- The – are favorites vs. the –
- Total (Over/Under): Total points
- Watch the game on FSUN | CHSN
The Chicago Bulls visit Kaseya Center to take on the Miami Heat on Sunday. Tipoff is scheduled for 6:00 pm in Miami, FL.
The – are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().
The Bulls vs Heat Over/Under is total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Bulls are 22-23 against the spread, while the Heat are 26-21 against the spread.
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Bulls vs. Heat Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Chicago Bulls | O | ||
| Miami Heat | U |
Heat vs Bulls Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
The winning team model predicts the Heat will win Sunday‘s game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Bulls and Heat.
Heat vs Bulls Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Bulls will cover the spread for Sunday‘s game with 55.9% confidence.
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Bulls Best Bets for Tonight:
- Away – Positive ATS Trends
Heat Best Bets for Tonight:
- Home – Positive ATS Trends
Chicago Bulls Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Bulls have gone 22-23 (-3.3 Units / -6.39% ROI).
- 23-24 against the Moneyline (+2.35 Units / 3.53% ROI)
- 21-25 against the Over for game total points (-6.5 Units / -12.57% ROI)
- 25-21 against the Under for game total points (+1.9 Units / 3.68% ROI)
Miami Heat Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Heat have gone 26-21 (+2.9 Units / 5.49% ROI).
- 25-23 against the Moneyline (+1.4 Units / 1.82% ROI)
- 25-22 against the Over for game total points (+0.8 Units / 1.52% ROI)
- 22-25 against the Under for game total points (-5.5 Units / -10.42% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Heat:
- Home – Negative ATS Trends
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Bulls:
- Away – Negative ATS Trends
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Chicago Bulls
- Keys to Winning for the Miami Heat
- Player Injuries for Chicago Bulls vs. Miami Heat
- Chicago Bulls Offensive stats
- Miami Heat Offensive stats
- Chicago Bulls Defensive stats
- Miami Heat Defensive stats
Chicago Bulls: Keys to the Game vs. the Miami Heat
The Bulls were 1-19 (.050) when allowing an eFG of 60% or better in the 2023-24 season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .142
The Bulls are 4-12 (.250) when losing the rebounding margin this season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .370
The Bulls were 2-16 (.111) when losing the rebounding margin by 10 or more last season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .238
The Bulls were 15-2 (.882) when forcing 10 or more steals last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .611
Miami Heat: Keys to the Game vs. the Chicago Bulls
The Heat were 14-8 (.636) when scoring 15 or more second chance points last season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .557
The Heat were 19-10 (.655) when allowing 15 or more second chance points in the 2023-24 season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .448
The Heat are 44-21 (.677) when forcing 10 or more steals since the start of the 2023-24 season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .596
The Heat were 6-21 (.222) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers last season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .354
Chicago Bulls Offensive Stats & Trends
The Bulls averaged 3.4 fast break points per game (200 points/59 games) in close and late situations last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 2.3
The Bulls had 19.7 free throw attempts per game last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 21.7
The Bulls averaged 12.2 turnovers per game (1,004 turnovers/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.6
The Bulls averaged 9.8 fast break points per game (802 points/82 games) in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5
Miami Heat Offensive Stats & Trends
The Heat have averaged 10.7 fast break points per game (535 points/50 games) in the first half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.0
The Heat shot 43% (413/964) in close and late situations in the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 46%
The Heat have averaged 62.1 points per game (3,106 points/50 games) in the first half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 58.2
The Heat averaged 11.5 second chance points per game (943 points/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.8
Chicago Bulls Defensive Stats & Trends
The Bulls have averaged 37.4 defensive rebounds per game (1,834 rebounds/49 games) this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.0
The Bulls averaged 38.2 defensive rebounds per game (3,131 rebounds/82 games) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3
The Bulls have averaged 37.9 defensive rebounds per game (4,965 rebounds/131 games) since the start of the 2024-25 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
The Bulls averaged 7.6 steals per game (621 steals/82 games) last season — tied for 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.2
Miami Heat Defensive Stats & Trends
The Heat averaged 3.8 blocks per game (314 blocks/82 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9
The Heat have averaged 3.8 blocks per game (405 blocks/108 games) on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9
The Heat have averaged 3.8 blocks per game (806 blocks/214 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.0
The Heat averaged 3.4 blocks per game (280 blocks/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1
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