Celtics vs Jazz Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Mar. 18

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 18, 2023, 5:30 PM
  • The Celtics (49-22) are -3.5 favorites vs. the Jazz (33-36)
  • Total (Over/Under): 231.5 points
  • Saturday, March 18, 2023 at 9:00pm EDT
  • Watch the game on SportsNet RM & NBCS-BOS

The Boston Celtics visit Vivint Arena to take on the Utah Jazz on Saturday. Tipoff is scheduled for 9:00pm EDT in Salt Lake City.

The Celtics are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-110).

The Celtics vs Jazz Over/Under is 233.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Celtics are 37-33 against the spread, while the Jazz are 38-31 against the spread.


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Celtics vs. Jazz Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Boston Celtics-4.5 -110O 233.5 -105-190
Utah Jazz +4.5 -110U 233.5 -105+155

Jazz vs Celtics Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Celtics will win Saturday‘s game with 62.3% confidence.

Jazz vs Celtics Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Celtics will cover the spread for Saturday‘s game with 51.8% confidence.

These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Celtics and Jazz, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.


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  • The Boston Celtics have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 54 of their last 76 games (+29.45 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have covered the 1H Spread in 55 of their last 93 games (+13.30 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 47 of their last 79 games (+11.61 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have hit the Game Total Under in 27 of their last 41 away games (+11.60 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 30 of their last 48 games (+11.50 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 49 of their last 84 games (+10.45 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have hit the Game Total Over in 34 of their last 58 games (+9.80 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have covered the 3Q Spread in 40 of their last 68 games (+9.79 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 49 of their last 84 games (+9.66 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have hit the Team Total Over in 38 of their last 63 games (+9.35 Units / 13% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Celtics have gone 37-33 (+0.7 Units / 0.9% ROI).

  • 49-22 against the Moneyline (-22.45 Units / -9.57% ROI)
  • 36-35 against the Over for game total points (-2.5 Units / -3.2% ROI)
  • 35-36 against the Under for game total points (-4.6 Units / -5.89% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Jazz have gone 38-31 (+3.9 Units / 5.14% ROI).

  • 33-36 against the Moneyline (-14.7 Units / -12.65% ROI)
  • 38-29 against the Over for game total points (+6.1 Units / 8.04% ROI)
  • 29-38 against the Under for game total points (-12.8 Units / -16.86% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have only hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 56 games (-28.10 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 33 of their last 85 games (-27.20 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 21 of their last 58 games (-25.98 Units / -34% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 18 of their last 51 games (-25.50 Units / -34% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 32 of their last 77 games (-24.65 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 24 of their last 80 games (-39.26 Units / -43% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the Moneyline in 28 of their last 45 games (-32.55 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 46 of their last 92 games (-26.10 Units / -17% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 40 of their last 97 games (-23.12 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 47 of their last 100 games (-22.98 Units / -17% ROI)

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Boston Celtics: Keys to the Game vs. the Utah Jazz

The Boston Celtics are 46-21 (.687) when they win the turnover margin since the start of the 2021-22 season — third-best among NBA teams. The Portland Trail Blazers have averaged 14.5 turnovers per game (2,191 turnovers/151 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for eighth-highest among NBA teams.

The Boston Celtics are 57-15 (.792) when winning the rebounding margin since the start of the 2021-22 season — third-best among NBA teams. The Portland Trail Blazers have averaged 49.8 rebounds per game (7,518 rebounds/151 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — fourth-lowest among NBA teams.

The Celtics are 18-1 (.947) when shooting 50% or better from the field this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .734

The Celtics are 76-19 (.800) when scoring 110 or more points since the start of the 2021-22 season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .674

Utah Jazz: Keys to the Game vs. the Boston Celtics

The Jazz are winless (0-12) when scoring fewer than 100 points since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .140

The Jazz are 1-15 (.062) when shooting 40% or worse from the field since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .120

The Jazz are 23-31 (.426) when scoring fewer second chance points than their opponent since the start of the 2021-22 season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .452

The Jazz are 82-40 (.672) when scoring more second chance points than their opponent since the start of the 2020-21 season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .545

Injury Report: Jazz vs. CelticsSaturday‘s Game, Mar. 18

  • Collin Sexton (Jazz): Sexton will be re-evaluated in another week, according to Eric Walden of The Salt Lake Tribune.
  • Jordan Clarkson (Jazz): Clarkson is QUESTIONABLE for Saturday’s (Mar.18) game against Boston.
  • Malcolm Brogdon (Celtics): Brogdon is OUT for Fridays (Mar.17) game against Portland.
  • Payton Pritchard (Celtics): Celtics coach Joe Mazzulls said Pritchard might miss the Celtics’ upcoming six-game road trip.
  • Robert Williams III (Celtics): Celtics coach Joe Mazzulla said Williams could miss 7-10 days.
  • Danilo Gallinari (Celtics): Gallinari is hoping to return and play at the end of the season, according to Adam Himmelsbach of The Boston Globe.

Boston Celtics Offensive Stats & Trends

The Celtics have made 15.8 three-pointers per game this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.3

The Celtics have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.0 (1,835 assists/ 941 TOs) this season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Celtics have a TS% of 52% since the start of the 2021-22 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%

The Celtics have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.2 (980 assists/ 446 TOs) in the first half this season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

Utah Jazz Offensive Stats & Trends

The Jazz have averaged 7.9 second chance points per game (1,751 points/223 games) in the second half since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.6

The Jazz have made 15.0 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.5

The Jazz have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.5 (823 assists/ 535 TOs) at home this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Jazz have averaged 1.31 points per shot (8,089 points/6,166 shots) this season — tied for 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.30

Boston Celtics Defensive Stats & Trends

The Celtics have averaged 37.8 defensive rebounds per game (2,648 rebounds/70 games) this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Celtics have averaged 37.7 defensive rebounds per game (5,733 rebounds/152 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.7

The Celtics have averaged 6.8 steals per game (1,035 steals/152 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Celtics have averaged 6.3 steals per game (444 steals/70 games) this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

Utah Jazz Defensive Stats & Trends

The Jazz have averaged 35.7 defensive rebounds per game (2,461 rebounds/69 games) this season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Jazz have averaged 6.8 steals per game (1,506 steals/223 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Jazz have blocked 367 shots this season — tied for 7th most among NBA teams

The Jazz have averaged 5.1 blocks per game (1,140 blocks/223 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.