Bulls vs Nuggets Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Mar. 8

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 08, 2023, 4:30 PM
  • The Nuggets (46-19) are -9.5 favorites vs. the Bulls (29-36)
  • Total (Over/Under): 225.5 points
  • Wednesday, March 8, 2023 at 9:00pm EST
  • Watch the game on ALT & NBCS-CHI

The Chicago Bulls visit Ball Arena to take on the Denver Nuggets on Wednesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 9:00pm EST in Denver.

The Nuggets are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -9.5 (-105).

The Bulls vs Nuggets Over/Under is 225.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Bulls are 30-34 against the spread, while the Nuggets are 36-28 against the spread.


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Bulls vs. Nuggets Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Chicago Bulls+9.5 -115O 225.5 -110+310
Denver Nuggets -9.5 -105U 225.5 -110-400

Nuggets vs Bulls Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Nuggets will win Wednesday‘s game with 68.3% confidence.

Nuggets vs Bulls Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Bulls will cover the spread for Wednesday‘s game with 51.7% confidence.

These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Bulls and Nuggets, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.


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  • The Chicago Bulls have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 48 of their last 74 games (+18.05 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bulls have covered the 1Q Spread in 36 of their last 56 games (+16.15 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bulls have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 29 of their last 42 games (+15.30 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bulls have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 52 of their last 87 games (+14.50 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bulls have hit the 1H Moneyline in 24 of their last 35 games (+13.65 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 44 of their last 61 games (+24.67 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the Moneyline in 26 of their last 28 games at home (+23.20 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 25 of their last 33 games at home (+12.25 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have covered the Spread in 24 of their last 36 games (+11.90 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 51 of their last 86 games (+11.30 Units / 12% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Bulls have gone 30-34 (-7.5 Units / -10.47% ROI).

  • 29-36 against the Moneyline (-8.3 Units / -8.86% ROI)
  • 28-37 against the Over for game total points (-12.7 Units / -17.76% ROI)
  • 37-28 against the Under for game total points (+6.2 Units / 8.67% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Nuggets have gone 36-28 (+5.2 Units / 7.28% ROI).

  • 46-19 against the Moneyline (+19.55 Units / 11.49% ROI)
  • 33-32 against the Over for game total points (-2.2 Units / -3.08% ROI)
  • 32-33 against the Under for game total points (-4.3 Units / -6.01% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 30 of their last 87 games (-34.04 Units / -35% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 37 of their last 86 games (-23.86 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 35 of their last 86 games (-23.07 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 45 of their last 87 games (-17.73 Units / -13% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only covered the 4Q Spread in 37 of their last 86 games (-17.51 Units / -18% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bulls have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 26 of their last 74 games (-27.56 Units / -33% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bulls have only hit the Team Total Over in 35 of their last 87 games (-25.10 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bulls have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 34 of their last 87 games (-23.35 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bulls have only hit the Game Total Over in 35 of their last 87 games (-22.20 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bulls have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 36 of their last 87 games (-21.29 Units / -20% ROI)

Jump to:

Chicago Bulls: Keys to the Game vs. the Denver Nuggets

The Chicago Bulls are 7-23 (.233) when losing the rebounding margin this season — seventh-worst among NBA teams. The Phoenix Suns have averaged 44.4 rebounds per game (2,664 rebounds/60 games) this season — 10th-highest among NBA teams.

The Bulls are 3-23 (.115) when allowing an eFG of 60% or better since the start of the 2021-22 season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .158

The Bulls are 4-35 (.103) when allowing an eFG of 60% or better since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .156

The Bulls are 7-23 (.233) when losing the rebounding margin this season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .325

Denver Nuggets: Keys to the Game vs. the Chicago Bulls

The Nuggets are 44-8 (.846) when forcing 10 or more steals since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .597

The Nuggets are 28-11 (.718) when grabbing 12 or more offensive rebounds since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .495

The Nuggets are 29-7 (.806) when scoring 15 or more fastbreak points this season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .562

The Nuggets are 27-9 (.750) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .575

Injury Report: Nuggets vs. BullsWednesday‘s Game, Mar. 8

  • Michael Porter Jr. (Nuggets): Porter Jr. is probable for Wednesday’s (Mar 8) game against Chicago.
  • Collin Gillespie (Nuggets): Gillespie has not played this season and no timetable has been announced for his return.
  • Zeke Nnaji (Nuggets): Nnaji has not played since Feb. 5 and no timetable has been announced for his return.
  • Vlatko Cancar (Nuggets): Cancar is questionable for Wednesday’s (Mar 8) game against Chicago.
  • Justin Lewis (Bulls): Lewis tore his ACL in an offseason workout. He is out indefinitely.
  • Javonte Green (Bulls): Green continues to progress in his rehabilitation. There is currently no timetable for his return and his status will be updated in approximately two weeks.
  • Lonzo Ball (Bulls): The Bulls are expected to shut Ball down for the rest of the season, according to Shams Charnia of The Athletic.

Chicago Bulls Offensive Stats & Trends

The Bulls have averaged 5.2 second chance points per game (309 points/59 games) in the first half this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.7

The Bulls have averaged 9.8 second chance points per game (284 points/29 games) at home this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.9

The Bulls have averaged 8.5 offensive rebounds per game (503 rebounds/59 games) this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 10.5

The Bulls have averaged 10.9 second chance points per game (645 points/59 games) this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.7

Denver Nuggets Offensive Stats & Trends

The Nuggets are shooting 51% (4,882/9,548) in the first half since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%

The Nuggets have averaged 30.6 assists per game (949 assists/31 games) at home this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 25.4

The Nuggets are shooting 53% (1,393/2,654) in the first half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 48%

The Nuggets have averaged 29.2 assists per game (2,102 assists/72 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 25.2

Chicago Bulls Defensive Stats & Trends

The Bulls have averaged 34.2 defensive rebounds per game (2,020 rebounds/59 games) this season — tied for 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.1

The Bulls have averaged 4.3 blocks per game (909 blocks/213 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8

The Bulls have averaged 7.1 steals per game (1,511 steals/213 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Bulls have averaged 4.2 blocks per game (297 blocks/71 games) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.6

Denver Nuggets Defensive Stats & Trends

The Nuggets have averaged 4.2 blocks per game (893 blocks/214 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8

The Nuggets have averaged 4.0 blocks per game (570 blocks/142 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Nuggets have 458 steals this season — tied for 9th most among NBA teams

The Nuggets have averaged 4.1 blocks per game (284 blocks/70 games) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.6


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