Chicago Bulls vs Miami Heat Prediction, Odds, Lines, Team Props – NBA, Dec. 20

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Dec 20, 2022, 4:30 PM
  • The Heat (16-15) are -4.5 favorites vs. the Bulls (11-18)
  • Total (Over/Under): 222.5 points
  • Tuesday, December 20, 2022 at 7:30pm EST
  • Watch the game on BSSUN & NBCS-CHI

The Chicago Bulls visit FTX Arena to take on the Miami Heat on Tuesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EST in Miami.

The Heat are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-115).

The Bulls vs Heat Over/Under is 221.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Bulls are 12-17 against the spread, while the Heat are 10-19 against the spread.


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Bulls vs. Heat Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Chicago Bulls+2.5 -105O 221.5 -115+120
Miami Heat -2.5 -115U 221.5 -115-145

Heat vs Bulls Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Heat will win Tuesday‘s game with 61.5% confidence.

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Heat will cover the spread for Tuesday‘s game with 51.0% confidence.

These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Bulls and Heat, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.


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  • The Chicago Bulls have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 27 of their last 38 games (+14.47 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bulls have hit the Team Total Under in 37 of their last 57 games (+14.11 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bulls have hit the Game Total Under in 38 of their last 60 games (+13.80 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bulls have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 39 of their last 62 games (+13.60 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bulls have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 25 of their last 38 away games (+10.35 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have hit the 1H Moneyline in 34 of their last 49 games at home (+13.15 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 56 of their last 100 games (+10.90 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 22 of their last 32 games (+10.58 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 29 of their last 46 games (+9.66 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 21 of their last 32 games at home (+9.48 Units / 26% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Bulls have gone 12-17 (-6.7 Units / -21% ROI).

  • 11-18 against the Moneyline (-7.2 Units / -18.23% ROI)
  • 13-16 against the Over for game total points (-4.6 Units / -14.42% ROI)
  • 16-13 against the Under for game total points (+1.7 Units / 5.33% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Heat have gone 10-19 (-10.9 Units / -31.96% ROI).

  • 16-15 against the Moneyline (-11.8 Units / -19.12% ROI)
  • 15-15 against the Over for game total points (-1.5 Units / -4.4% ROI)
  • 15-15 against the Under for game total points (-1.5 Units / -4.4% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 45 of their last 100 games (-24.40 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 27 of their last 65 games (-23.39 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only covered the 2Q Spread in 24 of their last 65 games (-20.94 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 41 of their last 100 games (-20.60 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only hit the Team Total Over in 40 of their last 89 games (-16.55 Units / -16% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bulls have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 25 of their last 78 games (-31.50 Units / -32% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bulls have only covered the 1H Spread in 15 of their last 56 games (-29.05 Units / -47% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bulls have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 22 of their last 66 games (-26.48 Units / -34% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bulls have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 34 of their last 87 games (-26.20 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bulls have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 32 of their last 83 games (-25.15 Units / -25% ROI)

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Chicago Bulls: Keys to the Game vs. the Miami Heat

The Bulls are 24-5 (.828) when forcing an eFG of 50% or worse since the start of the 2021-22 season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .768

The Bulls are 3-29 (.094) when allowing an eFG of 60% or better since the start of the 2020-21 season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .141

The Bulls are 15-16 (.484) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2021-22 season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .552

The Bulls are 14-10 (.583) when allowing 12 or more offensive rebounds since the start of the 2021-22 season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .506

Miami Heat: Keys to the Game vs. the Chicago Bulls

The Heat are 45-18 (.714) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .564

The Heat are 16-12 (.571) when allowing 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2021-22 season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .461

The Heat are 29-3 (.906) when shooting 40% or better from three since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .744

The Heat are 13-8 (.619) when their opponent attempts fewer than 15 free throws since the start of the 2020-21 season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .510

Injury Report: Heat vs. BullsTuesday‘s Game, Dec. 20

  • Caleb Martin (Heat): Martin is questionable for Tuesday’s (Dec. 20) game against Chicago.
  • Jimmy Butler (Heat): Butler is probable for Tuesday’s (Dec. 20) game against Chicago.
  • Udonis Haslem (Heat): Haslem is questionable for Tuesday’s (Dec. 20) game against Chicago.
  • Gabe Vincent (Heat): Vincent is out for Tuesday’s (Dec. 20) game against Chicago.
  • Omer Yurtseven (Heat): The Heat announced that Yurtseven underwent surgery and will be re-evaluated at a later date.
  • Dewayne Dedmon (Heat): Dedmon is probable for Tuesday’s (Dec. 20) game against Chicago.
  • Kyle Lowry (Heat): Lowry is questionable for Tuesday’s (Dec. 20) game against Chicago.
  • Javonte Green (Bulls): Green is questionable for Tuesday’s (Dec. 20) game against Miami.
  • Lonzo Ball (Bulls): Ball is expected to miss at least a few months, according to Shams Charania of The Athletic.

Chicago Bulls Offensive Stats & Trends

The Bulls have an eFG% of 43% in close and late situations this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 52%

The Bulls have averaged 15.2 turnovers per game (213 turnovers/14 games) this season — 10th highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.3

The Bulls have averaged 8.5 turnovers per game (119 turnovers/14 games) in the second half this season — tied for highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.0

The Bulls have 19.9 free throw attempts per game since the start of the 2020-21 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 21.9

Miami Heat Offensive Stats & Trends

The Heat have averaged 41.0 points in the paint per game (1,802 points/44 games) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 46.7

The Heat have averaged 45.5 points in the paint per game (592 points/13 games) this season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 49.0

The Heat are shooting 87% from the free throw line (260/300) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 78%

The Heat have averaged 12.9 turnovers per game (168 turnovers/13 games) this season — tied for 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.3

Chicago Bulls Defensive Stats & Trends

The Bulls have averaged 5.7 blocks per game (80 blocks/14 games) this season — tied for 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.0

The Bulls have averaged 4.3 blocks per game (415 blocks/96 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Bulls have 114 steals this season — tied for 7th most among NBA teams

The Bulls have averaged 4.3 blocks per game (719 blocks/168 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8

Miami Heat Defensive Stats & Trends

The Heat have averaged 2.9 blocks per game (38 blocks/13 games) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

The Heat have averaged 3.2 blocks per game (298 blocks/94 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Heat have averaged 3.0 blocks per game (152 blocks/50 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

The Heat have averaged 3.5 blocks per game (281 blocks/80 games) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.