Celtics vs Rockets Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Mar. 13

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 13, 2023, 5:30 PM
  • The Celtics (47-21) are -11.5 favorites vs. the Rockets (15-52)
  • Total (Over/Under): 231.5 points
  • Monday, March 13, 2023 at 8:00pm EDT
  • Watch the game on SportsNet SW & NBCS-BOS

The Boston Celtics visit Toyota Center to take on the Houston Rockets on Monday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EDT in Houston.

The Celtics are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -12.5 (-110).

The Celtics vs Rockets Over/Under is 231.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Celtics are 36-31 against the spread, while the Rockets are 25-38 against the spread.


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Celtics vs. Rockets Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Boston Celtics-12.5 -110O 231.5 -110-800
Houston Rockets +12.5 -110U 231.5 -110+575

Rockets vs Celtics Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Celtics will win Monday‘s game with 72.0% confidence.

Rockets vs Celtics Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Rockets will cover the spread for Monday‘s game with 53.2% confidence.

These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Celtics and Rockets, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.


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  • The Boston Celtics have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 53 of their last 73 games (+30.71 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have covered the 1H Spread in 54 of their last 90 games (+14.45 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 46 of their last 76 games (+12.77 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have covered the 2Q Spread in 50 of their last 87 games (+11.65 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have hit the Game Total Under in 25 of their last 38 away games (+10.70 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 45 of their last 74 games (+13.94 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have hit the 1H Moneyline in 18 of their last 33 games at home (+13.35 Units / 39% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have covered the 1H Spread in 35 of their last 60 games (+9.70 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 35 of their last 59 games (+8.55 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 11 of their last 17 games at home (+8.50 Units / 49% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Celtics have gone 36-31 (+1.9 Units / 2.54% ROI).

  • 47-21 against the Moneyline (-16.2 Units / -7.29% ROI)
  • 35-33 against the Over for game total points (-1.3 Units / -1.74% ROI)
  • 33-35 against the Under for game total points (-5.5 Units / -7.35% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Rockets have gone 25-38 (-16.8 Units / -22.8% ROI).

  • 15-52 against the Moneyline (-21.7 Units / -31.29% ROI)
  • 35-32 against the Over for game total points (-0.2 Units / -0.27% ROI)
  • 32-35 against the Under for game total points (-6.5 Units / -8.82% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 82 games (-30.35 Units / -35% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 28 of their last 76 games (-24.77 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 21 of their last 69 games (-17.92 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only covered the Spread in 25 of their last 68 games (-17.90 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 24 of their last 69 games (-17.63 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 22 of their last 77 games (-40.24 Units / -46% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 44 of their last 89 games (-26.40 Units / -18% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the Moneyline in 26 of their last 42 games (-26.30 Units / -18% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 46 of their last 100 games (-25.31 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 41 of their last 100 games (-24.55 Units / -22% ROI)

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Boston Celtics: Keys to the Game vs. the Houston Rockets

The Boston Celtics are 28-5 (.848) when winning the rebounding margin this season — third-best among NBA teams. The Brooklyn Nets have averaged 40.0 rebounds per game (2,360 rebounds/59 games) this season — second-lowest among NBA teams.

The Boston Celtics are 67-16 (.807) when winning the rebounding margin since the start of the 2021-22 season — sixth-best among NBA teams. The Brooklyn Nets have averaged 42.6 rebounds per game (6,000 rebounds/141 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for fifth-lowest among NBA teams.

The Celtics are 20-7 (.741) when scoring 15 or more fastbreak points this season — tied for 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .562

The Celtics are 20-10 (.667) when their opponent attempts fewer than 15 free throws since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .513

Houston Rockets: Keys to the Game vs. the Boston Celtics

The Rockets are 3-18 (.143) when scoring fewer second chance points than their opponent this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .453

The Rockets are 21-77 (.212) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .540

The Rockets are 4-38 (.095) when allowing fewer than 8 offense rebounds since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .491

The Rockets are 6-26 (.188) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .549

Injury Report: Rockets vs. CelticsMonday‘s Game, Mar. 13

  • Houston Rockets – No Injuries Reported
  • Payton Pritchard (Celtics): Celtics coach Joe Mazzulls said Pritchard might miss the Celtics’ upcoming six-game road trip.
  • Robert Williams III (Celtics): Celtics coach Joe Mazzulla said Williams could miss 7-10 days.
  • Danilo Gallinari (Celtics): Gallinari is hoping to return and play at the end of the season, according to Adam Himmelsbach of The Boston Globe.

Boston Celtics Offensive Stats & Trends

The Celtics have made 15.5 three-pointers per game this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.3

The Celtics have averaged 1.8 second chance points per game (85 points/47 games) in close and late situations this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 2.7

The Celtics have an eFG% of 56% this season — tied for 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 54%

The Celtics have a 25% free throw rate (1,311 free throw attempts/5,181 field goal attempts) this season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 27%

Houston Rockets Offensive Stats & Trends

The Rockets have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.5 (2,464 assists/ 1,620 TOs) in the second half since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Rockets have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.4 (1,396 assists/ 985 TOs) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Rockets have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.5 (1,630 assists/ 1,121 TOs) in the second half since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Rockets have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.4 (1,659 assists/ 1,178 TOs) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

Boston Celtics Defensive Stats & Trends

The Celtics have averaged 35.3 defensive rebounds per game (2,082 rebounds/59 games) this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.1

The Celtics have averaged 6.2 steals per game (364 steals/59 games) this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

The Celtics have averaged 6.6 steals per game (708 steals/107 games) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6

The Celtics have averaged 5.6 blocks per game (794 blocks/141 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

Houston Rockets Defensive Stats & Trends

The Rockets have averaged 32.9 defensive rebounds per game (7,115 rebounds/216 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.9

The Rockets have averaged 32.8 defensive rebounds per game (4,721 rebounds/144 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.6

The Rockets have averaged 7.1 steals per game (506 steals/71 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Rockets have allowed 13.6 made three-pointers per game since the start of the 2021-22 season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 12.4


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.