Milwaukee Bucks vs Minnesota Timberwolves Prediction, Odds, Lines, Team Props – NBA, Nov. 4

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Nov 04, 2022, 4:30 PM
  • The Bucks (5-0) are -3.5 favorites vs. the Timberwolves (4-3)
  • Total (Over/Under): 227.5 points
  • Friday, November 4, 2022 at 10:00pm EDT
  • Watch the game on BSN & BSWI

The Milwaukee Bucks visit Target Center to take on the Minnesota Timberwolves on Friday. Tipoff is scheduled for 10:00pm EDT in Minneapolis.

The Bucks are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-110).

The Bucks vs Timberwolves Over/Under is 227.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Bucks are 6-1 against the spread, while the Timberwolves are 3-5 against the spread.


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Bucks vs. Timberwolves Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Milwaukee Bucks-3.5 -110O 227.5 -110-165
Minnesota Timberwolves +3.5 -110U 227.5 -110140

Timberwolves vs Bucks Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Bucks will win Friday‘s game with 60.6% confidence.

Timberwolves vs Bucks Spread Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Timberwolves will cover the spread for Friday‘s game with 52.4% confidence.

These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Bucks and Timberwolves, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.


  • The Milwaukee Bucks have covered the 1Q Spread in 43 of their last 62 games (+22.05 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 26 of their last 30 games (+21.65 Units / 66% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 20 of their last 24 games (+15.25 Units / 39% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 56 of their last 93 games (+14.88 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 16 of their last 19 games (+12.79 Units / 61% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have covered the 1Q Spread in 53 of their last 85 games (+17.65 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have covered the 1H Spread in 51 of their last 83 games (+17.00 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the Game Total Over in 49 of their last 80 games (+14.90 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 24 of their last 32 games (+14.10 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 29 of their last 43 games at home (+12.91 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Against the spread this NBA season, the Bucks have gone 6-1 (+4.9 Units / 63.64% ROI).

    • 7-0 against the Moneyline (+7.55 Units / 24.84% ROI)
    • 3-4 against the Over for game total points (-1.4 Units / -18.18% ROI)
    • 4-3 against the Under for game total points (+0.7 Units / 9.09% ROI)

    Against the spread this NBA season, the Timberwolves have gone 3-5 (-2.5 Units / -28.25% ROI).

    • 4-4 against the Moneyline (-6.25 Units / -22.2% ROI)
    • 2-6 against the Over for game total points (-4.6 Units / -52.27% ROI)
    • 6-2 against the Under for game total points (+3.8 Units / 43.18% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the Game Total Under in 32 of their last 82 games (-23.00 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 30 of their last 76 games (-22.84 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 39 of their last 90 games (-22.39 Units / -18% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the Team Total Under in 36 of their last 83 games (-17.80 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 25 games (-15.50 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 37 of their last 93 games (-26.87 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 4 of their last 30 games (-24.65 Units / -74% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 49 of their last 93 games (-24.47 Units / -15% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 23 of their last 54 games (-24.41 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 31 of their last 66 games (-23.88 Units / -22% ROI)
  • Jump to:

    Milwaukee Bucks: Keys to the Game vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves

    The Milwaukee Bucks were 42-8 (.840) when winning the rebounding margin last season — tied for third-best among NBA teams. The Detroit Pistons averaged 42.3 rebounds per game (3,340 rebounds/79 games) last season — fourth-lowest among NBA teams.

    The Bucks were 21-4 (.840) when forcing an eFG of 50% or worse last season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .772

    The Bucks were 21-9 (.700) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points last season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .571

    The Bucks were 46-10 (.821) when scoring 110 or more points last season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .707

    Minnesota Timberwolves: Keys to the Game vs. the Milwaukee Bucks

    The Timberwolves are 4-15 (.211) when attempting 15 or less free throws since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .480

    The Timberwolves are 12-22 (.353) when allowing fewer than 8 offense rebounds since the start of the 2020-21 season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .496

    The Timberwolves were 26-6 (.812) when forcing 10 or more steals last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .612

    The Timberwolves were 24-12 (.667) when attempting 25 or more free throws last season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .550

    Injury Report: Timberwolves vs. BucksFriday‘s Game, Nov. 4

    • Minnesota Timberwolves – No Injuries Reported
  • Khris Middleton (Bucks): Middleton is expected to miss the first few weeks of the regular season, according to Shams Charnia and Eric Nehm of The Athletic.
  • Sandro Mamukelashvili (Bucks): Mamukelashvili did not play in Wednesday’s (Nov. 2) game against Detroit.
  • Pat Connaughton (Bucks): The Bucks announced that Connaughton will miss about three weeks.
  • A.J. Green (Bucks): The Bucks announced that Green will miss about three weeks.
  • Joe Ingles (Bucks): Bucks GM Jon Horst said Ingles is expected to return sometime in January.
  • Milwaukee Bucks Offensive Stats & Trends

    The Bucks had 22.9 free throw attempts per game last season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 21.7

    The Bucks averaged 1.29 points per shot (9,461 points/7,321 shots) last season — tied for 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.26

    The Bucks shot 37% from three (1,152/3,147) last season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35%

    The Bucks made 14.0 three-pointers per game last season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.4

    Minnesota Timberwolves Offensive Stats & Trends

    The Timberwolves averaged 115.8 points per game (9,379 points/81 games) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 110.0

    The Timberwolves made 14.8 three-pointers per game last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.4

    The Timberwolves had 23.0 free throw attempts per game last season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 21.7

    The Timberwolves averaged 15.1 fast break points per game (1,224 points/81 games) last season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.5

    Milwaukee Bucks Defensive Stats & Trends

    The Bucks have averaged 37.1 defensive rebounds per game (5,709 rebounds/154 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 34.1

    The Bucks averaged 36.4 defensive rebounds per game (2,985 rebounds/82 games) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.9

    The Bucks have averaged 4.3 blocks per game (659 blocks/154 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8

    The Bucks averaged 4.0 blocks per game (325 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

    Minnesota Timberwolves Defensive Stats & Trends

    The Timberwolves averaged 32.9 defensive rebounds per game (2,667 rebounds/81 games) last season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.9

    The Timberwolves averaged 8.8 steals per game (710 steals/81 games) last season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6

    The Timberwolves averaged 5.6 blocks per game (457 blocks/81 games) last season — tied for 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

    The Timberwolves have averaged 33.0 defensive rebounds per game (5,043 rebounds/153 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 34.1


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