- The Warriors are -6.5 favorites vs. the Bucks
- Total (Over/Under): 229.5 points
- Watch the game on FDWI | NSBA
The Milwaukee Bucks visit Chase Center to take on the Golden State Warriors on Wednesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 10:00pm EST in San Francisco, CA.
The Warriors are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (-110).
The Bucks vs Warriors Over/Under is 229.5 total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Bucks are 17-19 against the spread, while the Warriors are 16-21 against the spread.
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Bucks vs. Warriors Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Milwaukee Bucks | +6.5 -110 | O 229.5 -115 | 225 |
| Golden State Warriors | -6.5 -110 | U 229.5 -105 | -275 |
Warriors vs Bucks Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
The winning team model predicts the Warriors will win Wednesday‘s game with 53.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Bucks and Warriors.
Warriors vs Bucks Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Warriors will cover the spread for Wednesday‘s game with 51.0% confidence.
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Bucks Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Milwaukee Bucks have covered the 2H Spread in 44 of their last 71 games (+13.14 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 23 of their last 34 games (+10.45 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 2H Game Total Under in 27 of their last 42 away games (+9.70 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 20 of their last 32 away games (+9.65 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the Game Total Under in 20 of their last 30 games (+9.00 Units / 27% ROI)
Warriors Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Golden State Warriors have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 17 of their last 21 games (+12.65 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have hit the 2H Game Total Under in 41 of their last 66 games (+12.40 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 30 of their last 47 games (+10.30 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have covered the 2Q Spread in 16 of their last 21 games (+10.25 Units / 42% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 53 of their last 90 games (+9.70 Units / 9% ROI)
Milwaukee Bucks Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Bucks have gone 17-19 (-3.9 Units / -9.86% ROI).
- 16-20 against the Moneyline (-8.85 Units / -14.3% ROI)
- 15-21 against the Over for game total points (-8.1 Units / -20.45% ROI)
- 21-15 against the Under for game total points (+4.5 Units / 11.36% ROI)
Golden State Warriors Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Warriors have gone 16-21 (-7.1 Units / -17.44% ROI).
- 19-18 against the Moneyline (-10.3 Units / -11.67% ROI)
- 21-16 against the Over for game total points (+3.4 Units / 8.35% ROI)
- 16-21 against the Under for game total points (-7.1 Units / -17.44% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Warriors:
- The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 39 of their last 97 games (-38.80 Units / -24% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 49 of their last 97 games (-33.90 Units / -17% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have only covered the 1Q Spread in 36 of their last 97 games (-31.05 Units / -28% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have only hit the Moneyline in 34 of their last 65 games (-30.35 Units / -17% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have only covered the 1H Spread in 39 of their last 94 games (-24.35 Units / -23% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Bucks:
- The Milwaukee Bucks have only covered the 2Q Spread in 36 of their last 88 games (-24.20 Units / -24% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Bucks have only covered the 1H Spread in 26 of their last 69 games (-22.40 Units / -28% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 21 of their last 58 games (-20.55 Units / -27% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 28 of their last 69 games (-18.40 Units / -17% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 33 of their last 77 games (-17.45 Units / -16% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Milwaukee Bucks
- Keys to Winning for the Golden State Warriors
- Player Injuries for Milwaukee Bucks vs. Golden State Warriors
- Milwaukee Bucks Offensive stats
- Golden State Warriors Offensive stats
- Milwaukee Bucks Defensive stats
- Golden State Warriors Defensive stats
Milwaukee Bucks: Keys to the Game vs. the Golden State Warriors
The Bucks were 15-4 (.789) when assisting on 30 or more field goals last season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .706
The Bucks were 11-5 (.688) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points last season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .545
The Bucks were 41-27 (.603) when allowing 12 or more offensive rebounds last season — tied for 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .505
The Bucks are 18-4 (.818) when winning the rebounding margin by 10 or more since the start of the 2023-24 season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .760
Golden State Warriors: Keys to the Game vs. the Milwaukee Bucks
The Warriors have averaged 9.8 steals per game (361 steals/37 games) this season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.4
The Warriors have averaged 4.4 blocks per game (164 blocks/37 games) this season — tied for 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9
The Warriors averaged 36.8 defensive rebounds per game (3,018 rebounds/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
The Warriors have averaged 9.5 steals per game (1,132 steals/119 games) since the start of the 2024-25 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.3
Milwaukee Bucks Offensive Stats & Trends
The Bucks were 15-4 (.789) when assisting on 30 or more field goals last season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .706
The Bucks were 11-5 (.688) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points last season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .545
The Bucks were 41-27 (.603) when allowing 12 or more offensive rebounds last season — tied for 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .505
The Bucks are 18-4 (.818) when winning the rebounding margin by 10 or more since the start of the 2023-24 season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .760
Golden State Warriors Offensive Stats & Trends
The Warriors have averaged 9.8 steals per game (361 steals/37 games) this season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.4
The Warriors have averaged 4.4 blocks per game (164 blocks/37 games) this season — tied for 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9
The Warriors averaged 36.8 defensive rebounds per game (3,018 rebounds/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
The Warriors have averaged 9.5 steals per game (1,132 steals/119 games) since the start of the 2024-25 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.3
Milwaukee Bucks Defensive Stats & Trends
The Bucks were 15-4 (.789) when assisting on 30 or more field goals last season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .706
The Bucks were 11-5 (.688) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points last season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .545
The Bucks were 41-27 (.603) when allowing 12 or more offensive rebounds last season — tied for 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .505
The Bucks are 18-4 (.818) when winning the rebounding margin by 10 or more since the start of the 2023-24 season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .760
Golden State Warriors Defensive Stats & Trends
The Warriors have averaged 9.8 steals per game (361 steals/37 games) this season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.4
The Warriors have averaged 4.4 blocks per game (164 blocks/37 games) this season — tied for 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9
The Warriors averaged 36.8 defensive rebounds per game (3,018 rebounds/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
The Warriors have averaged 9.5 steals per game (1,132 steals/119 games) since the start of the 2024-25 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.3
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