Celtics vs Wizards Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Mar. 28

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 28, 2023, 5:30 PM
  • The Celtics (52-23) are -11.5 favorites vs. the Wizards (33-42)
  • Total (Over/Under): 222.5 points
  • Tuesday, March 28, 2023 at 7:00pm EDT
  • Watch the game on NBCS-DC & NBCS-BOS

The Boston Celtics visit Capital One Arena to take on the Washington Wizards on Tuesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EDT in Washington.

The Celtics are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -11.5 (-105).

The Celtics vs Wizards Over/Under is 222.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Celtics are 40-34 against the spread, while the Wizards are 34-38 against the spread.


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Celtics vs. Wizards Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Boston Celtics-11.5 -105O 222.5 -110-600
Washington Wizards +11.5 -115U 222.5 -110+425

Wizards vs Celtics Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Celtics will win Tuesday‘s game with 72.0% confidence.

Wizards vs Celtics Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Celtics will cover the spread for Tuesday‘s game with 51.0% confidence.

These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Celtics and Wizards, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.


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  • The Boston Celtics have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 57 of their last 80 games (+31.37 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have covered the 1H Spread in 57 of their last 97 games (+13.10 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have covered the 2Q Spread in 54 of their last 94 games (+12.45 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have hit the 1H Moneyline in 18 of their last 22 games (+11.35 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 49 of their last 83 games (+11.31 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 57 of their last 82 games (+29.75 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 36 of their last 58 games (+11.77 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 20 of their last 29 games at home (+11.70 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have hit the 1H Moneyline in 18 of their last 30 games at home (+9.05 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 46 of their last 79 games (+8.28 Units / 9% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Celtics have gone 40-34 (+2.6 Units / 3.16% ROI).

  • 52-23 against the Moneyline (-21.35 Units / -8.27% ROI)
  • 38-37 against the Over for game total points (-2.7 Units / -3.27% ROI)
  • 37-38 against the Under for game total points (-4.8 Units / -5.82% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Wizards have gone 34-38 (-7.8 Units / -9.46% ROI).

  • 33-42 against the Moneyline (-3.15 Units / -2.97% ROI)
  • 35-38 against the Over for game total points (-6.8 Units / -8.24% ROI)
  • 38-35 against the Under for game total points (-0.5 Units / -0.61% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 25 of their last 82 games (-37.10 Units / -41% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 21 of their last 58 games (-20.10 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 33 of their last 79 games (-18.53 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 26 of their last 68 games (-17.31 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have only hit the Team Total Under in 31 of their last 73 games (-17.10 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 25 of their last 84 games (-41.68 Units / -44% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the Moneyline in 31 of their last 49 games (-31.45 Units / -17% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 49 of their last 96 games (-24.62 Units / -15% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 33 of their last 83 games (-22.31 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 41 of their last 87 games (-20.17 Units / -17% ROI)

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Boston Celtics: Keys to the Game vs. the Washington Wizards

The Boston Celtics are 46-21 (.687) when they win the turnover margin since the start of the 2021-22 season — third-best among NBA teams. The Portland Trail Blazers have averaged 14.5 turnovers per game (2,191 turnovers/151 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for eighth-highest among NBA teams.

The Boston Celtics are 57-15 (.792) when winning the rebounding margin since the start of the 2021-22 season — third-best among NBA teams. The Portland Trail Blazers have averaged 49.8 rebounds per game (7,518 rebounds/151 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — fourth-lowest among NBA teams.

The Celtics are 18-1 (.947) when shooting 50% or better from the field this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .734

The Celtics are 76-19 (.800) when scoring 110 or more points since the start of the 2021-22 season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .674

Washington Wizards: Keys to the Game vs. the Boston Celtics

The Wizards are 4-29 (.121) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .311

The Wizards are 24-24 (.500) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .540

The Wizards are 13-22 (.371) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2021-22 season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .545

The Wizards are 8-12 (.400) when their opponent attempts 25 or more free throws this season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .469

Injury Report: Wizards vs. CelticsTuesday‘s Game, Mar. 28

  • Bradley Beal (Wizards): Beal is OUT for Tuesday’s (Mar 28) game against Boston.
  • Monte Morris (Wizards): Morris is questionable for Tuesday’s (Mar 28) game against Boston.
  • Daniel Gafford (Wizards): Gafford is questionable for Tuesday’s (Mar 28) game against Boston.
  • Kyle Kuzma (Wizards): Kuzma is OUT for Tuesday’s (Mar 28) game against Boston.
  • Payton Pritchard (Celtics): Pritchard is probable for Tuesday’s (Mar. 28) game against Washington.
  • Danilo Gallinari (Celtics): Gallinari is hoping to return and play at the end of the season, according to Adam Himmelsbach of The Boston Globe.

Boston Celtics Offensive Stats & Trends

The Celtics have made 15.8 three-pointers per game this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.3

The Celtics have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.0 (1,835 assists/ 941 TOs) this season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Celtics have a TS% of 52% since the start of the 2021-22 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%

The Celtics have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.2 (980 assists/ 446 TOs) in the first half this season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

Washington Wizards Offensive Stats & Trends

The Wizards averaged 116.6 points per game (8,398 points/72 games) in the 2020-21 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 111.8

The Wizards have averaged 9.4 fast break points per game (687 points/73 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.6

The Wizards have averaged 10.3 fast break points per game (329 points/32 games) at home this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.3

The Wizards have made 11.3 three-pointers per game this season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.3

Boston Celtics Defensive Stats & Trends

The Celtics have averaged 37.8 defensive rebounds per game (2,648 rebounds/70 games) this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Celtics have averaged 37.7 defensive rebounds per game (5,733 rebounds/152 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.7

The Celtics have averaged 6.8 steals per game (1,035 steals/152 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Celtics have averaged 6.3 steals per game (444 steals/70 games) this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

Washington Wizards Defensive Stats & Trends

The Wizards have averaged 6.6 steals per game (990 steals/150 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Wizards have averaged 5.1 blocks per game (758 blocks/150 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Wizards have averaged 6.5 steals per game (474 steals/73 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Wizards have averaged 4.8 blocks per game (538 blocks/113 games) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.6


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