Cleveland Cavaliers vs Golden State Warriors Prediction, Odds, Lines, Team Props – NBA, Nov. 11

min read
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Nov 11, 2022, 3:30 PM
  • The Warriors (3-4) are -2.5 favorites vs. the Cavaliers (5-1)
  • Total (Over/Under): 232.5 points
  • Friday, November 11, 2022 at 10:00pm EST
  • Watch the game on NBCS-BA & BSOH

The Cleveland Cavaliers visit Chase Center to take on the Golden State Warriors on Friday. Tipoff is scheduled for 10:00pm EST in San Francisco.

The Warriors are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-110).

The Cavaliers vs Warriors Over/Under is 231.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Cavaliers are 8-3 against the spread, while the Warriors are 3-8 against the spread.


Bet now on Warriors vs Cavaliers and all NBA games with BetMGM


Cavaliers vs. Warriors Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Cleveland Cavaliers+2.5 -110O 231.5 -110120
Golden State Warriors -2.5 -110U 231.5 -110-145

Warriors vs Cavaliers Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Warriors will win Friday‘s game with 52.5% confidence.

Warriors vs Cavaliers Spread Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Cavaliers will cover the spread for Friday‘s game with 51.0% confidence.

These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Cavaliers and Warriors, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.


  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 40 of their last 65 games (+12.50 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the Team Total Over in 9 of their last 10 games (+7.85 Units / 68% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the Game Total Over in 17 of their last 27 away games (+7.10 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 46 of their last 81 games (+6.85 Units / 6% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 42 of their last 74 games (+6.08 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 56 of their last 91 games (+18.95 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 48 of their last 79 games (+14.14 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 19 games at home (+13.35 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have covered the 3Q Spread in 34 of their last 56 games (+9.15 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the 2H Moneyline in 15 of their last 19 games at home (+8.23 Units / 24% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Cavaliers have gone 8-3 (+4.7 Units / 38.68% ROI).

  • 8-3 against the Moneyline (+4.95 Units / 26.54% ROI)
  • 7-4 against the Over for game total points (+2.6 Units / 21.49% ROI)
  • 4-7 against the Under for game total points (-3.7 Units / -30.58% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Warriors have gone 3-8 (-5.8 Units / -47.93% ROI).

  • 4-7 against the Moneyline (-13.05 Units / -43.21% ROI)
  • 7-4 against the Over for game total points (+2.6 Units / 21.49% ROI)
  • 4-7 against the Under for game total points (-3.7 Units / -30.58% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 46 of their last 98 games (-29.50 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 37 of their last 97 games (-27.85 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 33 of their last 85 games (-25.06 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 48 of their last 98 games (-24.60 Units / -13% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only covered the 1Q Spread in 40 of their last 98 games (-24.30 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 29 of their last 73 games (-19.55 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only covered the 2Q Spread in 26 of their last 65 games (-16.44 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 25 away games (-15.40 Units / -41% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 33 of their last 76 games (-15.38 Units / -18% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only covered the 1H Spread in 20 of their last 52 games (-15.30 Units / -27% ROI)

Jump to:

Cleveland Cavaliers: Keys to the Game vs. the Golden State Warriors

The Cleveland Cavaliers were 27-9 (.750) when they win the turnover margin last season — tied for third-best among NBA teams. The Sacramento Kings averaged 13.5 turnovers per game (1,111 turnovers/82 games) last season — 10th-highest among NBA teams.

The Cavaliers are 11-26 (.297) when their opponent attempts 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2020-21 season — 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .453

The Cavaliers are 25-30 (.455) when scoring 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2020-21 season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .548

The Cavaliers were 12-3 (.800) when forcing 10 or more steals last season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .612

Golden State Warriors: Keys to the Game vs. the Cleveland Cavaliers

The Warriors are 36-23 (.610) when scoring more second chance points than their opponent since the start of the 2020-21 season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .547

The Warriors are 21-11 (.656) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points since the start of the 2021-22 season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .567

The Warriors are 25-4 (.862) when shooting 40% or better from three since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .745

The Warriors are 19-9 (.679) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2021-22 season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .545

Injury Report: Warriors vs. CavaliersFriday‘s Game, Nov. 11

  • Donte DiVincenzo (Warriors): The Warriors announced that DiVincenzo will be re-evaluated this weekend.
  • Andre Iguodala (Warriors): Iguodala has yet to make his season debut and the Warriors haven’t announced a timeline for his return.
  • Ricky Rubio (Cavaliers): Rubio will miss the start of the season as he recovers from a left ACL tear.
  • Dylan Windler (Cavaliers): Winler will miss at least another month, according to Chris Fedor of Cleveland.com.

Cleveland Cavaliers Offensive Stats & Trends

The Cavaliers averaged 102.5 points per game (7,379 points/72 games) in the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 111.8

The Cavaliers shot 34% from three (714/2,125) in the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 37%

The Cavaliers have averaged 51.0 points per game (7,652 points/150 games) in the second half since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 54.5

The Cavaliers averaged 4.3 fast break points per game (343 points/79 games) in the second half last season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.8

Golden State Warriors Offensive Stats & Trends

The Warriors have averaged 8.9 offensive rebounds per game (1,462 rebounds/165 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 10.1

The Warriors have averaged 1.30 points per shot (1,290 points/989 shots) this season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.27

The Warriors have averaged 7.2 turnovers per game (1,182 turnovers/164 games) in the second half since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.5

The Warriors have averaged 13.2 assists per game (2,167 assists/164 games) in the second half since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 11.8

Cleveland Cavaliers Defensive Stats & Trends

The Cavaliers have averaged 32.6 defensive rebounds per game (4,995 rebounds/153 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 34.1

The Cavaliers have averaged 4.1 blocks per game (309 blocks/76 games) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Cavaliers averaged 7.0 steals per game (567 steals/81 games) last season — tied for 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6

The Cavaliers have averaged 3.8 blocks per game (154 blocks/40 games) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.5

Golden State Warriors Defensive Stats & Trends

The Warriors have averaged 9.0 steals per game (412 steals/46 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6

The Warriors have averaged 4.0 blocks per game (44 blocks/11 games) this season — 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.2

The Warriors have averaged 31.9 defensive rebounds per game (351 rebounds/11 games) this season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.4

The Warriors have averaged 8.6 steals per game (797 steals/93 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6


Bet now on Warriors vs Cavaliers and all NBA games with BetMGM


Bet on NBA Odds at BetMGM

At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated NBA betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.

About the Author

BetMGM Betting

Read More @BETMGM

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.