Celtics vs Kings Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Mar. 21

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 21, 2023, 5:30 PM
  • The Celtics (49-23) are -5.5 favorites vs. the Kings (43-28)
  • Total (Over/Under): 239.5 points
  • Tuesday, March 21, 2023 at 10:00pm EDT
  • Watch the game on NBCS-CA & NBCS-BOS

The Boston Celtics visit Golden 1 Center to take on the Sacramento Kings on Tuesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 10:00pm EDT in Sacramento.

The Celtics are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-115).

The Celtics vs Kings Over/Under is 238.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Celtics are 37-34 against the spread, while the Kings are 40-31 against the spread.


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Celtics vs. Kings Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Boston Celtics-4.5 -115O 238.5 -110-225
Sacramento Kings +4.5 -105U 238.5 -110+180

Kings vs Celtics Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Celtics will win Tuesday‘s game with 61.1% confidence.

Kings vs Celtics Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Celtics will cover the spread for Tuesday‘s game with 52.7% confidence.

These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Celtics and Kings, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.


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  • The Boston Celtics have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 55 of their last 77 games (+30.45 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have covered the 1H Spread in 56 of their last 94 games (+14.30 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 48 of their last 80 games (+12.61 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have hit the Game Total Under in 27 of their last 42 away games (+10.50 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 30 of their last 49 games (+10.40 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have hit the 2H Moneyline in 40 of their last 61 games (+15.05 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have hit the Team Total Over in 23 of their last 32 games at home (+12.50 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 33 of their last 52 games (+12.47 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 32 of their last 50 games (+12.05 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 23 of their last 33 games at home (+11.95 Units / 33% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Celtics have gone 37-34 (-0.4 Units / -0.51% ROI).

  • 49-23 against the Moneyline (-24.35 Units / -10.3% ROI)
  • 37-35 against the Over for game total points (-1.5 Units / -1.89% ROI)
  • 35-37 against the Under for game total points (-5.7 Units / -7.2% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Kings have gone 40-31 (+5.9 Units / 7.55% ROI).

  • 43-28 against the Moneyline (+6.15 Units / 4.86% ROI)
  • 36-35 against the Over for game total points (-2.5 Units / -3.2% ROI)
  • 35-36 against the Under for game total points (-4.6 Units / -5.89% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 32 of their last 78 games (-23.35 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 34 of their last 80 games (-22.57 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 33 of their last 80 games (-19.87 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 18 of their last 52 games (-19.72 Units / -33% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only hit the Team Total Under in 9 of their last 32 games at home (-17.75 Units / -48% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 24 of their last 81 games (-40.39 Units / -44% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the Moneyline in 28 of their last 46 games (-34.45 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 46 of their last 93 games (-27.62 Units / -18% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 40 of their last 98 games (-24.27 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 46 of their last 99 games (-23.40 Units / -18% ROI)

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Boston Celtics: Keys to the Game vs. the Sacramento Kings

The Boston Celtics are 46-21 (.687) when they win the turnover margin since the start of the 2021-22 season — third-best among NBA teams. The Portland Trail Blazers have averaged 14.5 turnovers per game (2,191 turnovers/151 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for eighth-highest among NBA teams.

The Boston Celtics are 57-15 (.792) when winning the rebounding margin since the start of the 2021-22 season — third-best among NBA teams. The Portland Trail Blazers have averaged 49.8 rebounds per game (7,518 rebounds/151 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — fourth-lowest among NBA teams.

The Celtics are 18-1 (.947) when shooting 50% or better from the field this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .734

The Celtics are 76-19 (.800) when scoring 110 or more points since the start of the 2021-22 season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .674

Sacramento Kings: Keys to the Game vs. the Boston Celtics

The Kings are 3-34 (.081) when their eFG is 50% or worse since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .229

The Kings are winless (0-17) when shooting 40% or worse from the field since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .119

The Kings are 20-33 (.377) when allowing 15 or more fastbreak points since the start of the 2021-22 season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .434

The Kings are 6-29 (.171) when losing the rebounding margin by 10 or more since the start of the 2021-22 season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .240

Injury Report: Kings vs. CelticsTuesday‘s Game, Mar. 21

  • Kevin Huerter (Kings): Huerter did not play in Monday’s (Mar. 20) game against Utah.
  • Payton Pritchard (Celtics): Celtics coach Joe Mazzulls said Pritchard might miss the Celtics’ upcoming six-game road trip.
  • Robert Williams III (Celtics): Celtics coach Joe Mazzulla said Williams could miss 7-10 days.
  • Danilo Gallinari (Celtics): Gallinari is hoping to return and play at the end of the season, according to Adam Himmelsbach of The Boston Globe.

Boston Celtics Offensive Stats & Trends

The Celtics have made 15.8 three-pointers per game this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.3

The Celtics have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.0 (1,835 assists/ 941 TOs) this season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Celtics have a TS% of 52% since the start of the 2021-22 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%

The Celtics have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.2 (980 assists/ 446 TOs) in the first half this season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

Sacramento Kings Offensive Stats & Trends

The Kings have averaged 121.2 points per game (8,241 points/68 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 114.5

The Kings are shooting 39% from three (133/339) in close and late situations this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 34%

The Kings have an eFG% of 58% in close and late situations this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 52%

The Kings have averaged 124.2 points per game (4,347 points/35 games) at home this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 116.0

Boston Celtics Defensive Stats & Trends

The Celtics have averaged 37.8 defensive rebounds per game (2,648 rebounds/70 games) this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Celtics have averaged 37.7 defensive rebounds per game (5,733 rebounds/152 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.7

The Celtics have averaged 6.8 steals per game (1,035 steals/152 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Celtics have averaged 6.3 steals per game (444 steals/70 games) this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

Sacramento Kings Defensive Stats & Trends

The Kings have averaged 3.2 blocks per game (218 blocks/68 games) this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.6

The Kings have averaged 7.1 steals per game (1,063 steals/150 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Kings have averaged 4.0 blocks per game (304 blocks/76 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8

The Kings have averaged 4.3 blocks per game (945 blocks/222 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.