Cavaliers vs Pistons Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, May 5

• The Pistons are -3.5 favorites vs. the Cavaliers
• Total (Over/Under): 215.5 points
• Watch the game on PEAC | NBCS

The Cleveland Cavaliers visit Little Caesars Arena to take on the Detroit Pistons on Tuesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:00 pm in Detroit, MI.

The Pistons are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-105).

The Cavaliers vs Pistons Over/Under is 215.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Cavaliers are 35-52 against the spread, while the Pistons are 47-42 against the spread.

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Cavaliers vs. Pistons Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

Pistons vs Cavaliers Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Cavaliers will win Tuesday‘s game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Cavaliers and Pistons.

Pistons vs Cavaliers Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Pistons will cover the spread for Tuesday‘s game with 51.0% confidence.

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Cavaliers Best Bets for Tonight:

• The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 30 of their last 40 away games (+18.45 Units / 33% ROI)
• The Cleveland Cavaliers have covered the 4Q Spread in 30 of their last 40 away games (+18.35 Units / 39% ROI)
• The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 27 of their last 40 games (+12.10 Units / 27% ROI)
• The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 24 of their last 35 games (+11.25 Units / 28% ROI)
• The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 26 of their last 40 games (+9.70 Units / 21% ROI)

Pistons Best Bets for Tonight:

• The Detroit Pistons have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 32 of their last 45 games at home (+15.25 Units / 18% ROI)
• The Detroit Pistons have hit the 2H Moneyline in 30 of their last 40 games (+11.47 Units / 14% ROI)
• The Detroit Pistons have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 12 of their last 13 games (+10.85 Units / 73% ROI)
• The Detroit Pistons have covered the 2Q Spread in 26 of their last 40 games at home (+10.00 Units / 22% ROI)
• The Detroit Pistons have hit the 1H Moneyline in 29 of their last 40 games at home (+9.90 Units / 8% ROI)

Cleveland Cavaliers Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Cavaliers have gone 35-52 (-22.2 Units / -22.68% ROI).

• 56-33 against the Moneyline (-16.95 Units / -5.39% ROI)
• 45-44 against the Over for game total points (-3.4 Units / -3.47% ROI)
• 44-45 against the Under for game total points (-5.5 Units / -5.62% ROI)

Detroit Pistons Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Pistons have gone 47-42 (+0.85 Units / 0.87% ROI).

• 64-25 against the Moneyline (+11 Units / 3.48% ROI)
• 42-46 against the Over for game total points (-8.6 Units / -8.78% ROI)
• 46-42 against the Under for game total points (-0.2 Units / -0.2% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Pistons:

• The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 14 of their last 40 games at home (-16.00 Units / -35% ROI)
• The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 23 of their last 45 games at home (-13.95 Units / -15% ROI)
• The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 2H Game Total Over in 21 of their last 50 games (-12.64 Units / -22% ROI)
• The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 7 of their last 25 games (-12.60 Units / -44% ROI)
• The Detroit Pistons have only hit the Team Total Under in 18 of their last 45 games at home (-12.60 Units / -25% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Cavaliers:

• The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 12 of their last 40 away games (-23.30 Units / -38% ROI)
• The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 9 of their last 22 games (-21.30 Units / -32% ROI)
• The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 18 of their last 50 games (-19.20 Units / -33% ROI)
• The Cleveland Cavaliers have only covered the 1H Spread in 16 of their last 45 away games (-17.55 Units / -34% ROI)
• The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 11 of their last 35 games (-16.40 Units / -41% ROI)

Jump to:

• Keys to Winning for the Cleveland Cavaliers
• Keys to Winning for the Detroit Pistons
• Player Injuries for Cleveland Cavaliers vs. Detroit Pistons
• Cleveland Cavaliers Offensive stats
• Detroit Pistons Offensive stats
• Cleveland Cavaliers Defensive stats
• Detroit Pistons Defensive stats

Cleveland Cavaliers: Keys to the Game vs. the Detroit Pistons

The Cavaliers are 152-71 (.682) when allowing 12 or more offensive rebounds since the start of the 2023-24 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .507

The Cavaliers are 29-9 (.763) when attempting 25 or more free throws this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .557

The Cavaliers are 30-3 (.909) when shooting 50% or better from the field this season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .788

The Cavaliers are 9-4 (.692) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points this season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .601

Detroit Pistons: Keys to the Game vs. the Cleveland Cavaliers

The Pistons are 30-10 (.750) when allowing 15 or more second chance points this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .458

The Pistons are 5-1 (.833) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .399

The Pistons are 18-5 (.783) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points this season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .624

The Pistons are 19-1 (.950) when their eFG is 60% or better this season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .856

Cleveland Cavaliers Offensive Stats & Trends

The Cavaliers have averaged 60.8 points per game (9,969 points/164 games) in the second half since the start of the 2024-25 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 56.7

The Cavaliers have a TS% of 54% in the second half this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%

The Cavaliers have made 14.3 three-pointers per game this season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.3

The Cavaliers have a TS% of 53% this season — tied for 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%

Detroit Pistons Offensive Stats & Trends

The Pistons have averaged 30.8 points in the paint per game (2,498 points/81 games) in the first half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 25.2

The Pistons have averaged 58.6 points in the paint per game (2,342 points/40 games) at home this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 49.9

The Pistons have averaged 58.0 points in the paint per game (4,702 points/81 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 49.8

The Pistons have a TS% of 46% in close and late situations this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 49%

Cleveland Cavaliers Defensive Stats & Trends

The Cavaliers have averaged 4.7 blocks per game (574 blocks/123 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

The Cavaliers have averaged 35.8 defensive rebounds per game (5,870 rebounds/164 games) since the start of the 2024-25 season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1

The Cavaliers have allowed opponents to shoot 46% (3,387/7,303) this season — 8th best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 47%

The Cavaliers have averaged 4.6 blocks per game (1,139 blocks/246 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.0

Detroit Pistons Defensive Stats & Trends

The Pistons have averaged 6.4 blocks per game (517 blocks/81 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8

The Pistons have averaged 10.4 steals per game (842 steals/81 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.4

The Pistons have blocked 517 shots this season — most among NBA teams

The Pistons have 842 steals this season — most among NBA teams

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