Cavaliers vs Pistons Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, May 17

• The Pistons are -4.5 favorites vs. the Cavaliers
• Total (Over/Under): 205.5 points
• Watch the game on Amazon

The Cleveland Cavaliers visit Little Caesars Arena to take on the Detroit Pistons on Sunday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00 pm in Detroit, MI.

The Pistons are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-115).

The Cavaliers vs Pistons Over/Under is 205.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Cavaliers are 38-54 against the spread, while the Pistons are 50-45 against the spread.

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Cavaliers vs. Pistons Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

Pistons vs Cavaliers Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Pistons will win Sunday‘s game with 65.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Cavaliers and Pistons.

Pistons vs Cavaliers Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Cavaliers will cover the spread for Sunday‘s game with 60.5% confidence.

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Cavaliers Best Bets for Tonight:

• The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 30 of their last 45 away games (+12.70 Units / 20% ROI)
• The Cleveland Cavaliers have covered the 4Q Spread in 30 of their last 45 away games (+12.45 Units / 24% ROI)
• The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 21 of their last 30 games (+11.60 Units / 33% ROI)
• The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 24 of their last 35 away games (+11.25 Units / 28% ROI)
• The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the Team Total Under in 11 of their last 13 away games (+8.80 Units / 60% ROI)

Pistons Best Bets for Tonight:

• The Detroit Pistons have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 32 of their last 45 games at home (+14.95 Units / 17% ROI)
• The Detroit Pistons have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 16 of their last 19 games (+12.65 Units / 59% ROI)
• The Detroit Pistons have hit the 2H Moneyline in 32 of their last 45 games (+12.22 Units / 14% ROI)
• The Detroit Pistons have hit the 2H Game Total Under in 21 of their last 30 games (+10.54 Units / 30% ROI)
• The Detroit Pistons have hit the 1H Moneyline in 23 of their last 35 games (+9.95 Units / 10% ROI)

Cleveland Cavaliers Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Cavaliers have gone 38-54 (-21.4 Units / -20.7% ROI).

• 59-35 against the Moneyline (-11.45 Units / -3.61% ROI)
• 48-46 against the Over for game total points (-2.6 Units / -2.51% ROI)
• 46-48 against the Under for game total points (-6.8 Units / -6.58% ROI)

Detroit Pistons Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Pistons have gone 50-45 (+0.55 Units / 0.53% ROI).

• 67-28 against the Moneyline (+10.85 Units / 3.35% ROI)
• 45-49 against the Over for game total points (-8.9 Units / -8.52% ROI)
• 49-45 against the Under for game total points (-0.5 Units / -0.48% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Pistons:

• The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 16 of their last 45 games at home (-17.50 Units / -34% ROI)
• The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 2H Game Total Over in 9 of their last 30 games (-15.10 Units / -44% ROI)
• The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 20 of their last 50 games (-14.60 Units / -25% ROI)
• The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 22 of their last 45 games at home (-13.60 Units / -17% ROI)
• The Detroit Pistons have only hit the Team Total Under in 7 of their last 25 games at home (-13.50 Units / -47% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Cavaliers:

• The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 14 of their last 35 games (-26.40 Units / -28% ROI)
• The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 14 of their last 40 away games (-20.10 Units / -34% ROI)
• The Cleveland Cavaliers have only covered the 1H Spread in 15 of their last 45 away games (-19.55 Units / -38% ROI)
• The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 24 of their last 50 games (-17.70 Units / -20% ROI)
• The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 16 of their last 45 away games (-17.65 Units / -34% ROI)

Jump to:

• Keys to Winning for the Cleveland Cavaliers
• Keys to Winning for the Detroit Pistons
• Player Injuries for Cleveland Cavaliers vs. Detroit Pistons
• Cleveland Cavaliers Offensive stats
• Detroit Pistons Offensive stats
• Cleveland Cavaliers Defensive stats
• Detroit Pistons Defensive stats

Cleveland Cavaliers: Keys to the Game vs. the Detroit Pistons

The Cavaliers are 34-7 (.829) when winning the rebounding margin this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .659

The Cavaliers are 31-11 (.738) when scoring more second chance points than their opponent this season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .573

The Cavaliers are 9-4 (.692) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points this season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .601

The Cavaliers are 21-4 (.840) when shooting 40% or better from three this season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .701

Detroit Pistons: Keys to the Game vs. the Cleveland Cavaliers

The Pistons are 5-1 (.833) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .399

The Pistons are 57-20 (.740) when allowing 12 or more offensive rebounds this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .503

The Pistons are 28-2 (.933) when shooting 40% or better from three this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .701

The Pistons are 19-6 (.760) when shooting 80% or better from the free throw line this season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .534

Cleveland Cavaliers Offensive Stats & Trends

The Cavaliers have an eFG% of 58% in the second half this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 54%

The Cavaliers are shooting 48% (3,554/7,381) this season — tied for 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%

The Cavaliers are shooting 35% from three (574/1,649) in the first half this season — 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Cavaliers have averaged 54.0 points in the paint per game (2,212 points/41 games) on the road this season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 49.7

Detroit Pistons Offensive Stats & Trends

The Pistons have averaged 30.8 points in the paint per game (2,498 points/81 games) in the first half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 25.2

The Pistons have averaged 58.0 points in the paint per game (4,702 points/81 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 49.8

The Pistons have averaged 58.6 points in the paint per game (2,342 points/40 games) at home this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 49.9

The Pistons have averaged 18.0 fast break points per game (1,461 points/81 games) this season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 15.2

Cleveland Cavaliers Defensive Stats & Trends

The Cavaliers have averaged 35.8 defensive rebounds per game (5,870 rebounds/164 games) since the start of the 2024-25 season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1

The Cavaliers have allowed opponents to shoot 38% from three (565/1,501) at home this season — 3rd highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 36%

The Cavaliers have allowed 45.5 points in the paint per game (3,734 points/82 games) this season — 5th best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 49.8

The Cavaliers have allowed 23.3 points in the paint per game (1,910 points/82 games) in the second half this season — 7th best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 24.4

Detroit Pistons Defensive Stats & Trends

The Pistons have blocked 517 shots this season — most among NBA teams

The Pistons have 842 steals this season — most among NBA teams

The Pistons have averaged 6.4 blocks per game (517 blocks/81 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8

The Pistons have averaged 10.4 steals per game (842 steals/81 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.4

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