Celtics vs Bucks Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Mar. 30

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 30, 2023, 5:30 PM
  • The Bucks (55-21) are -2.5 favorites vs. the Celtics (52-24)
  • Total (Over/Under): 236.5 points
  • Thursday, March 30, 2023 at 7:30pm EDT
  • Watch the game on TNT

The Boston Celtics visit Fiserv Forum to take on the Milwaukee Bucks on Thursday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EDT in Milwaukee.

The Bucks are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-110).

The Celtics vs Bucks Over/Under is 237.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Celtics are 40-35 against the spread, while the Bucks are 41-30 against the spread.


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Celtics vs. Bucks Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Boston Celtics+2.5 -110O 237.5 -115+115
Milwaukee Bucks -2.5 -110U 237.5 -115-140

Bucks vs Celtics Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Bucks will win Thursday‘s game with 55.6% confidence.

Bucks vs Celtics Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Bucks will cover the spread for Thursday‘s game with 51.0% confidence.

These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Celtics and Bucks, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.


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  • The Boston Celtics have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 57 of their last 81 games (+30.24 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 50 of their last 84 games (+12.31 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have covered the 1H Spread in 57 of their last 98 games (+12.00 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have covered the 2Q Spread in 54 of their last 95 games (+11.40 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 32 of their last 53 games (+10.25 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 59 of their last 93 games (+21.45 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have covered the 1Q Spread in 56 of their last 93 games (+18.45 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the Moneyline in 61 of their last 86 games (+16.50 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 61 of their last 93 games (+16.00 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 1H Moneyline in 23 of their last 30 games (+15.00 Units / 21% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Celtics have gone 40-35 (+1.5 Units / 1.8% ROI).

  • 52-24 against the Moneyline (-26.95 Units / -10.22% ROI)
  • 39-37 against the Over for game total points (-1.7 Units / -2.03% ROI)
  • 37-39 against the Under for game total points (-5.9 Units / -7.06% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Bucks have gone 41-30 (+8 Units / 9.57% ROI).

  • 55-21 against the Moneyline (+13.6 Units / 6.03% ROI)
  • 37-39 against the Over for game total points (-5.9 Units / -7.06% ROI)
  • 39-37 against the Under for game total points (-1.7 Units / -2.03% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 35 of their last 95 games (-31.10 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 42 of their last 94 games (-30.16 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 37 of their last 93 games (-26.72 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 26 of their last 69 games (-21.45 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 50 of their last 94 games (-20.01 Units / -13% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 26 of their last 85 games (-40.68 Units / -42% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the Moneyline in 31 of their last 50 games (-37.05 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 49 of their last 97 games (-27.07 Units / -16% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 33 of their last 84 games (-23.46 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 42 of their last 88 games (-19.17 Units / -16% ROI)

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Boston Celtics: Keys to the Game vs. the Milwaukee Bucks

The Boston Celtics are 46-21 (.687) when they win the turnover margin since the start of the 2021-22 season — third-best among NBA teams. The Portland Trail Blazers have averaged 14.5 turnovers per game (2,191 turnovers/151 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for eighth-highest among NBA teams.

The Boston Celtics are 57-15 (.792) when winning the rebounding margin since the start of the 2021-22 season — third-best among NBA teams. The Portland Trail Blazers have averaged 49.8 rebounds per game (7,518 rebounds/151 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — fourth-lowest among NBA teams.

The Celtics are 18-1 (.947) when shooting 50% or better from the field this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .734

The Celtics are 76-19 (.800) when scoring 110 or more points since the start of the 2021-22 season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .674

Milwaukee Bucks: Keys to the Game vs. the Boston Celtics

The Bucks are 51-8 (.864) when scoring 15 or more fastbreak points since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .564

The Bucks are 42-15 (.737) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .548

The Bucks are 44-16 (.733) when shooting 80% or better from the free throw line since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .556

The Bucks are 70-6 (.921) when forcing an eFG of 50% or worse since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .774

Injury Report: Bucks vs. CelticsThursday‘s Game, Mar. 30

  • Jae Crowder (Bucks): Crowder did not play in Wednesday’s (Mar.29) game against Indiana.
  • Khris Middleton (Bucks): Middleton did not play in Wednesday’s (Mar. 29) game against Indiana.
  • Meyers Leonard (Bucks): Leonard hasn’t played since Mar. 16 against Indiana and remains without a timetable to return.
  • Robert Williams III (Celtics): Williams III is questionable for Thursday’s (Mar.30) game against Milwaukee.
  • Danilo Gallinari (Celtics): Gallinari is hoping to return and play at the end of the season, according to Adam Himmelsbach of The Boston Globe.
  • Grant Williams (Celtics): Williams is questionable for Thursday’s (Mar.30) game against Milwaukee.
  • Payton Pritchard (Celtics): Pritchard is questionable for Thursday’s (Mar.30) game against Milwaukee.

Boston Celtics Offensive Stats & Trends

The Celtics have made 15.8 three-pointers per game this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.3

The Celtics have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.0 (1,835 assists/ 941 TOs) this season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Celtics have a TS% of 52% since the start of the 2021-22 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%

The Celtics have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.2 (980 assists/ 446 TOs) in the first half this season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

Milwaukee Bucks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Bucks are shooting 43% from three (144/338) in the last two weeks — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 37%

The Bucks have averaged 57.8 points per game (12,827 points/222 games) in the second half since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 55.0

The Bucks have made 14.9 three-pointers per game this season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.3

The Bucks have made 14.4 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.4

Boston Celtics Defensive Stats & Trends

The Celtics have averaged 37.8 defensive rebounds per game (2,648 rebounds/70 games) this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Celtics have averaged 37.7 defensive rebounds per game (5,733 rebounds/152 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.7

The Celtics have averaged 6.8 steals per game (1,035 steals/152 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Celtics have averaged 6.3 steals per game (444 steals/70 games) this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

Milwaukee Bucks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Bucks have averaged 39.3 defensive rebounds per game (8,716 rebounds/222 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36.0

The Bucks have averaged 39.8 defensive rebounds per game (2,705 rebounds/68 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Bucks have averaged 39.1 defensive rebounds per game (5,866 rebounds/150 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.8

The Bucks have averaged 4.5 blocks per game (998 blocks/222 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.