Cavaliers vs Pelicans Player Prop Bets Tonight – NBA, Mar. 21

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  • Total (Over/Under): Total points
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The Cleveland Cavaliers visit Smoothie King Center to take on the New Orleans Pelicans on Saturday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:00 pm in New Orleans, LA.

The are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().

The Cavaliers vs Pelicans Over/Under is total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Cavaliers are 28-41 against the spread, while the Pelicans are 42-29 against the spread.


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Cavaliers vs. Pelicans Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Cleveland Cavaliers O
New Orleans Pelicans U

Pelicans vs Cavaliers Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Cavaliers will win Saturday‘s game with 56.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Cavaliers and Pelicans.

Pelicans vs Cavaliers Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Cavaliers will cover the spread for Saturday‘s game with 58.8% confidence.


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  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have covered the 4Q Spread in 31 of their last 45 away games (+14.85 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 31 of their last 45 away games (+13.65 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 28 of their last 45 away games (+9.30 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the Team Total Over in 14 of their last 19 away games (+8.20 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 21 away games (+7.65 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 18 of their last 25 games at home (+13.80 Units / 45% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have covered the Spread in 18 of their last 25 games (+10.30 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have covered the 3Q Spread in 18 of their last 25 games at home (+10.25 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 16 of their last 24 games (+9.95 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 25 games (+9.40 Units / 23% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Cavaliers have gone 28-41 (-17.1 Units / -22.21% ROI).

  • 43-27 against the Moneyline (-21.35 Units / -9.2% ROI)
  • 34-36 against the Over for game total points (-5.6 Units / -7.27% ROI)
  • 36-34 against the Under for game total points (-1.4 Units / -1.82% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Pelicans have gone 42-29 (+10.1 Units / 12.93% ROI).

  • 25-46 against the Moneyline (-11.15 Units / -12.55% ROI)
  • 35-36 against the Over for game total points (-4.6 Units / -5.89% ROI)
  • 36-35 against the Under for game total points (-2.5 Units / -3.2% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only covered the 4Q Spread in 20 of their last 50 games (-15.20 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 18 of their last 45 games (-13.20 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 19 of their last 45 games (-11.35 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the Game Total Over in 16 of their last 40 games (-10.40 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 17 of their last 40 games (-10.30 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 19 of their last 50 games (-30.05 Units / -35% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 26 of their last 50 games (-22.65 Units / -18% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only covered the 2Q Spread in 17 of their last 50 games (-20.90 Units / -36% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 16 of their last 45 away games (-16.55 Units / -32% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 10 of their last 30 away games (-14.10 Units / -32% ROI)

Jump to:

Cleveland Cavaliers: Keys to the Game vs. the New Orleans Pelicans

The Cavaliers were undefeated (14-0) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .455

The Cavaliers were 13-1 (.929) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .545

The Cavaliers are 23-9 (.719) when attempting 25 or more free throws this season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .559

The Cavaliers were 58-17 (.773) when allowing 12 or more offensive rebounds last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .505

New Orleans Pelicans: Keys to the Game vs. the Cleveland Cavaliers

The Pelicans were 2-10 (.167) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .545

The Pelicans are 1-17 (.056) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .306

The Pelicans were 28-7 (.800) when scoring 15 or more second chance points in the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .549

The Pelicans are 9-58 (.134) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .306

Cleveland Cavaliers Offensive Stats & Trends

The Cavaliers had an eFG% of 58% last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 54%

The Cavaliers had a TS% of 54% last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%

The Cavaliers have averaged 60.7 points per game (9,222 points/152 games) in the second half since the start of the 2024-25 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 56.6

The Cavaliers are shooting 48% (3,021/6,331) this season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%

New Orleans Pelicans Offensive Stats & Trends

The Pelicans have averaged 60.8 points in the paint per game (2,248 points/37 games) at home this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 49.7

The Pelicans shot 41% from three (567/1,401) in the first half in the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 37%

The Pelicans have a TS% of 50% this season — tied for 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%

The Pelicans have an eFG% of 53% this season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 54%

Cleveland Cavaliers Defensive Stats & Trends

The Cavaliers averaged 36.4 defensive rebounds per game (2,985 rebounds/82 games) last season — tied for 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3

The Cavaliers averaged 4.3 blocks per game (350 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

The Cavaliers have allowed opponents to shoot 39% from three (529/1,373) in the first half this season — 2nd highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 36%

The Cavaliers have averaged 35.7 defensive rebounds per game (5,432 rebounds/152 games) since the start of the 2024-25 season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1

New Orleans Pelicans Defensive Stats & Trends

The Pelicans averaged 33.5 defensive rebounds per game (2,746 rebounds/82 games) last season — 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3

The Pelicans have blocked 362 shots this season — tied for 10th most among NBA teams

The Pelicans have averaged 8.9 steals per game (630 steals/71 games) this season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.4

The Pelicans have averaged 34.5 defensive rebounds per game (8,112 rebounds/235 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.