Cavaliers vs Hawks Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Mar. 28

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 28, 2023, 5:30 PM
  • The Cavaliers (48-28) are -1.5 favorites vs. the Hawks (37-38)
  • Total (Over/Under): 235.5 points
  • Tuesday, March 28, 2023 at 7:30pm EDT
  • Watch the game on BSSE & BSOH

The Cleveland Cavaliers visit State Farm Arena to take on the Atlanta Hawks on Tuesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EDT in Atlanta.

The Hawks are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-105).

The Cavaliers vs Hawks Over/Under is 238.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Cavaliers are 39-33 against the spread, while the Hawks are 34-40 against the spread.


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Cavaliers vs. Hawks Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Cleveland Cavaliers+2.5 -115O 238.5 -115+115
Atlanta Hawks -2.5 -105U 238.5 -115-135

Hawks vs Cavaliers Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Cavaliers will win Tuesday‘s game with 51.2% confidence.

Hawks vs Cavaliers Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Cavaliers will cover the spread for Tuesday‘s game with 51.2% confidence.

These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Cavaliers and Hawks, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.


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  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 50 of their last 75 games (+21.92 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 47 of their last 74 games (+16.10 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 22 of their last 29 games (+12.94 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 38 of their last 62 games (+12.90 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 23 games (+10.40 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 36 of their last 56 games (+13.00 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 51 of their last 89 games (+10.32 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 23 of their last 34 games (+10.20 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the Game Total Over in 43 of their last 73 games (+10.00 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have covered the 1Q Spread in 22 of their last 34 games (+8.90 Units / 24% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Cavaliers have gone 39-33 (+2.65 Units / 3.17% ROI).

  • 48-28 against the Moneyline (+7.25 Units / 3.91% ROI)
  • 38-38 against the Over for game total points (-3.8 Units / -4.55% ROI)
  • 38-38 against the Under for game total points (-3.8 Units / -4.55% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Hawks have gone 34-40 (-10 Units / -12.12% ROI).

  • 37-38 against the Moneyline (-18.65 Units / -12.96% ROI)
  • 43-32 against the Over for game total points (+7.8 Units / 9.45% ROI)
  • 32-43 against the Under for game total points (-15.3 Units / -18.55% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 24 of their last 70 games (-29.29 Units / -36% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only covered the 4Q Spread in 25 of their last 70 games (-24.68 Units / -32% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 28 of their last 72 games (-22.63 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 39 of their last 86 games (-22.18 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 36 of their last 89 games (-21.69 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 36 of their last 86 games (-32.32 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 26 of their last 77 games (-31.42 Units / -36% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 29 of their last 78 games (-26.23 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only covered the 3Q Spread in 33 of their last 86 games (-26.07 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 33 of their last 82 games (-19.95 Units / -22% ROI)

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Cleveland Cavaliers: Keys to the Game vs. the Atlanta Hawks

The Cavaliers are 1-22 (.043) when allowing an eFG of 60% or better since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .166

The Cavaliers are 14-44 (.241) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers since the start of the 2020-21 season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .315

The Cavaliers are 34-13 (.723) when scoring 110 or more points this season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .643

The Cavaliers are 25-15 (.625) when their opponent attempts fewer than 15 free throws since the start of the 2020-21 season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .512

Atlanta Hawks: Keys to the Game vs. the Cleveland Cavaliers

The Atlanta Hawks are 3-13 (.188) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers this season — 10th-worst among NBA teams. The Golden State Warriors made 16.7 three-pointers per game this season — highest among NBA teams.

The Hawks are 60-13 (.822) when shooting 50% or better from the field since the start of the 2020-21 season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .771

The Hawks are 21-12 (.636) when their opponent attempts fewer than 15 free throws since the start of the 2020-21 season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .513

The Hawks are 7-14 (.333) when shooting 70% or worse from the free throw line since the start of the 2020-21 season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .391

Injury Report: Hawks vs. CavaliersTuesday‘s Game, Mar. 28

  • Jalen Johnson (Hawks): The Hawks announced that Johnson suffered a mild left groin strain and will be re-evaluated in one week.
  • Danny Green (Cavaliers): The Cavaliers placed Green in the league’s health and safety protocols.
  • Dean Wade (Cavaliers): Wade is doubtful for Tuesday’s (Mar. 28) game against Atlanta.
  • Raul Neto (Cavaliers): Neto is out for Tuesday’s (Mar. 28) game against Atlanta.
  • Isaac Okoro (Cavaliers): Okoro is questionable for Tuesday’s (Mar. 28) game against Atlanta.
  • Jarrett Allen (Cavaliers): Allen is questionable for Tuesday’s (Mar. 28) game against Atlanta.

Cleveland Cavaliers Offensive Stats & Trends

The Cavaliers averaged 102.5 points per game (7,379 points/72 games) in the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 111.8

The Cavaliers have averaged 107.4 points per game (24,059 points/224 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 112.2

The Cavaliers have averaged 52.1 points per game (11,627 points/223 games) in the second half since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 55.0

The Cavaliers shot 34% from three (714/2,125) in the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 37%

Atlanta Hawks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Hawks have averaged 12.0 turnovers per game (890 turnovers/74 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.9

The Hawks have averaged 12.6 turnovers per game (2,810 turnovers/223 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.9

The Hawks are shooting 48% (3,059/6,352) this season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%

The Hawks have a 24% free throw rate (1,509 free throw attempts/6,352 field goal attempts) this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 27%

Cleveland Cavaliers Defensive Stats & Trends

The Cavaliers have averaged 34.1 defensive rebounds per game (2,387 rebounds/70 games) this season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Cavaliers have averaged 34.8 defensive rebounds per game (7,799 rebounds/224 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 36.0

The Cavaliers have averaged 4.3 blocks per game (973 blocks/224 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Cavaliers have averaged 7.1 steals per game (1,086 steals/152 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

Atlanta Hawks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Hawks have averaged 7.1 steals per game (1,073 steals/151 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Hawks have averaged 7.1 steals per game (1,576 steals/223 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Hawks have averaged 6.7 steals per game (515 steals/77 games) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Hawks have averaged 6.8 steals per game (774 steals/113 games) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.