Cavaliers vs Mavericks Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Mar. 13

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  • Total (Over/Under): Total points
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The Cleveland Cavaliers visit American Airlines Center to take on the Dallas Mavericks on Friday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:30 pm in Dallas, TX.

The are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().

The Cavaliers vs Mavericks Over/Under is total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Cavaliers are 27-38 against the spread, while the Mavericks are 29-37 against the spread.


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Cavaliers vs. Mavericks Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Cleveland Cavaliers O
Dallas Mavericks U

Mavericks vs Cavaliers Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Cavaliers will win Friday‘s game with 71.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Cavaliers and Mavericks.

Mavericks vs Cavaliers Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Cavaliers will cover the spread for Friday‘s game with 51.0% confidence.


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  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have covered the 4Q Spread in 30 of their last 45 away games (+12.70 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 30 of their last 45 away games (+11.60 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the 2H Moneyline in 32 of their last 50 games (+9.75 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 25 games (+9.30 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 15 of their last 21 away games (+8.00 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 30 of their last 45 games (+13.65 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 24 of their last 35 games at home (+12.45 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have covered the 2H Spread in 21 of their last 30 games at home (+10.70 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 2H Game Total Over in 11 of their last 13 games at home (+8.75 Units / 58% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the Game Total Under in their last 8 games (+8.00 Units / 91% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Cavaliers have gone 27-38 (-14.8 Units / -20.39% ROI).

  • 40-26 against the Moneyline (-13.35 Units / -6.54% ROI)
  • 31-35 against the Over for game total points (-7.5 Units / -10.33% ROI)
  • 35-31 against the Under for game total points (+0.9 Units / 1.24% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Mavericks have gone 29-37 (-11.75 Units / -16.17% ROI).

  • 22-44 against the Moneyline (-17.85 Units / -21% ROI)
  • 27-39 against the Over for game total points (-15.9 Units / -21.9% ROI)
  • 39-27 against the Under for game total points (+9.3 Units / 12.81% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 15 of their last 50 games (-20.15 Units / -36% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 14 of their last 45 games (-19.70 Units / -39% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 10 of their last 35 games at home (-17.90 Units / -44% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 21 games (-17.90 Units / -71% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only covered the 1Q Spread in 19 of their last 50 games (-16.65 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 17 of their last 45 games (-27.90 Units / -38% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only covered the 2Q Spread in 16 of their last 45 games (-17.25 Units / -33% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 18 of their last 45 away games (-15.95 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 17 of their last 45 away games (-14.40 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 27 of their last 50 games (-12.95 Units / -11% ROI)

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Cleveland Cavaliers: Keys to the Game vs. the Dallas Mavericks

The Cavaliers were undefeated (14-0) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .455

The Cavaliers were 11-2 (.846) when attempting 15 or less free throws last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .420

The Cavaliers were 13-1 (.929) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .545

The Cavaliers were 29-6 (.829) when shooting 80% or better from the free throw line last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .545

Dallas Mavericks: Keys to the Game vs. the Cleveland Cavaliers

The Mavericks are 5-20 (.200) when their opponent attempts 25 or more free throws this season — 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .447

The Mavericks are 8-23 (.258) when losing the rebounding margin this season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .368

The Mavericks are 2-9 (.182) when losing the rebounding margin by 10 or more this season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .235

The Mavericks are undefeated (22-0) when forcing their opponent to shoot 40% or worse from the field since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: .899

Cleveland Cavaliers Offensive Stats & Trends

The Cavaliers had a TS% of 54% last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%

The Cavaliers made 15.9 three-pointers per game last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.5

The Cavaliers have a TS% of 52% this season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%

The Cavaliers have averaged 118.8 points per game (7,840 points/66 games) this season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 115.4

Dallas Mavericks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Mavericks are shooting 33% from three (341/1,044) in the first half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Mavericks have made 10.6 three-pointers per game this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.3

The Mavericks are shooting 74% from the free throw line (1,251/1,681) this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 78%

The Mavericks have averaged 6.7 second chance points per game (442 points/66 games) in the second half this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

Cleveland Cavaliers Defensive Stats & Trends

The Cavaliers have averaged 8.8 steals per game (578 steals/66 games) this season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.4

The Cavaliers averaged 36.4 defensive rebounds per game (2,985 rebounds/82 games) last season — tied for 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3

The Cavaliers averaged 4.6 blocks per game (380 blocks/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

The Cavaliers have averaged 4.7 blocks per game (547 blocks/116 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

Dallas Mavericks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Mavericks have blocked 348 shots this season — 9th most among NBA teams

The Mavericks averaged 36.0 defensive rebounds per game (2,951 rebounds/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Mavericks have averaged 5.3 blocks per game (1,208 blocks/230 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.0

The Mavericks have averaged 7.3 steals per game (483 steals/66 games) this season — 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.4


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.