- The Nuggets (25-13) are -6.5 favorites vs. the Cavaliers (25-14)
- Total (Over/Under): 221.5 points
- Friday, January 6, 2023 at 9:00pm EST
- Watch the game on ALT & BSOH
The Cleveland Cavaliers visit Ball Arena to take on the Denver Nuggets on Friday. Tipoff is scheduled for 9:00pm EST in Denver.
The Nuggets are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -5.5 (-110).
The Cavaliers vs Nuggets Over/Under is 220.5 total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Cavaliers are 18-17 against the spread, while the Nuggets are 19-19 against the spread.
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Cavaliers vs. Nuggets Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
Cleveland Cavaliers | +5.5 -110 | O 220.5 -115 | +180 |
Denver Nuggets | -5.5 -110 | U 220.5 -115 | -225 |
Nuggets vs Cavaliers Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Nuggets will win Friday‘s game with 64.5% confidence.
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Cavaliers will cover the spread for Friday‘s game with 52.8% confidence.
These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Cavaliers and Nuggets, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.
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Cavaliers Team Prop Bets for Tonight, Ranked by Units Won:
- The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 47 of their last 80 games (+10.21 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 24 of their last 37 games (+9.13 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the Team Total Under in 23 of their last 36 away games (+8.05 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the 2H Moneyline in 23 of their last 36 games (+6.94 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 10 of their last 13 away games (+6.42 Units / 43% ROI)
Nuggets Team Prop Bets for Tonight, Ranked by Units Won:
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 52 of their last 83 games (+17.10 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the Game Total Over in 50 of their last 86 games (+11.50 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have covered the 1Q Spread in 51 of their last 89 games (+10.70 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 12 games at home (+9.70 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the Team Total Over in 29 of their last 46 games at home (+9.70 Units / 18% ROI)
Cleveland Cavaliers Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Cavaliers have gone 18-17 (-0.7 Units / -1.63% ROI).
- 25-14 against the Moneyline (+5.05 Units / 6.39% ROI)
- 18-21 against the Over for game total points (-5.1 Units / -11.89% ROI)
- 21-18 against the Under for game total points (+1.2 Units / 2.8% ROI)
Denver Nuggets Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Nuggets have gone 19-19 (-1.9 Units / -4.55% ROI).
- 25-13 against the Moneyline (+5.15 Units / 5.6% ROI)
- 19-19 against the Over for game total points (-1.9 Units / -4.55% ROI)
- 19-19 against the Under for game total points (-1.9 Units / -4.55% ROI)
Negative Value Trends Against the Spread for the Nuggets, Ranked by Units Lost:
- The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 34 of their last 89 games (-29.34 Units / -29% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 35 of their last 75 games (-25.93 Units / -22% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have only hit the Game Total Under in 35 of their last 86 games (-20.00 Units / -21% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 38 of their last 84 games (-19.63 Units / -18% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have only hit the Team Total Under in 37 of their last 86 games (-19.20 Units / -19% ROI)
Negative Value Trends Against the Spread for the Cavaliers, Ranked by Units Lost:
- The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 35 away games (-23.30 Units / -43% ROI)
- The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 35 of their last 84 games (-19.74 Units / -21% ROI)
- The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 33 of their last 73 games (-19.65 Units / -17% ROI)
- The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 28 of their last 65 games (-18.27 Units / -22% ROI)
- The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 34 of their last 80 games (-17.90 Units / -20% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Cleveland Cavaliers
- Keys to Winning for the Denver Nuggets
- Player Injuries for Cleveland Cavaliers vs. Denver Nuggets
- Cleveland Cavaliers Offensive stats
- Denver Nuggets Offensive stats
- Cleveland Cavaliers Defensive stats
- Denver Nuggets Defensive stats
Cleveland Cavaliers: Keys to the Game vs. the Denver Nuggets
The Cavaliers are 10-9 (.526) when attempting 15 or less free throws since the start of the 2020-21 season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .480
The Cavaliers are 27-30 (.474) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2020-21 season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .548
The Cavaliers are 25-37 (.403) when scoring fewer second chance points than their opponent since the start of the 2020-21 season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .455
The Cavaliers are 14-63 (.182) when allowing 110 or more points since the start of the 2020-21 season — 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .308
Denver Nuggets: Keys to the Game vs. the Cleveland Cavaliers
The Nuggets are 51-19 (.729) when they win the turnover margin since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .568
The Nuggets are 33-11 (.750) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .548
The Nuggets are 28-15 (.651) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2021-22 season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .543
The Nuggets are 17-6 (.739) when their opponent attempts fewer than 15 free throws since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .510
Injury Report: Nuggets vs. Cavaliers – Friday‘s Game, Jan. 6
- Peyton Watson (Nuggets): Watson did not play in Thursday’s game (Jan. 5).
- Jeff Green (Nuggets): Green is dealing with fractured left hand and sprained finger and will be re-evaluated in a month, according to Adrian Wojnarowski of ESPN.
- Collin Gillespie (Nuggets): The Nuggets announced that Gillespie is out indefinitely after undergoing surgery to repair a lower left leg fracture.
- Dean Wade (Cavaliers): The Cavaliers announced that Wade has an AC joint sprain and is expected to miss 3-4 weeks
- Darius Garland (Cavaliers): The Cavaliers have listed Garland as QUESTIONABLE for Friday’s game (Jan. 6) against the Nuggets.
- Ricky Rubio (Cavaliers): Rubio will miss the start of the season as he recovers from a left ACL tear.
- Donovan Mitchell (Cavaliers): The Cavaliers have listed Mitchell as OUT for Friday’s game (Jan. 6) against the Nuggets.
- Dylan Windler (Cavaliers): The Cavaliers announced that Windler will miss another 4-6 weeks.
Cleveland Cavaliers Offensive Stats & Trends
The Cavaliers averaged 102.5 points per game (7,379 points/72 games) in the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 111.8
The Cavaliers are shooting 43% from three (91/211) in the first half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 37%
The Cavaliers are shooting 40% from three (170/426) this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%
The Cavaliers have averaged 1.38 points per shot (929 points/675 shots) on the road this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.26
Denver Nuggets Offensive Stats & Trends
The Nuggets are shooting 51% (2,136/4,216) in the first half since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%
The Nuggets are shooting 51% (3,791/7,476) in the first half since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%
The Nuggets are shooting 44% from three (61/138) at home this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%
The Nuggets are shooting 42% from three (171/404) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%
Cleveland Cavaliers Defensive Stats & Trends
The Cavaliers have averaged 5.6 steals per game (73 steals/13 games) this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4
The Cavaliers have averaged 34.1 defensive rebounds per game (443 rebounds/13 games) this season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.2
The Cavaliers have averaged 7.2 steals per game (1,188 steals/166 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6
The Cavaliers have averaged 6.8 steals per game (640 steals/94 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6
Denver Nuggets Defensive Stats & Trends
The Nuggets have averaged 3.5 blocks per game (158 blocks/45 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9
The Nuggets have averaged 4.0 blocks per game (348 blocks/86 games) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7
The Nuggets have averaged 3.9 blocks per game (196 blocks/50 games) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.6
The Nuggets have averaged 4.1 blocks per game (329 blocks/81 games) at home since the start of the 2020-21 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9
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