Celtics vs Pistons Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Feb. 6

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 06, 2023, 4:30 PM
  • The Celtics (37-16) are -10.5 favorites vs. the Pistons (14-40)
  • Total (Over/Under): 229.5 points
  • Monday, February 6, 2023 at 7:00pm EST
  • Watch the game on BSDET & NBCS-BOS

The Boston Celtics visit Little Caesars Arena to take on the Detroit Pistons on Monday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in Detroit.

The Celtics are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -10.5 (-110).

The Celtics vs Pistons Over/Under is 229.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Celtics are 26-26 against the spread, while the Pistons are 23-28 against the spread.


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Celtics vs. Pistons Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Boston Celtics-10.5 -110O 229.5 -115-550
Detroit Pistons +10.5 -110U 229.5 -115+400

Pistons vs Celtics Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Celtics will win Monday‘s game with 72.0% confidence.

Pistons vs Celtics Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Celtics will cover the spread for Monday‘s game with 51.0% confidence.

These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Celtics and Pistons, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.


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  • The Boston Celtics have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 43 of their last 58 games (+26.41 Units / 41% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 58 of their last 95 games (+16.84 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have hit the Game Total Under in 22 of their last 31 away games (+12.10 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have covered the 1H Spread in 30 of their last 47 away games (+11.35 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 30 of their last 50 away games (+9.35 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 45 of their last 65 games (+22.12 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 42 of their last 82 games (+17.86 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have hit the 1H Moneyline in 33 of their last 76 games (+17.00 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have covered the 2Q Spread in 49 of their last 80 games (+14.46 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 26 of their last 38 games at home (+13.21 Units / 31% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Celtics have gone 26-26 (-2.6 Units / -4.47% ROI).

  • 37-16 against the Moneyline (-15.35 Units / -8.54% ROI)
  • 26-27 against the Over for game total points (-3.7 Units / -6.35% ROI)
  • 27-26 against the Under for game total points (-1.6 Units / -2.74% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Pistons have gone 23-28 (-7.85 Units / -13.2% ROI).

  • 14-40 against the Moneyline (-9.1 Units / -16.25% ROI)
  • 29-25 against the Over for game total points (+1.5 Units / 2.53% ROI)
  • 25-29 against the Under for game total points (-6.9 Units / -11.62% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 29 of their last 83 games (-31.76 Units / -34% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 27 of their last 84 games (-27.09 Units / -31% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only covered the 1Q Spread in 25 of their last 68 games (-22.50 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 17 of their last 57 games (-17.84 Units / -31% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 13 of their last 40 games at home (-17.19 Units / -38% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 32 of their last 93 games (-37.06 Units / -35% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 36 of their last 95 games (-29.88 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 27 games (-25.45 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 52 of their last 98 games (-22.93 Units / -15% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 46 of their last 88 games (-21.20 Units / -14% ROI)

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Boston Celtics: Keys to the Game vs. the Detroit Pistons

The Boston Celtics are 16-4 (.800) when they win the turnover margin this season — third-best among NBA teams. The Orlando Magic have averaged 14.6 turnovers per game (671 turnovers/46 games) this season — tied for sixth-highest among NBA teams.

The Boston Celtics are 42-17 (.712) when they win the turnover margin since the start of the 2021-22 season — fourth-best among NBA teams. The Orlando Magic have averaged 14.1 turnovers per game (1,803 turnovers/128 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — fourth-highest among NBA teams.

The Celtics are 15-3 (.833) when scoring more second chance points than their opponent this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .530

The Celtics are 33-3 (.917) when shooting 40% or better from three since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .729

Detroit Pistons: Keys to the Game vs. the Boston Celtics

The Detroit Pistons are 11-71 (.134) when losing the rebounding margin since the start of the 2021-22 season — worst among NBA teams. The Milwaukee Bucks have averaged 47.3 rebounds per game (6,049 rebounds/128 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — second-highest among NBA teams.

The Detroit Pistons are 6-21 (.222) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers since the start of the 2021-22 season — 10th-worst among NBA teams. The Milwaukee Bucks made 14.0 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2021-22 season — fourth-highest among NBA teams.

The Pistons are 23-73 (.240) when scoring fewer second chance points than their opponent since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .457

The Pistons are 24-60 (.286) when allowing 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .457

Injury Report: Pistons vs. CelticsMonday‘s Game, Feb. 6

  • Isaiah Stewart (Pistons): Stewart is questionable for Monday’s (Feb. 6) game against Boston.
  • Marvin Bagley III (Pistons): The Pistons announced that Bagley III underwent surgery and will be re-evaluated in about six weeks.
  • Cade Cunningham (Pistons): According the Adrian Wojnarowski of ESPN, Cunningham is expected to have season-ending surgery on his left shin.
  • Danilo Gallinari (Celtics): The Celtics announced that Gallinari tore his ACL in his left knee. There is no timetable for his return.
  • Luke Kornet (Celtics): Kornet is questionable for Monday’s (Feb. 6) game against Detroit.
  • Marcus Smart (Celtics): Smart announced that he hopes to return in a week or two, but there is no timetable for his return.

Boston Celtics Offensive Stats & Trends

The Celtics have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.3 (677 assists/ 297 TOs) in the first half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.9

The Celtics have made 15.5 three-pointers per game this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.3

The Celtics shot 38% from three (972/2,594) in the 2020-21 season — tied for 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 37%

The Celtics have averaged 118.5 points per game (5,571 points/47 games) this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 114.1

Detroit Pistons Offensive Stats & Trends

The Pistons are shooting 44% (5,036/11,478) since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%

The Pistons are shooting 44% (2,497/5,638) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%

The Pistons have an eFG% of 51% in the first half since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 54%

The Pistons have a TS% of 48% at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%

Boston Celtics Defensive Stats & Trends

The Celtics have averaged 6.5 steals per game (306 steals/47 games) this season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

The Celtics have averaged 34.9 defensive rebounds per game (1,640 rebounds/47 games) this season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.0

The Celtics have averaged 5.7 blocks per game (732 blocks/129 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Celtics have averaged 7.0 steals per game (897 steals/129 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

Detroit Pistons Defensive Stats & Trends

The Pistons have averaged 32.1 defensive rebounds per game (6,493 rebounds/202 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 34.0

The Pistons have averaged 3.6 blocks per game (171 blocks/48 games) this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Pistons have averaged 31.8 defensive rebounds per game (4,136 rebounds/130 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.7

The Pistons have averaged 4.3 blocks per game (564 blocks/130 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7


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