2021-22 season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .577
The Bucks were 18-6 (.750) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points last season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .546
The Bucks were 22-12 (.647) when they win the turnover margin last season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .577
San Antonio Spurs: Keys to the Game vs. the Milwaukee Bucks
The Spurs were 6-9 (.400) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points last season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .546
The Spurs were 21-4 (.840) when forcing an eFG of 50% or worse last season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .772
The Spurs are 6-9 (.400) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2021-22 season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .546
The Spurs were 3-27 (.100) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three last season — 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .251
Injury Report: Spurs vs. Bucks – Friday‘s Game, Nov. 11
- Zach Collins (Spurs): Collins has a fracture in his fibula and is expected to miss 2-4 weeks, according to Jeff McDonald of the San Antonio Express-News.
- Blake Wesley (Spurs): Wesley is expected to miss 6-8 weeks, according to Tom Orsborn of the San Antonio Express-News.
- Jrue Holiday (Bucks): Holiday did not play in Wednesday’s (Nov. 9) game against Oklahoma City.
- Khris Middleton (Bucks): Middleton is expected to miss the first few weeks of the regular season, according to Shams Charnia and Eric Nehm of The Athletic.
- Pat Connaughton (Bucks): The Bucks announced that Connaughton will miss about three weeks.
- Giannis Antetokounmpo (Bucks): Antetokounmpo did not play in Wednesday’s (Nov. 9) game against Oklahoma City.
- A.J. Green (Bucks): The Bucks announced that Green will miss about three weeks.
- Joe Ingles (Bucks): Bucks GM Jon Horst said Ingles is expected to return sometime in January.
Milwaukee Bucks Offensive Stats & Trends
The Bucks averaged 120.1 points per game (8,649 points/72 games) in the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 111.8
The Bucks had a TS% of 51% last season — tied for 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 50%
The Bucks averaged 56.4 points per game (4,626 points/82 games) in the second half last season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 54.1
The Bucks had an eFG% of 56% in the first half last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 53%
San Antonio Spurs Offensive Stats & Trends
The Spurs have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.3 (2,025 assists/ 889 TOs) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.9
The Spurs averaged 53.2 points in the paint per game (4,366 points/82 games) last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 47.0
The Spurs have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.3 (4,048 assists/ 1,799 TOs) since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.9
The Spurs have averaged 53.2 points in the paint per game (4,366 points/82 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 47.0
Milwaukee Bucks Defensive Stats & Trends
The Bucks have averaged 37.1 defensive rebounds per game (5,709 rebounds/154 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 34.1
The Bucks averaged 36.4 defensive rebounds per game (2,985 rebounds/82 games) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.9
The Bucks have averaged 36.4 defensive rebounds per game (2,985 rebounds/82 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.9
The Bucks have averaged 4.3 blocks per game (659 blocks/154 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8
San Antonio Spurs Defensive Stats & Trends
The Spurs stole the ball 625 times last season — 9th most among NBA teams
The Spurs have blocked 769 shots since the start of the 2020-21 season — 9th most among NBA teams
The Spurs have blocked 204 shots on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — 7th most among NBA teams
The Spurs have blocked 385 shots on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — 6th most among NBA teams
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