Celtics vs Bucks Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Mar. 2

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  • Total (Over/Under): Total points
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The Boston Celtics visit Fiserv Forum to take on the Milwaukee Bucks on Monday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:30 pm in Milwaukee, WI.

The are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().

The Celtics vs Bucks Over/Under is total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Celtics are 35-25 against the spread, while the Bucks are 27-32 against the spread.


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Celtics vs. Bucks Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Boston Celtics O
Milwaukee Bucks U

Bucks vs Celtics Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Bucks will win Monday‘s game with 55.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Celtics and Bucks.

Bucks vs Celtics Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Celtics will cover the spread for Monday‘s game with 58.0% confidence.


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  • The Boston Celtics have hit the 1H Moneyline in 32 of their last 45 away games (+18.25 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have covered the 1H Spread in 33 of their last 50 games (+14.55 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have hit the Game Total Under in 33 of their last 50 games (+14.30 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 35 of their last 50 games (+13.25 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 27 of their last 40 away games (+12.25 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 12 games (+12.45 Units / 100% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 24 of their last 35 games at home (+11.40 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 24 of their last 35 games at home (+11.30 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 1H Moneyline in 7 of their last 10 games (+9.30 Units / 89% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the Game Total Under in 28 of their last 45 games (+9.30 Units / 19% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Celtics have gone 35-25 (+7.5 Units / 11.36% ROI).

  • 40-20 against the Moneyline (+0.75 Units / 0.45% ROI)
  • 22-38 against the Over for game total points (-19.8 Units / -30% ROI)
  • 38-22 against the Under for game total points (+13.8 Units / 20.91% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Bucks have gone 27-32 (-8.2 Units / -12.64% ROI).

  • 26-33 against the Moneyline (-6.4 Units / -7.22% ROI)
  • 25-34 against the Over for game total points (-12.4 Units / -19.11% ROI)
  • 34-25 against the Under for game total points (+6.5 Units / 10.02% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only covered the 1H Spread in 12 of their last 40 games at home (-20.15 Units / -44% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 14 of their last 40 games at home (-17.60 Units / -33% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only covered the 1Q Spread in 5 of their last 24 games at home (-16.95 Units / -61% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 13 of their last 40 games at home (-16.90 Units / -37% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 11 of their last 35 games at home (-16.40 Units / -41% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the Game Total Over in 17 of their last 50 games (-19.30 Units / -35% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 13 of their last 40 away games (-18.35 Units / -39% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 11 of their last 35 games (-16.70 Units / -41% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 20 of their last 50 games (-14.85 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the 2H Game Total Over in 7 of their last 25 games (-14.02 Units / -48% ROI)

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Boston Celtics: Keys to the Game vs. the Milwaukee Bucks

The Celtics were 23-4 (.852) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points in the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .604

The Celtics were 39-8 (.830) when they win the turnover margin last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .592

The Celtics are 61-27 (.693) when allowing 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .453

The Celtics were 15-1 (.938) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points in the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .466

Milwaukee Bucks: Keys to the Game vs. the Boston Celtics

The Bucks are 1-15 (.062) when allowing their opponent to shoot 50% or better from the field this season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .214

The Bucks are 11-3 (.786) when scoring 15 or more second chance points this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .530

The Bucks are 4-33 (.108) when their eFG is 50% or worse since the start of the 2023-24 season — 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .192

The Bucks were 11-5 (.688) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points last season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .545

Boston Celtics Offensive Stats & Trends

The Celtics have made 16.7 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.2

The Celtics have averaged 12.2 turnovers per game (732 turnovers/60 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.6

The Celtics made 16.5 three-pointers per game in the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.8

The Celtics have 18.3 free throw attempts per game this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 23.6

Milwaukee Bucks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Bucks are shooting 44% from three (124/279) in close and late situations this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35%

The Bucks have a TS% of 56% in close and late situations this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 49%

The Bucks are shooting 41% from three (435/1,072) at home this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Bucks are shooting 52% (342/662) in close and late situations this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 46%

Boston Celtics Defensive Stats & Trends

The Celtics averaged 37.9 defensive rebounds per game (3,109 rebounds/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Celtics have averaged 35.8 defensive rebounds per game (2,151 rebounds/60 games) this season — tied for 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.0

The Celtics have averaged 7.1 steals per game (1,592 steals/224 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.0

The Celtics have averaged 6.8 steals per game (760 steals/111 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.0

Milwaukee Bucks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Bucks have averaged 7.4 steals per game (436 steals/59 games) this season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.5

The Bucks averaged 37.0 defensive rebounds per game (3,035 rebounds/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Bucks have averaged 4.1 blocks per game (241 blocks/59 games) this season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

The Bucks have averaged 7.2 steals per game (1,595 steals/223 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.0


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.