- The – are favorites vs. the –
- Total (Over/Under): Total points
- Watch the game on FSUN | CHSN
The Chicago Bulls visit Kaseya Center to take on the Miami Heat on Saturday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00 pm in Miami, FL.
The – are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().
The Bulls vs Heat Over/Under is total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Bulls are 22-23 against the spread, while the Heat are 26-21 against the spread.
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Bulls vs. Heat Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Chicago Bulls | O | ||
| Miami Heat | U |
Heat vs Bulls Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
The winning team model predicts the Heat will win Saturday‘s game with 64.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Bulls and Heat.
Heat vs Bulls Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Bulls will cover the spread for Saturday‘s game with 61.1% confidence.
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Bulls Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Chicago Bulls have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 24 of their last 40 away games (+10.85 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Chicago Bulls have hit the 2H Moneyline in 22 of their last 40 away games (+10.43 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Chicago Bulls have hit the Team Total Over in 26 of their last 40 away games (+9.90 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Chicago Bulls have hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 40 away games (+9.70 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Chicago Bulls have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 10 of their last 16 away games (+9.00 Units / 49% ROI)
Heat Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Miami Heat have covered the 1H Spread in 28 of their last 40 games at home (+14.00 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have hit the 1H Moneyline in 26 of their last 40 games at home (+12.20 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 20 of their last 30 games at home (+8.40 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 7 of their last 8 games at home (+5.90 Units / 64% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 23 games at home (+5.45 Units / 12% ROI)
Chicago Bulls Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Bulls have gone 22-23 (-3.3 Units / -6.39% ROI).
- 23-24 against the Moneyline (+2.35 Units / 3.53% ROI)
- 21-25 against the Over for game total points (-6.5 Units / -12.57% ROI)
- 25-21 against the Under for game total points (+1.9 Units / 3.68% ROI)
Miami Heat Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Heat have gone 26-21 (+2.9 Units / 5.49% ROI).
- 25-23 against the Moneyline (+1.4 Units / 1.82% ROI)
- 25-22 against the Over for game total points (+0.8 Units / 1.52% ROI)
- 22-25 against the Under for game total points (-5.5 Units / -10.42% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Heat:
- The Miami Heat have only covered the 2H Spread in 13 of their last 40 games at home (-17.74 Units / -39% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 15 of their last 40 games at home (-16.18 Units / -28% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 15 of their last 40 games at home (-13.20 Units / -24% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 10 of their last 30 games at home (-13.05 Units / -38% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only hit the 2H Game Total Under in 17 of their last 40 games at home (-9.50 Units / -21% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Bulls:
- The Chicago Bulls have only hit the Team Total Under in 14 of their last 40 away games (-15.65 Units / -34% ROI)
- The Chicago Bulls have only hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 15 of their last 40 away games (-13.55 Units / -30% ROI)
- The Chicago Bulls have only covered the 1Q Spread in 10 of their last 30 away games (-13.30 Units / -38% ROI)
- The Chicago Bulls have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 9 of their last 35 away games (-11.75 Units / -29% ROI)
- The Chicago Bulls have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 14 of their last 35 away games (-9.85 Units / -25% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Chicago Bulls
- Keys to Winning for the Miami Heat
- Player Injuries for Chicago Bulls vs. Miami Heat
- Chicago Bulls Offensive stats
- Miami Heat Offensive stats
- Chicago Bulls Defensive stats
- Miami Heat Defensive stats
Chicago Bulls: Keys to the Game vs. the Miami Heat
The Bulls are 7-1 (.875) when forcing an eFG of 50% or worse this season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .782
The Bulls are 1-9 (.100) when their eFG is 50% or worse this season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .218
The Bulls were winless (0-5) when scoring fewer than 10 fastbreak points last season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .373
The Bulls were 16-6 (.727) when attempting 25 or more free throws last season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .551
Miami Heat: Keys to the Game vs. the Chicago Bulls
The Heat are 3-14 (.176) when they lose the turnover margin this season — 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .395
The Heat were 18-7 (.720) when attempting 25 or more free throws in the 2023-24 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .554
The Heat are 6-21 (.222) when forcing fewer than 5 steals since the start of the 2023-24 season — 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .390
The Heat were 15-4 (.789) when assisting on 30 or more field goals last season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .706
Chicago Bulls Offensive Stats & Trends
The Bulls averaged 3.4 fast break points per game (200 points/59 games) in close and late situations last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 2.3
The Bulls have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.2 (712 assists/ 328 TOs) in the second half this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8
The Bulls averaged 9.8 fast break points per game (802 points/82 games) in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5
The Bulls have averaged 9.4 fast break points per game (1,216 points/130 games) in the second half since the start of the 2024-25 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3
Miami Heat Offensive Stats & Trends
The Heat have averaged 10.6 fast break points per game (518 points/49 games) in the first half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.0
The Heat averaged 11.1 second chance points per game (454 points/41 games) on the road in the 2023-24 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.6
The Heat have averaged 62.1 points per game (3,043 points/49 games) in the first half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 58.2
The Heat have averaged 54.3 points in the paint per game (2,662 points/49 games) this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 49.6
Chicago Bulls Defensive Stats & Trends
The Bulls have averaged 37.9 defensive rebounds per game (4,921 rebounds/130 games) since the start of the 2024-25 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
The Bulls averaged 38.2 defensive rebounds per game (3,131 rebounds/82 games) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3
The Bulls have averaged 36.7 defensive rebounds per game (7,770 rebounds/212 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
The Bulls have averaged 37.3 defensive rebounds per game (1,790 rebounds/48 games) this season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.0
Miami Heat Defensive Stats & Trends
The Heat have averaged 3.8 blocks per game (802 blocks/213 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.0
The Heat averaged 3.8 blocks per game (314 blocks/82 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9
The Heat averaged 3.4 blocks per game (280 blocks/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1
The Heat have averaged 3.8 blocks per game (405 blocks/108 games) on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9
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