Bulls vs Pistons Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Mar. 1

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 01, 2023, 4:30 PM
  • The Bulls (28-34) are -6.5 favorites vs. the Pistons (15-47)
  • Total (Over/Under): 222.5 points
  • Wednesday, March 1, 2023 at 7:00pm EST
  • Watch the game on BSDET & NBCS-CHI

The Chicago Bulls visit Little Caesars Arena to take on the Detroit Pistons on Wednesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in Detroit.

The Bulls are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (-105).

The Bulls vs Pistons Over/Under is 221.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Bulls are 30-31 against the spread, while the Pistons are 27-32 against the spread.


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Bulls vs. Pistons Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Chicago Bulls-6.5 -105O 221.5 -110-225
Detroit Pistons +6.5 -115U 221.5 -110+180

Pistons vs Bulls Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Bulls will win Wednesday‘s game with 64.0% confidence.

Pistons vs Bulls Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Bulls will cover the spread for Wednesday‘s game with 51.0% confidence.

These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Bulls and Pistons, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.


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  • The Chicago Bulls have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 54 of their last 86 games (+19.85 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bulls have hit the Game Total Under in 54 of their last 86 games (+18.80 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bulls have covered the 1Q Spread in 35 of their last 53 games (+17.35 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bulls have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 46 of their last 71 games (+17.09 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bulls have hit the Team Total Under in 53 of their last 86 games (+15.41 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 48 of their last 73 games (+19.27 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 41 of their last 80 games (+17.26 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 29 of their last 41 games at home (+16.21 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have covered the 2Q Spread in 49 of their last 80 games (+14.48 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 32 of their last 56 games (+8.00 Units / 13% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Bulls have gone 30-31 (-4.15 Units / -6.08% ROI).

  • 28-34 against the Moneyline (-6.2 Units / -7.05% ROI)
  • 25-37 against the Over for game total points (-15.7 Units / -23.02% ROI)
  • 37-25 against the Under for game total points (+9.5 Units / 13.93% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Pistons have gone 27-32 (-8.25 Units / -12.09% ROI).

  • 15-47 against the Moneyline (-15.1 Units / -23.11% ROI)
  • 32-30 against the Over for game total points (-1 Units / -1.47% ROI)
  • 30-32 against the Under for game total points (-5.2 Units / -7.62% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 28 of their last 79 games (-29.71 Units / -33% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 27 of their last 83 games (-26.04 Units / -31% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 32 of their last 82 games (-24.03 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only covered the 1Q Spread in 29 of their last 76 games (-22.90 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 79 games (-21.85 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bulls have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 31 of their last 86 games (-28.55 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bulls have only hit the Team Total Over in 33 of their last 86 games (-28.30 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bulls have only hit the Game Total Over in 32 of their last 86 games (-27.40 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bulls have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 25 of their last 71 games (-26.26 Units / -33% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bulls have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 34 of their last 86 games (-23.75 Units / -23% ROI)

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Chicago Bulls: Keys to the Game vs. the Detroit Pistons

The Chicago Bulls are 45-10 (.818) when winning the rebounding margin since the start of the 2021-22 season — fifth-best among NBA teams. The Brooklyn Nets have averaged 42.8 rebounds per game (5,863 rebounds/137 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for seventh-lowest among NBA teams.

The Chicago Bulls are 18-4 (.818) when winning the rebounding margin this season — fourth-best among NBA teams. The Brooklyn Nets have averaged 40.4 rebounds per game (2,223 rebounds/55 games) this season — second-lowest among NBA teams.

The Bulls are 3-8 (.273) when scoring 15 or more second chance points this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .529

The Bulls are 30-31 (.492) when scoring 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2020-21 season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .542

Detroit Pistons: Keys to the Game vs. the Chicago Bulls

The Pistons are 4-27 (.129) when they lose the turnover margin this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .432

The Pistons are 10-35 (.222) when grabbing fewer than 8 offense rebounds since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .510

The Pistons are 7-34 (.171) when allowing 15 or more fastbreak points since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .429

The Pistons are 2-33 (.057) when losing the rebounding margin this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .330

Injury Report: Pistons vs. BullsWednesday‘s Game, Mar. 1

  • Isaiah Stewart (Pistons): Stewart is OUT for Wednesday’s (Mar 1) game against Chicago.
  • Isaiah Livers (Pistons): Livers is doubtful for Wednesday’s (Mar 1) game against Chicago.
  • Bojan Bogdanovic (Pistons): Bogdanovic is probable for Wednesday’s (Mar 1) game against Chicago.
  • Jalen Duren (Pistons): Duren is OUT for Wednesday’s (Mar 1) game against Chicago.
  • Cade Cunningham (Pistons): Cunningham had season-ending surgery on his shin. He plans on on being ready for next season, according to James Edwards III of The Athletic.
  • Javonte Green (Bulls): Green had surgery on his right knee in January and is not practicing yet, according to Joe Cowley of The Chicago Sun-Times. There is no timetable for his return.
  • Lonzo Ball (Bulls): The Bulls are expected to shut Ball down for the rest of the season, according to Shams Charnia of The Athletic.

Chicago Bulls Offensive Stats & Trends

The Bulls are shooting 49% (2,914/5,924) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%

The Bulls have made 10.6 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.4

The Bulls have averaged 5.7 second chance points per game (1,185 points/209 games) in the first half since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.6

The Bulls are shooting 30% from three (72/242) in close and late situations this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 33%

Detroit Pistons Offensive Stats & Trends

The Pistons are shooting 43% (2,567/5,902) in the second half since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 46%

The Pistons have an eFG% of 50% in the second half since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 53%

The Pistons are shooting 44% (5,347/12,157) since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%

The Pistons have 26.8 free throw attempts per game this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 23.7

Chicago Bulls Defensive Stats & Trends

The Bulls have averaged 34.3 defensive rebounds per game (1,885 rebounds/55 games) this season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.0

The Bulls have averaged 7.0 steals per game (724 steals/104 games) at home since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Bulls have averaged 4.2 blocks per game (444 blocks/105 games) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Bulls have averaged 4.3 blocks per game (447 blocks/104 games) at home since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

Detroit Pistons Defensive Stats & Trends

The Pistons have averaged 32.0 defensive rebounds per game (6,730 rebounds/210 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.9

The Pistons have averaged 3.7 blocks per game (207 blocks/56 games) this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Pistons have averaged 31.2 defensive rebounds per game (1,748 rebounds/56 games) this season — 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.0

The Pistons have averaged 31.7 defensive rebounds per game (4,373 rebounds/138 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.7


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