Bucks vs Wizards Player Prop Bets Tonight – NBA, Jan. 29

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  • Total (Over/Under): Total points
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The Milwaukee Bucks visit Capital One Arena to take on the Washington Wizards on Thursday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:00 pm in Washington, D.C., DC.

The are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().

The Bucks vs Wizards Over/Under is total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Bucks are 19-26 against the spread, while the Wizards are 19-26 against the spread.


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Bucks vs. Wizards Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Milwaukee Bucks O
Washington Wizards U

Wizards vs Bucks Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Bucks will win Thursday‘s game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Bucks and Wizards.

Wizards vs Bucks Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Bucks will cover the spread for Thursday‘s game with 53.0% confidence.


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  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the Game Total Under in 26 of their last 40 games (+10.60 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the Team Total Under in 17 of their last 23 away games (+10.05 Units / 38% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 2H Game Total Under in 28 of their last 45 away games (+8.30 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 27 of their last 45 games (+6.55 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 9 of their last 12 away games (+5.70 Units / 42% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 21 of their last 30 games (+10.75 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 22 of their last 50 games (+10.40 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 13 of their last 23 games (+10.30 Units / 44% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 30 games (+10.10 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 15 of their last 21 games at home (+9.10 Units / 37% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Bucks have gone 19-26 (-9.6 Units / -19.41% ROI).

  • 18-27 against the Moneyline (-16.55 Units / -22.38% ROI)
  • 18-27 against the Over for game total points (-11.7 Units / -23.64% ROI)
  • 27-18 against the Under for game total points (+7.2 Units / 14.55% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Wizards have gone 19-26 (-9.6 Units / -19.39% ROI).

  • 11-34 against the Moneyline (-1.1 Units / -2.38% ROI)
  • 22-23 against the Over for game total points (-3.3 Units / -6.67% ROI)
  • 23-22 against the Under for game total points (-1.2 Units / -2.42% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have only covered the 4Q Spread in 10 of their last 40 games at home (-24.45 Units / -53% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 10 of their last 40 games at home (-19.15 Units / -46% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 7 of their last 40 games at home (-18.21 Units / -43% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have only covered the 2H Spread in 13 of their last 40 games at home (-17.30 Units / -38% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 9 of their last 30 games (-15.55 Units / -44% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 17 of their last 50 games (-23.40 Units / -32% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only covered the 1H Spread in 16 of their last 50 games (-22.15 Units / -38% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 40 games (-21.20 Units / -32% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only covered the 2Q Spread in 18 of their last 50 games (-19.20 Units / -33% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 18 of their last 50 games (-17.65 Units / -28% ROI)

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Milwaukee Bucks: Keys to the Game vs. the Washington Wizards

The Bucks are winless (0-7) when their eFG is 50% or worse this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .218

The Bucks are 1-19 (.050) when their eFG is 50% or worse since the start of the 2024-25 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .195

The Bucks were 34-3 (.919) when shooting 50% or better from the field in the 2023-24 season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .789

The Bucks were 24-8 (.750) when scoring 15 or more fastbreak points last season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .585

Washington Wizards: Keys to the Game vs. the Milwaukee Bucks

The Wizards are winless (0-4) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .578

The Wizards were 3-40 (.070) when allowing 15 or more fastbreak points in the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .431

The Wizards were 6-23 (.207) when scoring 15 or more second chance points last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .557

The Wizards are 2-20 (.091) when forcing fewer than 5 steals since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .390

Milwaukee Bucks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Bucks are shooting 46% from three (104/228) in close and late situations this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35%

The Bucks have an eFG% of 60% in close and late situations this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 53%

The Bucks are shooting 41% from three (326/805) in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Bucks are shooting 41% from three (318/786) at home this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

Washington Wizards Offensive Stats & Trends

The Wizards averaged 19.2 fast break points per game (788 points/41 games) on the road in the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.0

The Wizards averaged 9.1 fast break points per game (748 points/82 games) in the second half in the 2023-24 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.8

The Wizards shot 44% (1,610/3,695) on the road last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 46%

The Wizards averaged 17.6 fast break points per game (1,442 points/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.4

Milwaukee Bucks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Bucks have averaged 4.1 blocks per game (184 blocks/45 games) this season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

The Bucks have averaged 7.7 steals per game (345 steals/45 games) this season — tied for 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.4

The Bucks have averaged 4.7 blocks per game (980 blocks/209 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.0

The Bucks averaged 7.3 steals per game (601 steals/82 games) last season — 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.2

Washington Wizards Defensive Stats & Trends

The Wizards have averaged 6.1 blocks per game (276 blocks/45 games) this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

The Wizards have allowed 17.1 second chance points per game (1,777 points/104 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 14.1

The Wizards have allowed 17.4 second chance points per game (784 points/45 games) this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 15.1

The Wizards averaged 34.0 defensive rebounds per game (2,790 rebounds/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.