Basketball
Milwaukee BucksOklahoma City Thunder

Milwaukee Bucks vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction, Odds, Lines, Team Props – NBA, Nov. 9

min read
 BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Nov 09, 2022, 3:30 PM
  • The Bucks (5-0) are -5.5 favorites vs. the Thunder (3-3)
  • Total (Over/Under): 217.5 points
  • Wednesday, November 9, 2022 at 8:00pm EST
  • Watch the game on BSOK & BSWI

The Milwaukee Bucks visit Paycom Center to take on the Oklahoma City Thunder on Wednesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in Oklahoma City.

The Bucks are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-110).

The Bucks vs Thunder Over/Under is 212.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Bucks are 8-2 against the spread, while the Thunder are 6-4 against the spread.

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Bucks vs. Thunder Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Milwaukee Bucks-1.5 -110O 212.5 -110-125
Oklahoma City Thunder +1.5 -110U 212.5 -110105

Thunder vs Bucks Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Bucks will win Wednesday‘s game with 67.3% confidence.

Thunder vs Bucks Spread Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Bucks will cover the spread for Wednesday‘s game with 53.2% confidence.

These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Bucks and Thunder, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.

  • The Milwaukee Bucks have covered the 1Q Spread in 45 of their last 65 games (+23.05 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 26 of their last 33 games (+18.40 Units / 51% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 56 of their last 92 games (+16.03 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 22 of their last 27 games (+15.50 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 18 of their last 22 games (+13.79 Units / 57% ROI)
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  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 2H Moneyline in 19 of their last 36 games (+17.78 Units / 48% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have covered the Spread in 47 of their last 79 games (+15.15 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 44 games (+14.40 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 32 of their last 49 games (+12.42 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 33 of their last 53 games (+10.48 Units / 18% ROI)
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    Against the spread this NBA season, the Bucks have gone 8-2 (+5.8 Units / 52.73% ROI).

    • 9-1 against the Moneyline (+7.35 Units / 20.36% ROI)
    • 3-7 against the Over for game total points (-4.7 Units / -42.73% ROI)
    • 7-3 against the Under for game total points (+3.7 Units / 33.64% ROI)

    Against the spread this NBA season, the Thunder have gone 6-4 (+1.65 Units / 15.07% ROI).

    • 4-6 against the Moneyline (+2.7 Units / 24.88% ROI)
    • 5-5 against the Over for game total points (-0.5 Units / -4.55% ROI)
    • 5-5 against the Under for game total points (-0.5 Units / -4.55% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 10 of their last 60 games (-33.05 Units / -54% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 22 of their last 59 games (-19.42 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 20 of their last 53 games (-17.65 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 27 of their last 82 games (-16.06 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the Team Total Under in 34 of their last 77 games (-14.80 Units / -17% ROI)
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  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 37 of their last 94 games (-27.88 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 48 of their last 92 games (-26.35 Units / -16% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 24 of their last 57 games (-25.99 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 34 of their last 85 games (-23.53 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 33 of their last 69 games (-23.28 Units / -21% ROI)
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    Jump to:

    Milwaukee Bucks: Keys to the Game vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder

    The Bucks were 28-10 (.737) when scoring more second chance points than their opponent last season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .552

    The Bucks are 22-12 (.647) when they win the turnover margin since the start of the 2021-22 season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .577

    The Bucks were 18-6 (.750) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points last season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .546

    The Bucks were 22-12 (.647) when they win the turnover margin last season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .577

    Oklahoma City Thunder: Keys to the Game vs. the Milwaukee Bucks

    The Thunder are 15-31 (.326) when scoring 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .548

    The Thunder were 1-20 (.048) when allowing their opponent to shoot 50% or better from the field last season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .200

    The Thunder are 4-42 (.087) when allowing their opponent to shoot 50% or better from the field since the start of the 2020-21 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .208

    The Thunder are 6-40 (.130) when allowing 110 or more points since the start of the 2021-22 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .293

    Injury Report: Thunder vs. Bucks – Wednesday‘s Game, Nov. 9

  • Chet Holmgren (Thunder): Holmgren will miss the 2022-23 season with Lisfranc injury to his right foot, according to Adrian Wojnarowsk of ESPN.
  • Aleksej Pokusevski (Thunder): Pokusevski did not play in Monday’s (Nov. 7) game against Detroit.
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  • Khris Middleton (Bucks): Middleton is expected to miss the first few weeks of the regular season, according to Shams Charnia and Eric Nehm of The Athletic.
  • Pat Connaughton (Bucks): The Bucks announced that Connaughton will miss about three weeks.
  • A.J. Green (Bucks): The Bucks announced that Green will miss about three weeks.
  • Joe Ingles (Bucks): Bucks GM Jon Horst said Ingles is expected to return sometime in January.
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    Milwaukee Bucks Offensive Stats & Trends

    The Bucks averaged 120.1 points per game (8,649 points/72 games) in the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 111.8

    The Bucks had a TS% of 51% last season — tied for 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 50%

    The Bucks averaged 56.4 points per game (4,626 points/82 games) in the second half last season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 54.1

    The Bucks had an eFG% of 56% in the first half last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 53%

    Oklahoma City Thunder Offensive Stats & Trends

    The Thunder averaged 1.16 points per shot (8,506 points/7,310 shots) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.26

    The Thunder had an eFG% of 50% last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 53%

    The Thunder have averaged 1.16 points per shot (8,506 points/7,310 shots) since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.26

    The Thunder are shooting 43% (2,921/6,842) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 46%

    Milwaukee Bucks Defensive Stats & Trends

    The Bucks have averaged 37.1 defensive rebounds per game (5,709 rebounds/154 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 34.1

    The Bucks averaged 36.4 defensive rebounds per game (2,985 rebounds/82 games) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.9

    The Bucks have averaged 36.4 defensive rebounds per game (2,985 rebounds/82 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.9

    The Bucks have averaged 4.3 blocks per game (659 blocks/154 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8

    Oklahoma City Thunder Defensive Stats & Trends

    The Thunder averaged 35.2 defensive rebounds per game (2,885 rebounds/82 games) last season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.9

    The Thunder have averaged 35.4 defensive rebounds per game (5,453 rebounds/154 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 34.1

    The Thunder have averaged 4.2 blocks per game (326 blocks/77 games) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

    The Thunder stole the ball 623 times last season — 10th most among NBA teams

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    Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

    Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

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