- The Hawks are -8.5 favorites vs. the Cavaliers
- Total (Over/Under): 233.5 points
- Watch the game on Amazon
The Cleveland Cavaliers visit State Farm Arena to take on the Atlanta Hawks on Friday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:00 pm in Atlanta, GA.
The Hawks are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -8.5 (-105).
The Cavaliers vs Hawks Over/Under is 233.5 total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Cavaliers are 31-47 against the spread, while the Hawks are 43-37 against the spread.
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Cavaliers vs. Hawks Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
Hawks vs Cavaliers Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
The winning team model predicts the Hawks will win Friday‘s game with 68.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Cavaliers and Hawks.
Hawks vs Cavaliers Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Cavaliers will cover the spread for Friday‘s game with 64.7% confidence.
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Cavaliers Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Cleveland Cavaliers have covered the 4Q Spread in 33 of their last 45 away games (+19.15 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 33 of their last 45 away games (+18.40 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 18 of their last 23 games (+12.20 Units / 46% ROI)
- The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 21 of their last 30 away games (+10.60 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 23 away games (+9.30 Units / 12% ROI)
Hawks Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Atlanta Hawks have hit the 1H Moneyline in 32 of their last 50 games (+19.05 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Atlanta Hawks have hit the Moneyline in 25 of their last 35 games (+15.80 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Atlanta Hawks have covered the 2Q Spread in their last 14 games (+14.00 Units / 86% ROI)
- The Atlanta Hawks have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 20 of their last 24 games (+13.45 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Atlanta Hawks have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 21 of their last 30 games (+11.80 Units / 34% ROI)
Cleveland Cavaliers Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Cavaliers have gone 31-47 (-20.7 Units / -23.52% ROI).
- 51-29 against the Moneyline (-15.8 Units / -5.47% ROI)
- 39-41 against the Over for game total points (-6.1 Units / -6.93% ROI)
- 41-39 against the Under for game total points (-1.9 Units / -2.16% ROI)
Atlanta Hawks Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Hawks have gone 43-37 (+2.35 Units / 2.67% ROI).
- 45-35 against the Moneyline (+7.45 Units / 4.23% ROI)
- 40-40 against the Over for game total points (-4 Units / -4.55% ROI)
- 40-40 against the Under for game total points (-4 Units / -4.55% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Hawks:
- The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 18 of their last 50 games (-17.70 Units / -30% ROI)
- The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the 2H Game Total Over in 16 of their last 45 games (-17.13 Units / -33% ROI)
- The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 14 of their last 35 games (-15.70 Units / -29% ROI)
- The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 15 of their last 40 games at home (-13.70 Units / -30% ROI)
- The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 10 of their last 30 games (-12.80 Units / -37% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Cavaliers:
- The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 11 of their last 35 away games (-20.45 Units / -38% ROI)
- The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 23 of their last 50 games (-19.40 Units / -22% ROI)
- The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 9 of their last 19 games (-18.95 Units / -30% ROI)
- The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 16 of their last 45 away games (-17.75 Units / -34% ROI)
- The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 15 of their last 45 away games (-16.85 Units / -33% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Cleveland Cavaliers
- Keys to Winning for the Atlanta Hawks
- Player Injuries for Cleveland Cavaliers vs. Atlanta Hawks
- Cleveland Cavaliers Offensive stats
- Atlanta Hawks Offensive stats
- Cleveland Cavaliers Defensive stats
- Atlanta Hawks Defensive stats
Cleveland Cavaliers: Keys to the Game vs. the Atlanta Hawks
The Cavaliers are 83-11 (.883) when shooting 50% or better from the field since the start of the 2023-24 season — 4th-best in the NBA. The Hawks have allowed opponents to shoot 48% since the start of the 2023-24 season — T-4th-worst in the NBA.
The Cavaliers are 33-7 (.825) when winning the rebounding margin this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .657
The Cavaliers are 26-13 (.667) when scoring 15 or more second chance points this season — tied for 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .539
The Cavaliers are 31-14 (.689) when they win the turnover margin this season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .594
Atlanta Hawks: Keys to the Game vs. the Cleveland Cavaliers
The Hawks are winless (0-6) when scoring fewer than 10 fastbreak points this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .373
The Hawks are 5-15 (.250) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers this season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .366
The Hawks are 1-12 (.077) when scoring fewer than 10 fastbreak points since the start of the 2024-25 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .373
The Hawks are 29-10 (.744) when forcing 10 or more steals this season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .604
Cleveland Cavaliers Offensive Stats & Trends
The Cavaliers have averaged 60.8 points per game (9,850 points/162 games) in the second half since the start of the 2024-25 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 56.7
The Cavaliers have a TS% of 54% in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%
The Cavaliers have averaged 61.2 points per game (4,896 points/80 games) in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 56.9
The Cavaliers have an eFG% of 56% this season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 55%
Atlanta Hawks Offensive Stats & Trends
The Hawks have averaged 30.2 assists per game (2,413 assists/80 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 26.7
The Hawks have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.1 (2,413 assists/ 1,132 TOs) this season — tied for 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8
The Hawks have averaged 10.6 fast break points per game (844 points/80 games) in the first half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.9
The Hawks have averaged 60.7 points per game (4,854 points/80 games) in the first half this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 58.1
Cleveland Cavaliers Defensive Stats & Trends
The Cavaliers have averaged 4.6 blocks per game (1,129 blocks/244 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.0
The Cavaliers have averaged 4.7 blocks per game (570 blocks/122 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1
The Cavaliers have allowed opponents to shoot 46% (3,300/7,120) this season — 8th best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 47%
The Cavaliers have allowed 46.4 points in the paint per game (11,314 points/244 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 3rd best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 49.7
Atlanta Hawks Defensive Stats & Trends
The Hawks have allowed an eFG% of 48% in close and late situations this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 53%
The Hawks have 753 steals this season — 5th most among NBA teams
The Hawks have averaged 8.9 steals per game (2,167 steals/244 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.0
The Hawks have averaged 9.9 steals per game (814 steals/82 games) on the road since the start of the 2024-25 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.4
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