Bucks vs Thunder Player Prop Bets Tonight – NBA, Feb. 12

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  • The are favorites vs. the
  • Total (Over/Under): Total points
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The Milwaukee Bucks visit Paycom Center to take on the Oklahoma City Thunder on Thursday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:30 pm in Oklahoma City, OK.

The are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().

The Bucks vs Thunder Over/Under is total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Bucks are 23-29 against the spread, while the Thunder are 27-28 against the spread.


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Bucks vs. Thunder Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Milwaukee Bucks O
Oklahoma City Thunder U

Thunder vs Bucks Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Thunder will win Thursday‘s game with 80.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Bucks and Thunder.

Thunder vs Bucks Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Bucks will cover the spread for Thursday‘s game with 70.0% confidence.


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  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the Game Total Under in 24 of their last 35 games (+11.90 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the Team Total Under in 18 of their last 25 away games (+9.90 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 13 of their last 16 away games (+9.70 Units / 54% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 26 of their last 45 away games (+7.70 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 30 of their last 50 games (+7.25 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 2H Moneyline in 14 of their last 17 games (+11.00 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 26 of their last 40 games at home (+9.85 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have covered the Spread in 30 of their last 50 games at home (+8.00 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Team Total Under in 9 of their last 10 games at home (+7.85 Units / 69% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 8 of their last 9 games at home (+6.85 Units / 66% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Bucks have gone 23-29 (-8.9 Units / -15.57% ROI).

  • 22-30 against the Moneyline (-12.5 Units / -15.38% ROI)
  • 21-31 against the Over for game total points (-13.1 Units / -22.9% ROI)
  • 31-21 against the Under for game total points (+7.9 Units / 13.81% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Thunder have gone 27-28 (-3.8 Units / -6.28% ROI).

  • 42-13 against the Moneyline (-10 Units / -2.85% ROI)
  • 30-25 against the Over for game total points (+2.5 Units / 4.13% ROI)
  • 25-30 against the Under for game total points (-8 Units / -13.22% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 30 games (-32.35 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 7 of their last 13 games at home (-23.30 Units / -38% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 14 of their last 30 games (-22.85 Units / -34% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 14 of their last 40 games at home (-16.05 Units / -35% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 23 of their last 45 games (-13.95 Units / -16% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only covered the 1Q Spread in 14 of their last 45 games (-21.80 Units / -42% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only covered the 1H Spread in 18 of their last 50 games (-17.80 Units / -31% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 16 of their last 45 games (-17.45 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 14 of their last 45 games (-16.15 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the Game Total Over in 16 of their last 45 games (-15.90 Units / -32% ROI)

Jump to:

Milwaukee Bucks: Keys to the Game vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder

The Bucks are winless (0-9) when their eFG is 50% or worse this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .216

The Bucks are 8-3 (.727) when scoring 15 or more second chance points this season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .522

The Bucks are winless (0-13) when allowing their opponent to shoot 50% or better from the field this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .217

The Bucks are 1-21 (.045) when their eFG is 50% or worse since the start of the 2024-25 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .196

Oklahoma City Thunder: Keys to the Game vs. the Milwaukee Bucks

The Thunder are undefeated (14-0) when their opponent attempts fewer than 15 free throws since the start of the 2024-25 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .568

The Thunder are 91-14 (.867) when scoring 110 or more points since the start of the 2024-25 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .652

The Thunder are 143-27 (.841) when scoring 110 or more points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .655

The Thunder are 58-7 (.892) when scoring more second chance points than their opponent since the start of the 2024-25 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .550

Milwaukee Bucks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Bucks have a TS% of 56% in close and late situations this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 49%

The Bucks are shooting 41% from three (375/914) at home this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Bucks have averaged 11.5 second chance points per game (597 points/52 games) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 15.0

The Bucks are shooting 45% from three (116/260) in close and late situations this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35%

Oklahoma City Thunder Offensive Stats & Trends

The Thunder shot 41% from three (558/1,378) in the second half in the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Thunder have averaged 12.4 turnovers per game (682 turnovers/55 games) this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.6

The Thunder have averaged 5.8 turnovers per game (801 turnovers/137 games) in the second half since the start of the 2024-25 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.2

The Thunder have averaged 12.0 turnovers per game (1,643 turnovers/137 games) since the start of the 2024-25 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.4

Milwaukee Bucks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Bucks averaged 7.3 steals per game (601 steals/82 games) last season — 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.2

The Bucks averaged 37.5 defensive rebounds per game (3,072 rebounds/82 games) last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3

The Bucks have averaged 36.7 defensive rebounds per game (7,927 rebounds/216 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Bucks have averaged 4.7 blocks per game (1,008 blocks/216 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.0

Oklahoma City Thunder Defensive Stats & Trends

The Thunder have averaged 11.0 steals per game (770 steals/70 games) at home since the start of the 2024-25 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.2

The Thunder have averaged 9.8 steals per game (1,093 steals/111 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.9

The Thunder have averaged 6.5 blocks per game (720 blocks/111 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

The Thunder allowed opponents to shoot 44% (3,109/7,130) last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 47%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.