Cavaliers vs Thunder Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Feb. 22

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  • The are favorites vs. the
  • Total (Over/Under): Total points
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The Cleveland Cavaliers visit Paycom Center to take on the Oklahoma City Thunder on Sunday. Tipoff is scheduled for 1:00 pm in Oklahoma City, OK.

The are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().

The Cavaliers vs Thunder Over/Under is total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Cavaliers are 24-33 against the spread, while the Thunder are 28-29 against the spread.


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Cavaliers vs. Thunder Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Cleveland Cavaliers O
Oklahoma City Thunder U

Thunder vs Cavaliers Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Thunder will win Sunday‘s game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Cavaliers and Thunder.

Thunder vs Cavaliers Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Cavaliers will cover the spread for Sunday‘s game with 53.6% confidence.


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  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the 2H Moneyline in 35 of their last 50 games (+17.68 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have covered the 4Q Spread in 33 of their last 50 games (+13.35 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 18 of their last 23 away games (+13.00 Units / 42% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 18 of their last 25 games (+12.20 Units / 43% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 16 games (+12.10 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Team Total Under in 11 of their last 12 games at home (+9.85 Units / 72% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 26 of their last 40 games at home (+9.85 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 2H Moneyline in 15 of their last 19 games (+9.10 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 30 of their last 50 games at home (+8.10 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have covered the Spread in 30 of their last 50 games at home (+8.00 Units / 15% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Cavaliers have gone 24-33 (-12.3 Units / -19.62% ROI).

  • 36-21 against the Moneyline (-10.55 Units / -5.84% ROI)
  • 27-30 against the Over for game total points (-6 Units / -9.57% ROI)
  • 30-27 against the Under for game total points (+0.3 Units / 0.48% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Thunder have gone 28-29 (-3.9 Units / -6.22% ROI).

  • 43-14 against the Moneyline (-15.2 Units / -4.13% ROI)
  • 30-27 against the Over for game total points (+0.3 Units / 0.48% ROI)
  • 27-30 against the Under for game total points (-6 Units / -9.57% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the Moneyline in 22 of their last 35 games (-34.55 Units / -17% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 8 of their last 15 games at home (-26.50 Units / -37% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 14 of their last 30 games (-23.15 Units / -34% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 20 of their last 40 games (-18.45 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 14 of their last 40 games at home (-16.00 Units / -35% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 18 of their last 50 games (-34.30 Units / -40% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only covered the 2Q Spread in 16 of their last 50 games (-23.55 Units / -40% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 25 of their last 50 games (-21.95 Units / -18% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only covered the 1H Spread in 18 of their last 50 games (-17.85 Units / -31% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 19 of their last 45 away games (-17.20 Units / -25% ROI)

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Cleveland Cavaliers: Keys to the Game vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder

The Cavaliers are undefeated (7-0) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points this season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: .620

The Cavaliers were undefeated (14-0) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .455

The Cavaliers were 46-7 (.868) when making 15 or more three-pointers last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .646

The Cavaliers are 39-10 (.796) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .548

Oklahoma City Thunder: Keys to the Game vs. the Cleveland Cavaliers

The Thunder are 24-7 (.774) when attempting 15 or less free throws since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .442

The Thunder are 74-8 (.902) when winning the rebounding margin since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .640

The Thunder are 14-1 (.933) when their opponent attempts fewer than 15 free throws since the start of the 2024-25 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: .565

The Thunder were 59-12 (.831) when allowing 12 or more offensive rebounds last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .505

Cleveland Cavaliers Offensive Stats & Trends

The Cavaliers have averaged 61.3 points per game (3,496 points/57 games) in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 56.8

The Cavaliers had an eFG% of 58% last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 54%

The Cavaliers have a TS% of 52% this season — tied for 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%

The Cavaliers averaged 121.9 points per game (9,999 points/82 games) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 113.8

Oklahoma City Thunder Offensive Stats & Trends

The Thunder shot 41% from three (558/1,378) in the second half in the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Thunder averaged 5.6 turnovers per game (463 turnovers/82 games) in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.1

The Thunder averaged 11.7 turnovers per game (961 turnovers/82 games) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.3

The Thunder have averaged 12.3 turnovers per game (2,717 turnovers/221 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.1

Cleveland Cavaliers Defensive Stats & Trends

The Cavaliers have averaged 9.0 steals per game (514 steals/57 games) this season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.4

The Cavaliers averaged 4.3 blocks per game (350 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

The Cavaliers have 514 steals this season — 7th most among NBA teams

The Cavaliers have averaged 8.2 steals per game (889 steals/109 games) on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.0

Oklahoma City Thunder Defensive Stats & Trends

The Thunder have averaged 9.8 steals per game (1,107 steals/113 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.0

The Thunder have averaged 10.9 steals per game (784 steals/72 games) at home since the start of the 2024-25 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.2

The Thunder averaged 10.3 steals per game (847 steals/82 games) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.2

The Thunder allowed opponents to shoot 43% (1,514/3,496) on the road last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 47%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.