Cavaliers vs Pistons Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, May 7

• The Pistons are -3.5 favorites vs. the Cavaliers
• Total (Over/Under): 215.5 points
• Watch the game on Amazon

The Cleveland Cavaliers visit Little Caesars Arena to take on the Detroit Pistons on Thursday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:00 pm in Detroit, MI.

The Pistons are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-110).

The Cavaliers vs Pistons Over/Under is 215.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Cavaliers are 35-53 against the spread, while the Pistons are 48-42 against the spread.

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Cavaliers vs. Pistons Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

Pistons vs Cavaliers Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Cavaliers will win Thursday‘s game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Cavaliers and Pistons.

Pistons vs Cavaliers Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Pistons will cover the spread for Thursday‘s game with 51.0% confidence.

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Cavaliers Best Bets for Tonight:

• The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 29 of their last 40 away games (+16.35 Units / 29% ROI)
• The Cleveland Cavaliers have covered the 4Q Spread in 29 of their last 40 away games (+16.15 Units / 35% ROI)
• The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 33 of their last 50 games (+13.70 Units / 24% ROI)
• The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 19 of their last 25 games (+12.00 Units / 41% ROI)
• The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the Team Total Under in 10 of their last 11 away games (+8.90 Units / 72% ROI)

Pistons Best Bets for Tonight:

• The Detroit Pistons have hit the 2H Moneyline in 30 of their last 40 games (+13.77 Units / 17% ROI)
• The Detroit Pistons have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 31 of their last 45 games at home (+12.85 Units / 15% ROI)
• The Detroit Pistons have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 13 of their last 14 games (+11.85 Units / 74% ROI)
• The Detroit Pistons have hit the Team Total Over in 17 of their last 23 games at home (+10.05 Units / 38% ROI)
• The Detroit Pistons have hit the 1H Moneyline in 29 of their last 40 games at home (+9.90 Units / 8% ROI)

Cleveland Cavaliers Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Cavaliers have gone 35-53 (-23.3 Units / -23.54% ROI).

• 56-34 against the Moneyline (-17.95 Units / -5.69% ROI)
• 45-45 against the Over for game total points (-4.5 Units / -4.55% ROI)
• 45-45 against the Under for game total points (-4.5 Units / -4.55% ROI)

Detroit Pistons Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Pistons have gone 48-42 (+1.85 Units / 1.87% ROI).

• 65-25 against the Moneyline (+12 Units / 3.78% ROI)
• 42-47 against the Over for game total points (-9.7 Units / -9.8% ROI)
• 47-42 against the Under for game total points (+0.8 Units / 0.81% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Pistons:

• The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 16 of their last 45 games at home (-17.50 Units / -34% ROI)
• The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 2H Game Total Over in 7 of their last 25 games (-13.70 Units / -48% ROI)
• The Detroit Pistons have only hit the Team Total Under in 6 of their last 23 games at home (-13.35 Units / -51% ROI)
• The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 21 of their last 50 games (-12.35 Units / -22% ROI)
• The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 10 of their last 30 games (-11.85 Units / -34% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Cavaliers:

• The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 12 of their last 40 away games (-23.30 Units / -39% ROI)
• The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 13 of their last 30 games (-22.40 Units / -26% ROI)
• The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 17 of their last 50 games (-21.30 Units / -37% ROI)
• The Cleveland Cavaliers have only covered the 1H Spread in 13 of their last 40 away games (-18.10 Units / -39% ROI)
• The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 11 of their last 35 games (-16.40 Units / -41% ROI)

Jump to:

• Keys to Winning for the Cleveland Cavaliers
• Keys to Winning for the Detroit Pistons
• Player Injuries for Cleveland Cavaliers vs. Detroit Pistons
• Cleveland Cavaliers Offensive stats
• Detroit Pistons Offensive stats
• Cleveland Cavaliers Defensive stats
• Detroit Pistons Defensive stats

Cleveland Cavaliers: Keys to the Game vs. the Detroit Pistons

The Cavaliers are 21-4 (.840) when shooting 40% or better from three this season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .701

The Cavaliers are 31-11 (.738) when scoring more second chance points than their opponent this season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .573

The Cavaliers are 34-7 (.829) when winning the rebounding margin this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .659

The Cavaliers are 85-42 (.669) when they win the turnover margin since the start of the 2023-24 season — 7th-best in the NBA. The Pistons have averaged 15.1 turnovers per game since the start of the 2023-24 season — T-4th-highest in the NBA.

Detroit Pistons: Keys to the Game vs. the Cleveland Cavaliers

The Pistons are 5-1 (.833) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .399

The Pistons are 57-20 (.740) when allowing 12 or more offensive rebounds this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .503

The Pistons are 2-38 (.050) when losing the rebounding margin by 10 or more since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .228

The Pistons are 33-10 (.767) when attempting 25 or more free throws this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .557

Cleveland Cavaliers Offensive Stats & Trends

The Cavaliers have a TS% of 54% in the second half this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%

The Cavaliers have averaged 119.5 points per game (9,801 points/82 games) this season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 115.6

The Cavaliers have averaged 61.2 points per game (5,015 points/82 games) in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 56.9

The Cavaliers are shooting 50% (1,797/3,624) in the second half this season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%

Detroit Pistons Offensive Stats & Trends

The Pistons have averaged 30.8 points in the paint per game (2,498 points/81 games) in the first half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 25.2

The Pistons have averaged 58.0 points in the paint per game (4,702 points/81 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 49.8

The Pistons have averaged 18.0 fast break points per game (1,461 points/81 games) this season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 15.2

The Pistons have a TS% of 46% in close and late situations this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 49%

Cleveland Cavaliers Defensive Stats & Trends

The Cavaliers have averaged 4.6 blocks per game (1,139 blocks/246 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.0

The Cavaliers have averaged 35.8 defensive rebounds per game (5,870 rebounds/164 games) since the start of the 2024-25 season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1

The Cavaliers have allowed opponents to shoot 46% (3,387/7,303) this season — 8th best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 47%

The Cavaliers have forced 15.3 turnovers per game (629 turnovers/41 games) on the road this season — 10th best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 14.4

Detroit Pistons Defensive Stats & Trends

The Pistons have averaged 6.4 blocks per game (517 blocks/81 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8

The Pistons have averaged 10.4 steals per game (842 steals/81 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.4

The Pistons have 842 steals this season — most among NBA teams

The Pistons have blocked 517 shots this season — most among NBA teams

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