Boston Celtics vs Golden State Warriors Prediction, Odds, Lines, Team Props – NBA, Dec. 10

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Dec 10, 2022, 4:30 PM
  • The Celtics (21-5) are -2.5 favorites vs. the Warriors (13-13)
  • Total (Over/Under): 236.5 points
  • Saturday, December 10, 2022 at 8:30pm EST
  • Watch the game on ABC & ABC

The Boston Celtics visit Chase Center to take on the Golden State Warriors on Saturday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:30pm EST in San Francisco.

The Celtics are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-110).

The Celtics vs Warriors Over/Under is 236.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Celtics are 17-9 against the spread, while the Warriors are 12-14 against the spread.


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Celtics vs. Warriors Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Boston Celtics-2.5 -110O 236.5 -115-140
Golden State Warriors +2.5 -110U 236.5 -115+115

Warriors vs Celtics Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Celtics will win Saturday‘s game with 58.9% confidence.

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Warriors will cover the spread for Saturday‘s game with 51.1% confidence.

These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Celtics and Warriors, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.


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  • The Boston Celtics have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 37 of their last 49 away games (+25.25 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have covered the 1Q Spread in 37 of their last 50 away games (+23.38 Units / 42% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have covered the 1H Spread in 35 of their last 49 away games (+19.50 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have hit the 1H Moneyline in 35 of their last 49 away games (+19.40 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have covered the Spread in 52 of their last 85 games (+17.90 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 58 of their last 94 games (+18.42 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have covered the Spread in 24 of their last 33 games at home (+14.10 Units / 39% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the Moneyline in 24 of their last 27 games at home (+13.70 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 20 of their last 28 games at home (+11.18 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 55 of their last 97 games (+10.40 Units / 10% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Celtics have gone 17-9 (+7.1 Units / 24.91% ROI).

  • 21-5 against the Moneyline (+10.1 Units / 13.93% ROI)
  • 14-12 against the Over for game total points (+0.8 Units / 2.8% ROI)
  • 12-14 against the Under for game total points (-3.4 Units / -11.89% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Warriors have gone 12-14 (-3.4 Units / -11.89% ROI).

  • 13-13 against the Moneyline (-16.75 Units / -22.56% ROI)
  • 14-12 against the Over for game total points (+0.8 Units / 2.8% ROI)
  • 12-14 against the Under for game total points (-3.4 Units / -11.89% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 38 of their last 100 games (-31.33 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 45 of their last 98 games (-30.38 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 46 of their last 94 games (-28.98 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 48 of their last 99 games (-25.90 Units / -14% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 44 of their last 91 games (-23.35 Units / -16% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 35 of their last 91 games (-28.55 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the Team Total Under in 23 of their last 63 games (-22.90 Units / -31% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 53 of their last 100 games (-21.18 Units / -13% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 45 of their last 100 games (-18.35 Units / -16% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 30 of their last 76 games (-18.00 Units / -22% ROI)

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Boston Celtics: Keys to the Game vs. the Golden State Warriors

The Celtics are 20-10 (.667) when allowing 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2021-22 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .461

The Celtics are 21-11 (.656) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2021-22 season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .553

The Celtics are 40-7 (.851) when forcing an eFG of 50% or worse since the start of the 2021-22 season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .767

The Celtics are 22-4 (.846) when shooting 40% or better from three since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .744

Golden State Warriors: Keys to the Game vs. the Boston Celtics

The Warriors are 26-4 (.867) when shooting 40% or better from three since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .744

The Warriors are 51-19 (.729) when shooting 80% or better from the free throw line since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .562

The Warriors are 8-32 (.200) when their eFG is 50% or worse since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .224

The Warriors are 19-15 (.559) when allowing 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2021-22 season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .461

Injury Report: Warriors vs. CelticsSaturday‘s Game, Dec. 10

  • Andrew Wiggins (Warriors): Wiggins is out for Wednesday’s (Dec. 7) game against Utah and Saturday’s (Dec. 10) game against Boston.
  • Andre Iguodala (Warriors): Iguodala has yet to make his season debut and the Warriors haven’t announced a timeline for his return.
  • Al Horford (Celtics): The Celtics placed Horford in the league’s health and safety protocols.
  • Danilo Gallinari (Celtics): The Celtics announced that Gallinari tore his ACL in his left knee. There is no timetable for his return.
  • Robert Williams III (Celtics): Williams III underwent a procedure and will need 4-6 weeks to recover, according to Adrian Wojnarowski of ESPN.

Boston Celtics Offensive Stats & Trends

The Celtics have averaged 1.38 points per shot (1,554 points/1,124 shots) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.27

The Celtics have averaged 1.42 points per shot (812 points/570 shots) in the first half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.27

The Celtics have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.2 (342 assists/ 159 TOs) this season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.7

The Celtics have a TS% of 57% in the first half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%

Golden State Warriors Offensive Stats & Trends

The Warriors have averaged 8.4 turnovers per game (109 turnovers/13 games) in the second half this season — tied for 2nd highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.0

The Warriors have a TS% of 54% in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 50%

The Warriors have averaged 8.9 offensive rebounds per game (1,478 rebounds/167 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 10.1

The Warriors have averaged 7.2 turnovers per game (1,192 turnovers/166 games) in the second half since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.5

Boston Celtics Defensive Stats & Trends

The Celtics have averaged 5.9 blocks per game (283 blocks/48 games) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.6

The Celtics have averaged 5.3 steals per game (69 steals/13 games) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4

The Celtics have averaged 5.5 blocks per game (71 blocks/13 games) this season — tied for 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

The Celtics have averaged 6.7 steals per game (562 steals/84 games) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6

Golden State Warriors Defensive Stats & Trends

The Warriors have averaged 35.2 defensive rebounds per game (3,346 rebounds/95 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.8

The Warriors have averaged 8.9 steals per game (417 steals/47 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6

The Warriors have 1,388 steals since the start of the 2020-21 season — 4th most among NBA teams

The Warriors have averaged 6.9 steals per game (90 steals/13 games) this season — tied for 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.