Basketball
Cleveland CavaliersDetroit Pistons

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Detroit Pistons Prediction, Odds, Lines, Team Props – NBA, Nov. 4

min read
 BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Nov 04, 2022, 4:31 PM
  • The Cavaliers (5-1) are -5.5 favorites vs. the Pistons (2-5)
  • Total (Over/Under): 219.5 points
  • Friday, November 4, 2022 at 7:00pm EDT
  • Watch the game on BSDET & BSOH

The Cleveland Cavaliers visit Little Caesars Arena to take on the Detroit Pistons on Friday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EDT in Detroit.

The Cavaliers are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -5.5 (-115).

The Cavaliers vs Pistons Over/Under is 219.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Cavaliers are 6-1 against the spread, while the Pistons are 4-5 against the spread.

Bet now on Pistons vs Cavaliers and all NBA games with BetMGM

Cavaliers vs. Pistons Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Cleveland Cavaliers-5.5 -115O 219.5 -110-225
Detroit Pistons +5.5 -105U 219.5 -110180

Pistons vs Cavaliers Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Cavaliers will win Friday‘s game with 74.8% confidence.

Pistons vs Cavaliers Spread Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Cavaliers will cover the spread for Friday‘s game with 57.6% confidence.

These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Cavaliers and Pistons, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.

  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 37 of their last 61 games (+10.55 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the 1H Moneyline in 45 of their last 80 games (+8.95 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 44 of their last 77 games (+7.95 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the Moneyline in their last 6 games (+7.35 Units / 71% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the Game Total Over in 15 of their last 23 away games (+7.30 Units / 29% ROI)
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  • The Detroit Pistons have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 28 of their last 42 games at home (+22.41 Units / 50% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have covered the 2Q Spread in 39 of their last 58 games (+17.46 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 58 games (+15.95 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have covered the 1H Spread in 25 of their last 35 games (+14.10 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 24 of their last 34 games at home (+13.17 Units / 34% ROI)
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    Against the spread this NBA season, the Cavaliers have gone 6-1 (+4.9 Units / 63.23% ROI).

    • 6-1 against the Moneyline (+6.35 Units / 55.7% ROI)
    • 5-2 against the Over for game total points (+2.8 Units / 36.36% ROI)
    • 2-5 against the Under for game total points (-3.5 Units / -45.45% ROI)

    Against the spread this NBA season, the Pistons have gone 4-5 (-1.5 Units / -15.15% ROI).

    • 2-7 against the Moneyline (-3.6 Units / -37.11% ROI)
    • 6-3 against the Over for game total points (+2.7 Units / 27.27% ROI)
    • 3-6 against the Under for game total points (-3.6 Units / -36.36% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 23 of their last 81 games (-25.05 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only covered the 1Q Spread in 33 of their last 83 games (-22.39 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 24 of their last 70 games (-18.77 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 14 of their last 42 games at home (-16.83 Units / -36% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 27 of their last 66 games (-16.42 Units / -22% ROI)
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  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 28 of their last 69 games (-17.25 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 31 of their last 72 games (-15.10 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only covered the 2Q Spread in 25 of their last 61 games (-14.19 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 37 of their last 80 games (-13.53 Units / -14% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only covered the 1H Spread in 19 of their last 48 games (-13.05 Units / -25% ROI)
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    Jump to:

    Cleveland Cavaliers: Keys to the Game vs. the Detroit Pistons

    The Cavaliers were 30-5 (.857) when forcing an eFG of 50% or worse last season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .772

    The Cavaliers are 22-31 (.415) when allowing 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2020-21 season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .452

    The Cavaliers were 17-8 (.680) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points last season — tied for 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .546

    The Cavaliers are 24-36 (.400) when scoring fewer second chance points than their opponent since the start of the 2020-21 season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .452

    Detroit Pistons: Keys to the Game vs. the Cleveland Cavaliers

    The Pistons were 1-10 (.091) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .321

    The Pistons are 6-60 (.091) when their eFG is 50% or worse since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .221

    The Pistons are 14-55 (.203) when they lose the turnover margin since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .434

    The Pistons were 3-19 (.136) when allowing 15 or more fastbreak points last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .426

    Injury Report: Pistons vs. Cavaliers – Friday‘s Game, Nov. 4

  • Alec Burks (Pistons): Burks will miss the start of the season as he recovers from offseason foot surgery.
  • Jalen Duren (Pistons): Duren did not play in Wednesday’s (Nov. 2) game against Milwaukee.
  • Marvin Bagley III (Pistons): Bagley III will miss 3-4 weeks, according to Chris Haynes of Yahoo.
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  • Ricky Rubio (Cavaliers): Rubio will miss the start of the season as he recovers from a left ACL tear.
  • Raul Neto (Cavaliers): Neto did not play in Wednesday’s (Nov. 2) game against Boston.
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    Cleveland Cavaliers Offensive Stats & Trends

    The Cavaliers are shooting 33% from three (740/2,255) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

    The Cavaliers averaged 102.2 points per game (4,088 points/40 games) on the road last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 109.1

    The Cavaliers have averaged 103.9 points per game (15,898 points/153 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 110.8

    The Cavaliers have made 9.7 three-pointers per game on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.4

    Detroit Pistons Offensive Stats & Trends

    The Pistons had an eFG% of 49% last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 53%

    The Pistons had an eFG% of 49% at home last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 54%

    The Pistons averaged 102.7 points per game (8,115 points/79 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 110.0

    The Pistons had a TS% of 47% last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 50%

    Cleveland Cavaliers Defensive Stats & Trends

    The Cavaliers averaged 4.1 blocks per game (330 blocks/81 games) last season — tied for 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

    The Cavaliers averaged 7.0 steals per game (567 steals/81 games) last season — tied for 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6

    The Cavaliers have averaged 4.2 blocks per game (649 blocks/153 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8

    The Cavaliers have averaged 4.1 blocks per game (309 blocks/76 games) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

    Detroit Pistons Defensive Stats & Trends

    The Pistons averaged 31.5 defensive rebounds per game (2,486 rebounds/79 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.9

    The Pistons averaged 7.7 steals per game (606 steals/79 games) last season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6

    The Pistons have averaged 32.1 defensive rebounds per game (4,843 rebounds/151 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 34.1

    The Pistons have averaged 5.0 blocks per game (372 blocks/74 games) at home since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

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