Bucks vs Suns Player Prop Bets Tonight – NBA, Mar. 21

• The – are favorites vs. the –
• Total (Over/Under): Total points
• Watch the game on FDWI | KTVK | AZFS | NBAt

The Milwaukee Bucks visit Mortgage Matchup Center to take on the Phoenix Suns on Saturday. Tipoff is scheduled for 10:00 pm in Phoenix, AZ.

The – are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().

The Bucks vs Suns Over/Under is total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Bucks are 30-39 against the spread, while the Suns are 42-27 against the spread.

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Bucks vs. Suns Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

Suns vs Bucks Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Suns will win Saturday‘s game with 74.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Bucks and Suns.

Suns vs Bucks Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Bucks will cover the spread for Saturday‘s game with 66.4% confidence.

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Bucks Best Bets for Tonight:

• The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the Game Total Under in 24 of their last 35 away games (+11.90 Units / 31% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the Team Total Under in 24 of their last 35 away games (+11.35 Units / 28% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 16 of their last 22 away games (+9.35 Units / 38% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 13 of their last 18 games (+7.30 Units / 35% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 15 of their last 22 away games (+7.20 Units / 29% ROI)

Suns Best Bets for Tonight:

• The Phoenix Suns have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 26 of their last 35 games at home (+15.90 Units / 40% ROI)
• The Phoenix Suns have covered the 3Q Spread in 26 of their last 40 games (+9.55 Units / 20% ROI)
• The Phoenix Suns have hit the 2H Game Total Under in 23 of their last 35 games (+9.39 Units / 23% ROI)
• The Phoenix Suns have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 25 of their last 40 games (+9.15 Units / 17% ROI)
• The Phoenix Suns have hit the Game Total Under in 22 of their last 35 games at home (+8.80 Units / 23% ROI)

Milwaukee Bucks Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Bucks have gone 30-39 (-12.9 Units / -17.01% ROI).

• 28-41 against the Moneyline (-13.85 Units / -13.17% ROI)
• 30-39 against the Over for game total points (-12.9 Units / -17% ROI)
• 39-30 against the Under for game total points (+6 Units / 7.91% ROI)

Phoenix Suns Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Suns have gone 42-27 (+12.3 Units / 15.97% ROI).

• 39-31 against the Moneyline (+8.7 Units / 7.25% ROI)
• 30-39 against the Over for game total points (-12.9 Units / -16.75% ROI)
• 39-30 against the Under for game total points (+6 Units / 7.79% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Suns:

• The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 9 of their last 35 games at home (-21.55 Units / -52% ROI)
• The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 10 of their last 35 games (-20.85 Units / -47% ROI)
• The Phoenix Suns have only covered the 4Q Spread in 11 of their last 35 games (-17.25 Units / -42% ROI)
• The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 2H Game Total Over in 20 of their last 50 games (-14.34 Units / -25% ROI)
• The Phoenix Suns have only hit the Team Total Over in 21 of their last 50 games (-12.85 Units / -22% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Bucks:

• The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the Team Total Over in 11 of their last 35 away games (-16.90 Units / -42% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Bucks have only covered the 1Q Spread in 19 of their last 50 games (-16.50 Units / -29% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the Game Total Over in 11 of their last 35 away games (-15.40 Units / -40% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 9 of their last 35 games (-14.90 Units / -36% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 13 of their last 40 away games (-14.35 Units / -31% ROI)

Jump to:

• Keys to Winning for the Milwaukee Bucks
• Keys to Winning for the Phoenix Suns
• Player Injuries for Milwaukee Bucks vs. Phoenix Suns
• Milwaukee Bucks Offensive stats
• Phoenix Suns Offensive stats
• Milwaukee Bucks Defensive stats
• Phoenix Suns Defensive stats

Milwaukee Bucks: Keys to the Game vs. the Phoenix Suns

The Bucks are 2-19 (.095) when allowing their opponent to shoot 50% or better from the field this season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .214

The Bucks are 55-30 (.647) when they win the turnover margin since the start of the 2023-24 season — 9th-best in the NBA. The Suns have averaged 14.5 turnovers per game since the start of the 2023-24 season — T-9th-highest in the NBA.

The Bucks are 12-4 (.750) when scoring 15 or more second chance points this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .537

The Bucks are 4-7 (.364) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points this season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .597

Phoenix Suns: Keys to the Game vs. the Milwaukee Bucks

The Suns are 3-11 (.214) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three this season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .306

The Suns are 5-11 (.312) when scoring fewer than 10 fastbreak points this season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .373

The Suns were 17-9 (.654) when scoring 15 or more second chance points in the 2023-24 season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .549

The Suns were 13-4 (.765) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points in the 2023-24 season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .604

Milwaukee Bucks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Bucks are shooting 51% (380/744) in close and late situations this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 46%

The Bucks are shooting 73% from the free throw line (980/1,340) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 78%

The Bucks have 19.4 free throw attempts per game this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 23.6

The Bucks have an eFG% of 60% in close and late situations this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 52%

Phoenix Suns Offensive Stats & Trends

The Suns have averaged 20.7 points in the paint per game (4,850 points/234 games) in the second half since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 24.3

The Suns have averaged 41.6 points in the paint per game (1,456 points/35 games) at home this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 49.7

The Suns have averaged 19.7 points in the paint per game (1,382 points/70 games) in the second half this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 24.2

The Suns have averaged 111.2 points per game (3,893 points/35 games) at home this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 116.0

Milwaukee Bucks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Bucks have averaged 7.2 steals per game (1,670 steals/233 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.0

The Bucks have averaged 3.9 blocks per game (271 blocks/69 games) this season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

The Bucks have averaged 4.6 blocks per game (1,067 blocks/233 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.0

The Bucks averaged 37.5 defensive rebounds per game (3,072 rebounds/82 games) last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3

Phoenix Suns Defensive Stats & Trends

The Suns have averaged 32.6 defensive rebounds per game (2,285 rebounds/70 games) this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 34.9

The Suns have averaged 4.0 blocks per game (282 blocks/70 games) this season — 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

The Suns averaged 6.0 blocks per game (491 blocks/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — tied for 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

The Suns have averaged 4.0 blocks per game (304 blocks/76 games) on the road since the start of the 2024-25 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

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