Cleveland Cavaliers vs Boston Celtics Prediction, Odds, Lines, Team Props – NBA, Oct. 28

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Oct 28, 2022, 4:30 PM
  • The Celtics are -6.5 favorites vs. the Cavaliers
  • Total (Over/Under): 218.5 points
  • Friday, October 28, 2022 at 7:30pm EDT
  • Watch the game on NBCS-BOS & BSOH

The Cleveland Cavaliers visit TD Garden to take on the Boston Celtics on Friday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EDT in Boston.

The Celtics are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (-110).

The Cavaliers vs Celtics Over/Under is 218.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Cavaliers are 3-1 against the spread, while the Celtics are 2-2 against the spread.


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Cavaliers vs. Celtics Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Cleveland Cavaliers+6.5 -110O 218.5 -110200
Boston Celtics -6.5 -110U 218.5 -110-250

Celtics vs Cavaliers Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Celtics will win Friday‘s game with 66.3% confidence.

Celtics vs Cavaliers Spread Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Cavaliers will cover the spread for Friday‘s game with 51.0% confidence.

These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Cavaliers and Celtics, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.


  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the 1H Moneyline in 46 of their last 81 games (+10.85 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 34 of their last 58 games (+7.55 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 46 of their last 83 games (+7.55 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the Team Total Under in 19 of their last 29 away games (+7.40 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have covered the 1Q Spread in 25 of their last 41 away games (+7.30 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have covered the 1Q Spread in 53 of their last 87 games (+15.98 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 34 of their last 50 games at home (+15.93 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 58 of their last 90 games (+15.10 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 43 of their last 69 games (+13.27 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 31 of their last 48 games at home (+12.30 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Against the spread this NBA season, the Cavaliers have gone 3-1 (+1.9 Units / 43.18% ROI).

    • 3-1 against the Moneyline (+2 Units / 25.64% ROI)
    • 2-2 against the Over for game total points (-0.2 Units / -4.55% ROI)
    • 2-2 against the Under for game total points (-0.2 Units / -4.55% ROI)

    Against the spread this NBA season, the Celtics have gone 2-2 (-0.2 Units / -4.6% ROI).

    • 3-1 against the Moneyline (+0.8 Units / 9.14% ROI)
    • 2-2 against the Over for game total points (-0.2 Units / -4.55% ROI)
    • 2-2 against the Under for game total points (-0.2 Units / -4.55% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 40 of their last 100 games (-28.02 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 41 of their last 99 games (-25.02 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 52 of their last 100 games (-20.82 Units / -13% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 17 of their last 48 games at home (-17.15 Units / -32% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 17 of their last 47 games at home (-14.85 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 20 away games (-16.30 Units / -55% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 28 of their last 62 games (-15.18 Units / -18% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 37 of their last 83 games (-14.78 Units / -16% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 35 of their last 77 games (-14.48 Units / -16% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only covered the Spread in 22 of their last 57 games (-14.40 Units / -23% ROI)
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    Cleveland Cavaliers: Keys to the Game vs. the Boston Celtics

    The Cavaliers were 29-15 (.659) when scoring more second chance points than their opponent last season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .552

    The Cavaliers are 24-27 (.471) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2020-21 season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .549

    The Cavaliers are 18-53 (.254) when losing the rebounding margin since the start of the 2020-21 season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .301

    The Cavaliers were 5-13 (.278) when their opponent attempts 25 or more free throws last season — 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .450

    Boston Celtics: Keys to the Game vs. the Cleveland Cavaliers

    The Boston Celtics were 37-11 (.771) when winning the rebounding margin last season — 10th-best among NBA teams. The Cleveland Cavaliers averaged 43.3 rebounds per game (3,509 rebounds/81 games) last season — 10th-lowest among NBA teams.

    The Celtics are 65-20 (.765) when winning the rebounding margin since the start of the 2020-21 season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .697

    The Celtics are 21-14 (.600) when attempting 15 or less free throws since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .480

    The Celtics are 53-10 (.841) when forcing an eFG of 50% or worse since the start of the 2020-21 season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .776

    Injury Report: Celtics vs. CavaliersFriday‘s Game, Oct. 28

  • Danilo Gallinari (Celtics): The Celtics announced that Gallinari tore his ACL in his left knee. There is no timetable for his return.
  • Robert Williams III (Celtics): Williams III underwent a procedure and will need 4-6 weeks to recover, according to Adrian Wojnarowski of ESPN.
  • Dylan Windler (Cavaliers): Windler is out for Friday’s (Oct. 28) game against Boston.
  • Darius Garland (Cavaliers): Garland is out for Friday’s (Oct. 28) game against Boston.
  • Ricky Rubio (Cavaliers): Rubio will miss the start of the season as he recovers from a left ACL tear.
  • Cleveland Cavaliers Offensive Stats & Trends

    The Cavaliers are shooting 33% from three (740/2,255) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

    The Cavaliers have averaged 103.9 points per game (15,898 points/153 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 110.8

    The Cavaliers made 11.3 three-pointers per game last season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.4

    The Cavaliers have made 9.7 three-pointers per game on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.4

    Boston Celtics Offensive Stats & Trends

    The Celtics had an eFG% of 48% in close and late situations last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 52%

    The Celtics averaged 10.8 fast break points per game (889 points/82 games) last season — tied for 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.5

    The Celtics averaged 56.0 points per game (4,539 points/81 games) in the second half last season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 54.1

    The Celtics averaged 23.4 points in the paint per game (1,896 points/81 games) in the second half last season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 22.7

    Cleveland Cavaliers Defensive Stats & Trends

    The Cavaliers have averaged 32.6 defensive rebounds per game (4,995 rebounds/153 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 34.1

    The Cavaliers averaged 4.1 blocks per game (330 blocks/81 games) last season — tied for 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

    The Cavaliers averaged 7.0 steals per game (567 steals/81 games) last season — tied for 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6

    The Cavaliers have averaged 4.1 blocks per game (309 blocks/76 games) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

    Boston Celtics Defensive Stats & Trends

    The Celtics averaged 35.1 defensive rebounds per game (2,882 rebounds/82 games) last season — tied for 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.9

    The Celtics averaged 5.7 blocks per game (470 blocks/82 games) last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

    The Celtics blocked 470 shots last season — 2nd most among NBA teams

    The Celtics have averaged 7.9 steals per game (605 steals/77 games) at home since the start of the 2020-21 season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5


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