Cavaliers vs Pacers Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Feb. 5

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 05, 2023, 4:30 PM
  • The Cavaliers (32-22) are -4.5 favorites vs. the Pacers (25-29)
  • Total (Over/Under): 225.5 points
  • Sunday, February 5, 2023 at 5:00pm EST
  • Watch the game on BSIN & BSOH

The Cleveland Cavaliers visit Gainbridge Fieldhouse to take on the Indiana Pacers on Sunday. Tipoff is scheduled for 5:00pm EST in Indianapolis.

The Cavaliers are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-105).

The Cavaliers vs Pacers Over/Under is 226.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Cavaliers are 26-24 against the spread, while the Pacers are 29-25 against the spread.


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Cavaliers vs. Pacers Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Cleveland Cavaliers-4.5 -105O 226.5 -110-175
Indiana Pacers +4.5 -115U 226.5 -110+145

Pacers vs Cavaliers Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Cavaliers will win Sunday‘s game with 64.0% confidence.

Pacers vs Cavaliers Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Cavaliers will cover the spread for Sunday‘s game with 56.3% confidence.

These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Cavaliers and Pacers, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.


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  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 34 of their last 53 games (+12.62 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 33 of their last 52 games (+11.07 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 25 of their last 40 games (+8.60 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the Team Total Under in 14 of their last 19 away games (+8.40 Units / 39% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 15 of their last 22 away games (+6.73 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have covered the 2Q Spread in 51 of their last 78 games (+22.54 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 32 of their last 49 games (+18.51 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 31 of their last 48 games (+12.50 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have covered the 4Q Spread in 41 of their last 68 games (+11.56 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 27 of their last 41 games (+11.50 Units / 25% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Cavaliers have gone 26-24 (-0.4 Units / -0.67% ROI).

  • 32-22 against the Moneyline (-2.15 Units / -1.91% ROI)
  • 25-29 against the Over for game total points (-6.9 Units / -11.62% ROI)
  • 29-25 against the Under for game total points (+1.5 Units / 2.53% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Pacers have gone 29-25 (+1.5 Units / 2.53% ROI).

  • 25-29 against the Moneyline (+7.55 Units / 11.68% ROI)
  • 25-29 against the Over for game total points (-6.9 Units / -11.62% ROI)
  • 29-25 against the Under for game total points (+1.5 Units / 2.53% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 19 of their last 78 games (-41.25 Units / -48% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only covered the 1Q Spread in 22 of their last 78 games (-38.00 Units / -44% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only covered the 1H Spread in 26 of their last 68 games (-20.05 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 14 of their last 41 games (-16.95 Units / -36% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 17 of their last 48 games (-16.85 Units / -32% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 33 of their last 80 games (-26.98 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 39 away games (-24.30 Units / -42% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only covered the 3Q Spread in 32 of their last 82 games (-23.64 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 34 of their last 84 games (-22.47 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 39 of their last 85 games (-22.35 Units / -17% ROI)

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Cleveland Cavaliers: Keys to the Game vs. the Indiana Pacers

The Cavaliers are 1-19 (.050) when allowing an eFG of 60% or better since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .157

The Cavaliers are 41-20 (.672) when they win the turnover margin since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .576

The Cavaliers are 36-35 (.507) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2020-21 season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .541

The Cavaliers are 12-22 (.353) when their opponent attempts 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2021-22 season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .460

Indiana Pacers: Keys to the Game vs. the Cleveland Cavaliers

The Indiana Pacers are 20-43 (.317) when they lose the turnover margin since the start of the 2021-22 season — sixth-worst among NBA teams. The Chicago Bulls have averaged 12.5 turnovers per game (1,594 turnovers/128 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — sixth-lowest among NBA teams.

The Pacers are 15-51 (.227) when losing the rebounding margin since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .314

The Pacers are 15-25 (.375) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2020-21 season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .547

The Pacers are 3-41 (.068) when allowing an eFG of 60% or better since the start of the 2020-21 season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .155

Injury Report: Pacers vs. CavaliersSunday‘s Game, Feb. 5

  • Daniel Theis (Pacers): Theis is QUESTIONABLE for Sunday’s (Feb. 5) game against Cleveland.
  • Caris LeVert (Cavaliers): LeVert is QUESTIONABLE for Sunday’s (Feb. 5) game against Indiana.
  • Dylan Windler (Cavaliers): Windler hasn’t played this season and he remains out indefinitely.

Cleveland Cavaliers Offensive Stats & Trends

The Cavaliers averaged 102.5 points per game (7,379 points/72 games) in the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 111.8

The Cavaliers shot 34% from three (714/2,125) in the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 37%

The Cavaliers have averaged 1.39 points per shot (2,605 points/1,873 shots) in the second half this season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.31

The Cavaliers have averaged 1.32 points per shot (5,361 points/4,047 shots) this season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.30

Indiana Pacers Offensive Stats & Trends

The Pacers have averaged 18.9 fast break points per game (906 points/48 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.9

The Pacers have averaged 15.8 fast break points per game (3,188 points/202 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.8

The Pacers have averaged 113.7 points per game (22,962 points/202 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 111.9

The Pacers have averaged 10.5 fast break points per game (505 points/48 games) in the first half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4

Cleveland Cavaliers Defensive Stats & Trends

The Cavaliers have averaged 4.2 blocks per game (201 blocks/48 games) this season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Cavaliers have averaged 4.3 blocks per game (435 blocks/102 games) at home since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

The Cavaliers have averaged 6.5 steals per game (312 steals/48 games) this season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

The Cavaliers have averaged 4.3 blocks per game (863 blocks/202 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8

Indiana Pacers Defensive Stats & Trends

The Pacers have averaged 6.0 blocks per game (601 blocks/101 games) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Pacers have averaged 5.9 blocks per game (284 blocks/48 games) this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Pacers have averaged 5.9 blocks per game (1,201 blocks/202 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8

The Pacers have averaged 32.1 defensive rebounds per game (1,542 rebounds/48 games) this season — tied for 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.0


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.