Boston Celtics vs Memphis Grizzlies Prediction, Odds, Lines, Team Props – NBA, Nov. 7

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Nov 07, 2022, 3:30 PM
  • The Celtics (4-2) are -3.5 favorites vs. the Grizzlies (4-2)
  • Total (Over/Under): 230.5 points
  • Monday, November 7, 2022 at 9:00pm EST
  • Watch the game on BSSE & NBCS-BOS

The Boston Celtics visit FedExForum to take on the Memphis Grizzlies on Monday. Tipoff is scheduled for 9:00pm EST in Memphis.

The Celtics are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-110).

The Celtics vs Grizzlies Over/Under is 231.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Celtics are 4-5 against the spread, while the Grizzlies are 3-6 against the spread.


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Celtics vs. Grizzlies Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Boston Celtics-3.5 -110O 231.5 -110-165
Memphis Grizzlies +3.5 -110U 231.5 -110140

Grizzlies vs Celtics Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Celtics will win Monday‘s game with 58.1% confidence.

Grizzlies vs Celtics Spread Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Grizzlies will cover the spread for Monday‘s game with 51.5% confidence.

These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Celtics and Grizzlies, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.


  • The Boston Celtics have covered the 1Q Spread in 35 of their last 45 away games (+24.43 Units / 49% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 34 of their last 45 away games (+24.35 Units / 38% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have hit the 1H Moneyline in 30 of their last 41 away games (+19.50 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have covered the 1H Spread in 30 of their last 41 away games (+17.85 Units / 40% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 46 of their last 74 games (+14.01 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the 1H Moneyline in 61 of their last 85 games (+33.75 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have covered the 1H Spread in 60 of their last 91 games (+27.40 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the Moneyline in 63 of their last 91 games (+24.15 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have covered the 1Q Spread in 59 of their last 91 games (+23.85 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 57 of their last 85 games (+23.05 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Against the spread this NBA season, the Celtics have gone 4-5 (-1.5 Units / -15.23% ROI).

    • 6-3 against the Moneyline (-0.15 Units / -0.7% ROI)
    • 6-3 against the Over for game total points (+2.7 Units / 27.27% ROI)
    • 3-6 against the Under for game total points (-3.6 Units / -36.36% ROI)

    Against the spread this NBA season, the Grizzlies have gone 3-6 (-3.6 Units / -32.73% ROI).

    • 7-3 against the Moneyline (+2.95 Units / 12.61% ROI)
    • 5-4 against the Over for game total points (+0.6 Units / 5.45% ROI)
    • 4-5 against the Under for game total points (-1.5 Units / -13.64% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 42 of their last 94 games (-24.86 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the Team Total Under in 38 of their last 91 games (-23.20 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 29 of their last 72 games (-19.62 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 36 of their last 84 games (-18.77 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 21 of their last 58 games (-18.35 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 38 of their last 93 games (-24.47 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 37 of their last 91 games (-24.14 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 51 of their last 99 games (-23.18 Units / -15% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the Team Total Under in 17 of their last 47 away games (-17.55 Units / -32% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 17 of their last 49 away games (-17.20 Units / -32% ROI)
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    Boston Celtics: Keys to the Game vs. the Memphis Grizzlies

    The Celtics were 37-11 (.771) when winning the rebounding margin last season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .693

    The Celtics are 21-14 (.600) when attempting 15 or less free throws since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .480

    The Celtics were 18-10 (.643) when allowing 12 or more offensive rebounds last season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .503

    The Celtics are 53-10 (.841) when forcing an eFG of 50% or worse since the start of the 2020-21 season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .776

    Memphis Grizzlies: Keys to the Game vs. the Boston Celtics

    The Grizzlies were 21-11 (.656) when attempting 25 or more free throws last season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .550

    The Grizzlies were 19-1 (.950) when shooting 40% or better from three last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .749

    The Grizzlies were 46-9 (.836) when scoring 110 or more points last season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .707

    The Grizzlies are 60-33 (.645) when scoring 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2020-21 season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .548

    Injury Report: Grizzlies vs. CelticsMonday‘s Game, Nov. 7

  • Jaren Jackson Jr. (Grizzlies): The Grizzlies announced that F Jaren Jackson Jr. underwent surgery and his recovery time is 4-6 months.
  • Danny Green (Grizzlies): The 76ers announced that Green has a torn ACL and LCL in his left knee.
  • Ziaire Williams (Grizzlies): The Grizzlies announced that Williams is expected to return in 4-6 weeks.
  • Danilo Gallinari (Celtics): The Celtics announced that Gallinari tore his ACL in his left knee. There is no timetable for his return.
  • Robert Williams III (Celtics): Williams III underwent a procedure and will need 4-6 weeks to recover, according to Adrian Wojnarowski of ESPN.
  • Boston Celtics Offensive Stats & Trends

    The Celtics averaged 1.28 points per shot (9,072 points/7,099 shots) last season — tied for 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.26

    The Celtics averaged 10.8 fast break points per game (889 points/82 games) last season — tied for 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.5

    The Celtics had 20.6 free throw attempts per game last season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 21.7

    The Celtics had an eFG% of 54% last season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 53%

    Memphis Grizzlies Offensive Stats & Trends

    The Grizzlies averaged 56.8 points in the paint per game (4,598 points/81 games) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 47.0

    The Grizzlies averaged 57.5 points in the paint per game (2,358 points/41 games) at home last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 47.5

    The Grizzlies averaged 13.9 offensive rebounds per game (1,128 rebounds/81 games) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 10.3

    The Grizzlies have averaged 8.5 fast break points per game (1,288 points/152 games) in the second half since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.7

    Boston Celtics Defensive Stats & Trends

    The Celtics averaged 5.7 blocks per game (470 blocks/82 games) last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

    The Celtics averaged 35.1 defensive rebounds per game (2,882 rebounds/82 games) last season — tied for 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.9

    The Celtics have averaged 5.5 blocks per game (844 blocks/154 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8

    The Celtics have averaged 6.8 steals per game (527 steals/77 games) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6

    Memphis Grizzlies Defensive Stats & Trends

    The Grizzlies averaged 9.7 steals per game (787 steals/81 games) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6

    The Grizzlies have averaged 9.4 steals per game (1,442 steals/153 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6

    The Grizzlies averaged 6.4 blocks per game (521 blocks/81 games) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

    The Grizzlies have averaged 9.6 steals per game (732 steals/76 games) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6


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