Cavaliers vs Nuggets Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Feb. 9

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  • Total (Over/Under): Total points
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The Cleveland Cavaliers visit Ball Arena to take on the Denver Nuggets on Monday. Tipoff is scheduled for 9:00 pm in Denver, CO.

The are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().

The Cavaliers vs Nuggets Over/Under is total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Cavaliers are 21-32 against the spread, while the Nuggets are 31-22 against the spread.


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Cavaliers vs. Nuggets Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Cleveland Cavaliers O
Denver Nuggets U

Nuggets vs Cavaliers Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Cavaliers will win Monday‘s game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Cavaliers and Nuggets.

Nuggets vs Cavaliers Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Cavaliers will cover the spread for Monday‘s game with 51.4% confidence.


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  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the 2H Moneyline in 31 of their last 45 games (+15.34 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have covered the 4Q Spread in 30 of their last 45 away games (+12.85 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 31 of their last 45 games (+11.95 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 15 of their last 21 games (+10.35 Units / 44% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 12 games (+7.90 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 18 games (+13.45 Units / 50% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the Game Total Over in 27 of their last 40 games (+12.73 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the Team Total Over in 27 of their last 40 games (+11.70 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 14 of their last 19 games (+10.30 Units / 46% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have covered the 1Q Spread in 31 of their last 50 games (+10.30 Units / 18% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Cavaliers have gone 21-32 (-14.2 Units / -24.36% ROI).

  • 32-21 against the Moneyline (-14.75 Units / -9.38% ROI)
  • 25-28 against the Over for game total points (-5.8 Units / -9.95% ROI)
  • 28-25 against the Under for game total points (+0.5 Units / 0.86% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Nuggets have gone 31-22 (+6.8 Units / 11.65% ROI).

  • 34-19 against the Moneyline (+5.65 Units / 4.12% ROI)
  • 34-19 against the Over for game total points (+13.13 Units / 22.53% ROI)
  • 19-34 against the Under for game total points (-18.4 Units / -31.53% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the Team Total Under in 13 of their last 40 games (-17.85 Units / -39% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the Game Total Under in 13 of their last 40 games (-16.70 Units / -38% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 20 of their last 45 games at home (-15.80 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 4 of their last 18 games at home (-15.73 Units / -54% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 2H Game Total Under in 17 of their last 45 games (-14.91 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 19 of their last 50 games (-30.20 Units / -37% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 23 of their last 50 games (-28.25 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only covered the 1H Spread in 16 of their last 50 games (-22.15 Units / -38% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only covered the 2Q Spread in 18 of their last 50 games (-19.35 Units / -33% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 17 of their last 40 games (-16.90 Units / -24% ROI)

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Cleveland Cavaliers: Keys to the Game vs. the Denver Nuggets

The Cavaliers were undefeated (14-0) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .455

The Cavaliers were 46-7 (.868) when making 15 or more three-pointers last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .646

The Cavaliers are 38-10 (.792) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .545

The Cavaliers were 29-6 (.829) when shooting 80% or better from the free throw line last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .545

Denver Nuggets: Keys to the Game vs. the Cleveland Cavaliers

The Nuggets are 28-12 (.700) when scoring 110 or more points this season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .642

The Nuggets were 13-1 (.929) when forcing 10 or more steals in the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .572

The Nuggets are 17-5 (.773) when they win the turnover margin this season — tied for 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .603

The Nuggets are 20-5 (.800) when shooting 40% or better from three this season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .690

Cleveland Cavaliers Offensive Stats & Trends

The Cavaliers have averaged 61.4 points per game (3,193 points/52 games) in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 56.8

The Cavaliers had an eFG% of 58% last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 54%

The Cavaliers are shooting 47% (2,265/4,777) this season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%

The Cavaliers shot 38% from three (640/1,671) on the road last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

Denver Nuggets Offensive Stats & Trends

The Nuggets have averaged 1.42 points per shot (3,396 points/2,400 shots) on the road this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.28

The Nuggets averaged 10.7 points in the paint per game (586 points/55 games) in close and late situations last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.5

The Nuggets have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.2 (1,448 assists/ 659 TOs) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Nuggets had an assist to turnover ratio of 2.5 (302 assists/ 122 TOs) in close and late situations last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.7

Cleveland Cavaliers Defensive Stats & Trends

The Cavaliers have averaged 9.1 steals per game (473 steals/52 games) this season — tied for 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.4

The Cavaliers have averaged 4.6 blocks per game (996 blocks/216 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.0

The Cavaliers averaged 4.3 blocks per game (350 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

The Cavaliers have blocked 266 shots this season — tied for 8th most among NBA teams

Denver Nuggets Defensive Stats & Trends

The Nuggets have forced 11.9 turnovers per game (620 turnovers/52 games) this season — lowest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 14.6

The Nuggets have averaged 4.2 blocks per game (220 blocks/52 games) this season — tied for 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

The Nuggets averaged 35.9 defensive rebounds per game (2,946 rebounds/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Nuggets have averaged 35.9 defensive rebounds per game (1,868 rebounds/52 games) this season — tied for 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.0


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