Cavaliers vs Warriors Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Apr. 2

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  • The Cavaliers are -10.5 favorites vs. the Warriors
  • Total (Over/Under): 227.5 points
  • Watch the game on NSBA | FDOH

The Cleveland Cavaliers visit Chase Center to take on the Golden State Warriors on Thursday. Tipoff is scheduled for 10:00 pm in San Francisco, CA.

The Cavaliers are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -10.5 (-105).

The Cavaliers vs Warriors Over/Under is 227.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Cavaliers are 29-45 against the spread, while the Warriors are 33-43 against the spread.


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Cavaliers vs. Warriors Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

Warriors vs Cavaliers Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Cavaliers will win Thursday‘s game with 80.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Cavaliers and Warriors.

Warriors vs Cavaliers Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Cavaliers will cover the spread for Thursday‘s game with 51.0% confidence.


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  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 26 of their last 35 away games (+15.75 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have covered the 4Q Spread in 26 of their last 35 away games (+15.55 Units / 38% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 29 of their last 45 away games (+11.50 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 24 away games (+8.65 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 14 of their last 19 games (+8.20 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 20 of their last 25 games at home (+14.00 Units / 48% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 18 of their last 24 games at home (+12.10 Units / 43% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the Game Total Over in 29 of their last 45 games at home (+11.40 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the 2H Game Total Over in 18 of their last 24 games at home (+11.03 Units / 40% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the Team Total Over in 29 of their last 45 games at home (+10.35 Units / 20% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Cavaliers have gone 29-45 (-20.5 Units / -24.52% ROI).

  • 47-29 against the Moneyline (-19.8 Units / -7.67% ROI)
  • 37-39 against the Over for game total points (-5.9 Units / -7.06% ROI)
  • 39-37 against the Under for game total points (-1.7 Units / -2.03% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Warriors have gone 33-43 (-14.3 Units / -17.11% ROI).

  • 36-40 against the Moneyline (-18.4 Units / -10.83% ROI)
  • 46-30 against the Over for game total points (+13 Units / 15.55% ROI)
  • 30-46 against the Under for game total points (-20.6 Units / -24.64% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 15 of their last 45 games (-23.55 Units / -37% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the Moneyline in 24 of their last 45 games at home (-21.35 Units / -16% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only covered the 2Q Spread in 10 of their last 35 games (-18.75 Units / -46% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 18 of their last 50 games (-18.60 Units / -33% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 23 of their last 45 games at home (-18.05 Units / -18% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 22 of their last 50 games (-20.85 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 15 of their last 45 away games (-18.75 Units / -36% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 12 of their last 35 away games (-17.35 Units / -33% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 27 of their last 50 games (-15.90 Units / -13% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 16 of their last 45 away games (-14.80 Units / -29% ROI)

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Cleveland Cavaliers: Keys to the Game vs. the Golden State Warriors

The Cavaliers are 84-42 (.667) when they win the turnover margin since the start of the 2023-24 season — T-7th-best in the NBA. The Warriors have averaged 14.7 turnovers per game since the start of the 2023-24 season — T-7th-highest in the NBA.

The Cavaliers are 22-10 (.688) when allowing 15 or more second chance points this season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .460

The Cavaliers are 32-14 (.696) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .619

The Cavaliers are 62-22 (.738) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .555

Golden State Warriors: Keys to the Game vs. the Cleveland Cavaliers

The Warriors are 7-20 (.259) when their opponent attempts 25 or more free throws this season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .440

The Warriors are 52-8 (.867) when forcing an eFG of 50% or worse since the start of the 2023-24 season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .807

The Warriors are 27-20 (.574) when attempting 15 or less free throws since the start of the 2023-24 season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .445

The Warriors are 24-22 (.522) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .445

Cleveland Cavaliers Offensive Stats & Trends

The Cavaliers have a TS% of 54% in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%

The Cavaliers have averaged 61.0 points per game (4,634 points/76 games) in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 56.9

The Cavaliers have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.0 (1,077 assists/ 545 TOs) in the second half this season — tied for 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Cavaliers have made 14.4 three-pointers per game this season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.3

Golden State Warriors Offensive Stats & Trends

The Warriors have averaged 21.2 points in the paint per game (1,612 points/76 games) in the first half this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 25.2

The Warriors have made 15.4 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.2

The Warriors have averaged 15.6 second chance points per game (1,182 points/76 games) this season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 15.0

The Warriors have averaged 11.8 fast break points per game (438 points/37 games) at home this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 15.3

Cleveland Cavaliers Defensive Stats & Trends

The Cavaliers have averaged 4.6 blocks per game (558 blocks/120 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

The Cavaliers have averaged 4.6 blocks per game (1,111 blocks/240 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.0

The Cavaliers have allowed 22.1 points in the paint per game (1,680 points/76 games) in the first half this season — 3rd best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 25.2

The Cavaliers have averaged 35.7 defensive rebounds per game (5,640 rebounds/158 games) since the start of the 2024-25 season — tied for 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1

Golden State Warriors Defensive Stats & Trends

The Warriors have averaged 9.8 steals per game (745 steals/76 games) this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.4

The Warriors have averaged 33.5 defensive rebounds per game (2,543 rebounds/76 games) this season — tied for 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 34.8

The Warriors have averaged 4.3 blocks per game (324 blocks/76 games) this season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8

The Warriors have averaged 10.3 steals per game (823 steals/80 games) on the road since the start of the 2024-25 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.4


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