- The Celtics (26-11) are -8.5 favorites vs. the Thunder (15-21)
- Total (Over/Under): 233.5 points
- Tuesday, January 3, 2023 at 8:00pm EST
- Watch the game on BSOK & NBCS-BOS
The Boston Celtics visit Paycom Center to take on the Oklahoma City Thunder on Tuesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in Oklahoma City.
The Celtics are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -8.5 (-110).
The Celtics vs Thunder Over/Under is 232.5 total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Celtics are 20-16 against the spread, while the Thunder are 21-15 against the spread.
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Celtics vs. Thunder Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
Boston Celtics | -8.5 -110 | O 232.5 -110 | -350 |
Oklahoma City Thunder | +8.5 -110 | U 232.5 -110 | +280 |
Thunder vs Celtics Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Thunder will win Tuesday‘s game with 71.0% confidence.
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Thunder will cover the spread for Tuesday‘s game with 51.1% confidence.
These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Celtics and Thunder, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.
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Celtics Team Prop Bets for Tonight, Ranked by Units Won:
- The Boston Celtics have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 33 of their last 46 away games (+18.75 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Boston Celtics have covered the 1Q Spread in 32 of their last 46 away games (+17.33 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Boston Celtics have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 50 of their last 79 games (+16.76 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Boston Celtics have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 29 of their last 42 games (+14.53 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Boston Celtics have covered the 1H Spread in 31 of their last 46 away games (+14.50 Units / 29% ROI)
Thunder Team Prop Bets for Tonight, Ranked by Units Won:
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 2H Moneyline in 37 of their last 62 games (+30.72 Units / 47% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Moneyline in 25 of their last 70 games (+17.25 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Team Total Over in 39 of their last 62 games (+12.40 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 17 of their last 24 games at home (+11.72 Units / 43% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 45 of their last 75 games (+11.29 Units / 13% ROI)
Boston Celtics Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Celtics have gone 20-16 (+2.4 Units / 5.91% ROI).
- 26-11 against the Moneyline (-8.4 Units / -6.95% ROI)
- 19-18 against the Over for game total points (-0.8 Units / -1.97% ROI)
- 18-19 against the Under for game total points (-2.9 Units / -7.13% ROI)
Oklahoma City Thunder Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Thunder have gone 21-15 (+4.55 Units / 11.5% ROI).
- 15-21 against the Moneyline (+5.55 Units / 13.67% ROI)
- 19-16 against the Over for game total points (+1.4 Units / 3.54% ROI)
- 16-19 against the Under for game total points (-4.9 Units / -12.37% ROI)
Negative Value Trends Against the Spread for the Thunder, Ranked by Units Lost:
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 14 of their last 76 games (-37.25 Units / -47% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the Team Total Under in 32 of their last 79 games (-21.55 Units / -24% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 31 of their last 77 games (-21.06 Units / -24% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 23 of their last 76 games (-20.10 Units / -25% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have only covered the 1H Spread in 33 of their last 82 games (-19.35 Units / -22% ROI)
Negative Value Trends Against the Spread for the Celtics, Ranked by Units Lost:
- The Boston Celtics have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 39 of their last 100 games (-30.23 Units / -27% ROI)
- The Boston Celtics have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 30 of their last 77 games (-23.58 Units / -27% ROI)
- The Boston Celtics have only hit the Team Total Under in 30 of their last 74 games (-20.60 Units / -24% ROI)
- The Boston Celtics have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 36 of their last 72 games (-18.50 Units / -16% ROI)
- The Boston Celtics have only hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 11 games (-18.50 Units / -38% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Boston Celtics
- Keys to Winning for the Oklahoma City Thunder
- Player Injuries for Boston Celtics vs. Oklahoma City Thunder
- Boston Celtics Offensive stats
- Oklahoma City Thunder Offensive stats
- Boston Celtics Defensive stats
- Oklahoma City Thunder Defensive stats
Boston Celtics: Keys to the Game vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder
The Celtics are 20-10 (.667) when allowing 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2021-22 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .461
The Celtics are 21-11 (.656) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2021-22 season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .553
The Celtics are 40-7 (.851) when forcing an eFG of 50% or worse since the start of the 2021-22 season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .767
The Celtics are 22-4 (.846) when shooting 40% or better from three since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .744
Oklahoma City Thunder: Keys to the Game vs. the Boston Celtics
The Oklahoma City Thunder are 11-47 (.190) when losing the rebounding margin since the start of the 2021-22 season — seventh-worst among NBA teams. The Boston Celtics have averaged 45.1 rebounds per game (4,280 rebounds/95 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — seventh-highest among NBA teams.
The Thunder are winless (0-31) when allowing an eFG of 60% or better since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .141
The Thunder are 17-34 (.333) when scoring 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .544
The Thunder are 6-15 (.286) when allowing fewer than 8 offense rebounds since the start of the 2021-22 season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .480
Injury Report: Thunder vs. Celtics – Tuesday‘s Game, Jan. 3
- Chet Holmgren (Thunder): Holmgren will miss the 2022-23 season with Lisfranc injury to his right foot, according to Adrian Wojnarowsk of ESPN.
- Ousmane Dieng (Thunder): Dieng suffered a fracture in his right wrist during Wednesday’s (Dec 14) Oklahoma City Blue game and will be re-evaluated in six weeks, Brandon Rahbar of DailyThunder.com reports.
- Aleksej Pokusevski (Thunder): Thunder announced Pokusevski suffered a non-displaced tibial plateau fracture in his left leg and will be reevaluated in 6-8 weeks.
- Jeremiah Robinson-Earl (Thunder): Robinson-Earl hasn’t played since Dec. 12 against Dallas. A timetable for his return hasn’t been announced.
- Danilo Gallinari (Celtics): The Celtics announced that Gallinari tore his ACL in his left knee. There is no timetable for his return.
- Robert Williams III (Celtics): Williams III is questionable for Tuesday’s (Jan. 3) game against Oklahoma City.
Boston Celtics Offensive Stats & Trends
The Celtics have averaged 1.38 points per shot (1,554 points/1,124 shots) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.27
The Celtics have averaged 1.42 points per shot (812 points/570 shots) in the first half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.27
The Celtics have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.2 (342 assists/ 159 TOs) this season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.7
The Celtics have a TS% of 57% in the first half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%
Oklahoma City Thunder Offensive Stats & Trends
The Thunder are shooting 33% from three (2,000/6,055) since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%
The Thunder have averaged 1.19 points per shot (8,637 points/7,246 shots) in the second half since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.28
The Thunder have an eFG% of 50% since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 53%
The Thunder have averaged 1.17 points per shot (8,646 points/7,398 shots) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.25
Boston Celtics Defensive Stats & Trends
The Celtics have averaged 5.9 blocks per game (283 blocks/48 games) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.6
The Celtics have averaged 5.3 steals per game (69 steals/13 games) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4
The Celtics have averaged 5.5 blocks per game (71 blocks/13 games) this season — tied for 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1
The Celtics have averaged 6.7 steals per game (562 steals/84 games) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6
Oklahoma City Thunder Defensive Stats & Trends
The Thunder have averaged 9.2 steals per game (119 steals/13 games) this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4
The Thunder have averaged 7.8 steals per game (742 steals/95 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6
The Thunder have blocked 81 shots this season — 4th most among NBA teams
The Thunder have averaged 6.2 blocks per game (81 blocks/13 games) this season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1
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