Celtics vs Hawks Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Apr. 23

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Apr 23, 2023, 5:30 PM
  • The Celtics (57-25) are -5.5 favorites vs. the Hawks (41-41)
  • Total (Over/Under): 231.5 points
  • Sunday, April 23, 2023 at 7:00pm EDT
  • Watch the game on BSSE

The Boston Celtics visit State Farm Arena to take on the Atlanta Hawks on Sunday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EDT in Atlanta.

The Celtics are betting favorites in this NBA playoff matchup, with the spread sitting at -7.5 (-105).

The Celtics vs Hawks Over/Under is 230.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Celtics are 47-37 against the spread, while the Hawks are 38-47 against the spread.


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Celtics vs. Hawks Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Boston Celtics-7.5 -105O 230.5 -115-275
Atlanta Hawks +7.5 -115U 230.5 -115+220

Hawks vs Celtics Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Celtics will win Sunday‘s game with 66.6% confidence.

Hawks vs Celtics Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Celtics will cover the spread for Sunday‘s game with 57.3% confidence.

These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Celtics and Hawks, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.


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  • The Boston Celtics have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 62 of their last 90 games (+30.93 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 55 of their last 93 games (+12.85 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 37 of their last 62 games (+12.00 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have hit the 1H Moneyline in 24 of their last 32 games (+10.15 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have covered the 2Q Spread in 56 of their last 100 games (+10.11 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 41 of their last 67 games (+11.27 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 17 of their last 22 games at home (+11.22 Units / 45% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 49 of their last 85 games (+10.58 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the Game Total Over in 49 of their last 84 games (+10.50 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 29 of their last 45 games (+10.25 Units / 16% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Celtics have gone 47-37 (+6.3 Units / 6.75% ROI).

  • 59-26 against the Moneyline (-22.95 Units / -7.91% ROI)
  • 43-41 against the Over for game total points (-2.1 Units / -2.25% ROI)
  • 41-43 against the Under for game total points (-6.3 Units / -6.74% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Hawks have gone 38-47 (-13.7 Units / -14.48% ROI).

  • 43-43 against the Moneyline (-21 Units / -12.48% ROI)
  • 49-37 against the Over for game total points (+8.3 Units / 8.77% ROI)
  • 37-49 against the Under for game total points (-16.9 Units / -17.86% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 30 of their last 81 games (-28.89 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only covered the 4Q Spread in 31 of their last 81 games (-24.32 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 30 of their last 72 games (-23.75 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the Moneyline in 41 of their last 84 games (-23.00 Units / -14% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 34 of their last 83 games (-22.18 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 30 of their last 94 games (-42.55 Units / -40% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the Moneyline in 38 of their last 59 games (-33.05 Units / -15% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 37 of their last 93 games (-25.16 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 51 of their last 98 games (-24.54 Units / -14% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 45 of their last 97 games (-24.27 Units / -19% ROI)

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Boston Celtics: Keys to the Game vs. the Atlanta Hawks

The Celtics are 22-1 (.957) when shooting 50% or better from the field this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .733

The Celtics are 44-17 (.721) when grabbing 12 or more offensive rebounds this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .491

The Celtics are 71-29 (.710) when shooting 80% or better from the free throw line since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .554

The Celtics are 56-7 (.889) when shooting 50% or better from the field since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .768

Atlanta Hawks: Keys to the Game vs. the Boston Celtics

The Atlanta Hawks are 5-21 (.192) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three this season — sixth-worst among NBA teams. The Boston Celtics has shot 38% from three (1,315/3,492) this season — sixth-best among NBA teams.

The Atlanta Hawks are 3-15 (.167) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers this season — sixth-worst among NBA teams. The Boston Celtics made 16.0 three-pointers per game this season — second-highest among NBA teams.

The Hawks are undefeated (19-0) when forcing an eFG of 50% or worse this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .777

The Hawks are 30-27 (.526) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2020-21 season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .447

Injury Report: Hawks vs. CelticsSunday‘s Game, Apr. 23

  • Atlanta Hawks – No Injuries Reported
  • Danilo Gallinari (Celtics): Gallinari is hoping to return and play at the end of the season, according to Adam Himmelsbach of The Boston Globe.
  • Marcus Smart (Celtics): Smart is questionable for Sunday’s (Apr. 23) game against Atlanta.

Boston Celtics Offensive Stats & Trends

The Celtics have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.1 (1,087 assists/ 527 TOs) on the road this season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Celtics have made 1,315 three-pointers this season — 2nd most among NBA teams

The Celtics have averaged 117.9 points per game (9,671 points/82 games) this season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 114.7

The Celtics have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.0 (2,186 assists/ 1,095 TOs) this season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

Atlanta Hawks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Hawks are shooting 48% (3,658/7,574) this season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 48%

The Hawks have averaged 118.4 points per game (9,711 points/82 games) this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 114.7

The Hawks have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.9 (2,049 assists/ 1,060 TOs) this season — tied for 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Hawks have averaged 54.3 points in the paint per game (4,450 points/82 games) this season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 50.5

Boston Celtics Defensive Stats & Trends

The Celtics have averaged 38.0 defensive rebounds per game (3,112 rebounds/82 games) this season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Celtics have averaged 5.6 blocks per game (655 blocks/118 games) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.6

The Celtics have blocked 431 shots this season — 6th most among NBA teams

The Celtics have averaged 5.7 blocks per game (464 blocks/82 games) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.6

Atlanta Hawks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Hawks have averaged 7.1 steals per game (1,670 steals/236 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Hawks have averaged 7.1 steals per game (1,167 steals/164 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Hawks have averaged 6.8 steals per game (806 steals/118 games) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Hawks have averaged 6.7 steals per game (547 steals/82 games) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.