Bucks vs Trail Blazers Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Feb. 6

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 06, 2023, 4:30 PM
  • The Bucks (36-17) are -3.5 favorites vs. the Trail Blazers (26-27)
  • Total (Over/Under): 241.5 points
  • Monday, February 6, 2023 at 10:00pm EST
  • Watch the game on ROOT Sports NW & BSWI

The Milwaukee Bucks visit Moda Center to take on the Portland Trail Blazers on Monday. Tipoff is scheduled for 10:00pm EST in Portland.

The Bucks are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-110).

The Bucks vs Trail Blazers Over/Under is 242.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Bucks are 28-23 against the spread, while the Trail Blazers are 28-25 against the spread.


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Bucks vs. Trail Blazers Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Milwaukee Bucks-4.5 -110O 242.5 -110-190
Portland Trail Blazers +4.5 -110U 242.5 -110+155

Trail Blazers vs Bucks Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Bucks will win Monday‘s game with 61.0% confidence.

Trail Blazers vs Bucks Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Bucks will cover the spread for Monday‘s game with 52.5% confidence.

These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Bucks and Trail Blazers, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.


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  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 49 of their last 76 games (+19.30 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 45 of their last 70 games (+17.61 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have covered the 1Q Spread in 44 of their last 70 games (+16.55 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 23 of their last 34 away games (+13.10 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 22 of their last 31 away games (+12.20 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the 1H Moneyline in 36 of their last 78 games (+17.40 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 46 of their last 74 games (+14.01 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 25 of their last 36 games at home (+12.24 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have covered the 3Q Spread in 13 of their last 17 games at home (+8.64 Units / 46% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 13 of their last 17 games at home (+8.33 Units / 43% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Bucks have gone 28-23 (+2.7 Units / 4.63% ROI).

  • 36-17 against the Moneyline (+5.95 Units / 4.39% ROI)
  • 26-27 against the Over for game total points (-3.7 Units / -6.35% ROI)
  • 27-26 against the Under for game total points (-1.6 Units / -2.74% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Trail Blazers have gone 28-25 (+0.5 Units / 0.86% ROI).

  • 26-27 against the Moneyline (+3.6 Units / 4.43% ROI)
  • 25-27 against the Over for game total points (-4.7 Units / -8.06% ROI)
  • 27-25 against the Under for game total points (-0.5 Units / -0.86% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 27 of their last 78 games (-24.17 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 29 of their last 76 games (-24.12 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 30 of their last 78 games (-19.81 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have only covered the 4Q Spread in 31 of their last 76 games (-19.14 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 34 of their last 80 games (-18.08 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 36 of their last 91 games (-40.99 Units / -31% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 27 of their last 76 games (-27.10 Units / -32% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 27 of their last 74 games (-26.12 Units / -31% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only covered the 2Q Spread in 36 of their last 91 games (-24.56 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 39 of their last 81 games (-24.19 Units / -19% ROI)

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Milwaukee Bucks: Keys to the Game vs. the Portland Trail Blazers

The Milwaukee Bucks are 64-15 (.810) when winning the rebounding margin since the start of the 2021-22 season — fifth-best among NBA teams. The Detroit Pistons have averaged 42.8 rebounds per game (5,567 rebounds/130 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for fifth-lowest among NBA teams.

The Bucks are winless (0-15) when losing the rebounding margin by 10 or more since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .181

The Bucks are 41-7 (.854) when scoring 15 or more fastbreak points since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .574

The Bucks are 45-17 (.726) when scoring more second chance points than their opponent since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .543

Portland Trail Blazers: Keys to the Game vs. the Milwaukee Bucks

The Trail Blazers are 14-48 (.226) when their opponent attempts 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .460

The Trail Blazers are 8-47 (.145) when losing the rebounding margin since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .315

The Trail Blazers are 1-32 (.030) when scoring fewer than 100 points since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .146

The Trail Blazers are 11-6 (.647) when their opponent attempts fewer than 15 free throws since the start of the 2020-21 season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .517

Injury Report: Trail Blazers vs. BucksMonday‘s Game, Feb. 6

  • Drew Eubanks (Trail Blazers): Eubanks is probable for Monday’s (Feb. 6) game against Milwaukee.
  • Jusuf Nurkic (Trail Blazers): Nurkic is expected to return after the All-Star break, according to Adrian Wojnarowski of ESPN.
  • Justise Winslow (Trail Blazers): The Trail Blazers announced that Winslow’s return has been pushed back at least two weeks.
  • Ibou Badji (Trail Blazers): Badji has yet to appear in a game this season and a timetable for his return hasn’t been announced.
  • Gary Payton II (Trail Blazers): Payton II is probable for Monday’s (Feb. 6) game against Milwaukee.
  • Giannis Antetokounmpo (Bucks): Antetokounmpo is probable for Monday’s (Feb. 6) game against Portland.
  • Bobby Portis (Bucks): Portis is expected to miss at least two weeks with an MCL sprain in his right knee, according to Adrian Wojnarowski of ESPN.
  • Serge Ibaka (Bucks): Ibaka is not expected to rejoin the team when they return to Milwaukee following a four-game road trip, according to Eric Nehm of The Athletic.

Milwaukee Bucks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Bucks have averaged 106.5 points per game (2,449 points/23 games) on the road this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 112.6

The Bucks are shooting 43% (887/2,053) on the road this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%

The Bucks have averaged 41.0 points in the paint per game (942 points/23 games) on the road this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 49.4

The Bucks are shooting 45% (944/2,108) in the first half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 48%

Portland Trail Blazers Offensive Stats & Trends

The Trail Blazers have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.5 (506 assists/ 336 TOs) in the second half this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Trail Blazers have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.7 (2,989 assists/ 1,791 TOs) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.9

The Trail Blazers have averaged 20.7 points in the paint per game (4,136 points/200 games) in the second half since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 23.1

The Trail Blazers have averaged 43.0 points in the paint per game (8,594 points/200 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 48.0

Milwaukee Bucks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Bucks have averaged 36.9 defensive rebounds per game (7,389 rebounds/200 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 34.0

The Bucks have averaged 36.4 defensive rebounds per game (4,665 rebounds/128 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.7

The Bucks have averaged 36.4 defensive rebounds per game (1,675 rebounds/46 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.0

The Bucks have averaged 4.5 blocks per game (286 blocks/64 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8

Portland Trail Blazers Defensive Stats & Trends

The Trail Blazers have averaged 32.4 defensive rebounds per game (4,153 rebounds/128 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.7

The Trail Blazers have averaged 6.5 steals per game (297 steals/46 games) this season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

The Trail Blazers have averaged 3.9 blocks per game (258 blocks/66 games) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.6

The Trail Blazers have averaged 33.0 defensive rebounds per game (6,592 rebounds/200 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 34.0


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.