Clippers vs Pelicans Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Apr. 1

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Apr 01, 2023, 5:30 PM
  • The Pelicans are -3.5 favorites vs. the Clippers
  • Total (Over/Under): 225.5 points
  • Saturday, April 1, 2023 at 8:30pm EDT
  • Watch the game on BSNO & KTLA

The LA Clippers visit Smoothie King Center to take on the New Orleans Pelicans on Saturday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:30pm EDT in New Orleans.

The Pelicans are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-110).

The Clippers vs Pelicans Over/Under is 226.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Clippers are 39-39 against the spread, while the Pelicans are 37-39 against the spread.


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Clippers vs. Pelicans Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
LA Clippers+3.5 -110O 226.5 -115+135
New Orleans Pelicans -3.5 -110U 226.5 -115-160

Pelicans vs Clippers Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Pelicans will win Saturday‘s game with 55.0% confidence.

Pelicans vs Clippers Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Clippers will cover the spread for Saturday‘s game with 53.4% confidence.

These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Clippers and Pelicans, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.


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  • The LA Clippers have hit the 2H Moneyline in 53 of their last 82 games (+18.42 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The LA Clippers have covered the 3Q Spread in 50 of their last 82 games (+14.51 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The LA Clippers have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 22 of their last 30 away games (+13.04 Units / 39% ROI)
  • The LA Clippers have hit the Game Total Over in 22 of their last 31 away games (+12.10 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The LA Clippers have covered the 4Q Spread in 24 of their last 35 away games (+11.85 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 49 of their last 69 games (+26.70 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 29 of their last 37 games (+19.91 Units / 46% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the Team Total Under in 26 of their last 35 games (+15.25 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 45 of their last 73 games (+15.25 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 26 of their last 37 games (+14.30 Units / 35% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Clippers have gone 39-39 (-3.95 Units / -4.6% ROI).

  • 41-37 against the Moneyline (-11.15 Units / -7.63% ROI)
  • 36-42 against the Over for game total points (-10.2 Units / -11.89% ROI)
  • 42-36 against the Under for game total points (+2.4 Units / 2.8% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Pelicans have gone 37-39 (-5.9 Units / -6.97% ROI).

  • 39-38 against the Moneyline (-7.9 Units / -5.73% ROI)
  • 36-41 against the Over for game total points (-9.1 Units / -10.74% ROI)
  • 41-36 against the Under for game total points (+1.4 Units / 1.65% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 21 of their last 71 games (-36.06 Units / -44% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 12 of their last 45 games (-24.41 Units / -49% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 27 of their last 73 games (-22.55 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the Team Total Over in 14 of their last 45 games (-21.65 Units / -42% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 29 of their last 68 games (-20.18 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The LA Clippers have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 26 of their last 82 games (-49.25 Units / -44% ROI)
  • The LA Clippers have only covered the 2Q Spread in 27 of their last 82 games (-32.81 Units / -37% ROI)
  • The LA Clippers have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 31 of their last 80 games (-31.00 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The LA Clippers have only covered the 1H Spread in 30 of their last 80 games (-24.95 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The LA Clippers have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 23 of their last 61 games (-20.67 Units / -29% ROI)

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LA Clippers: Keys to the Game vs. the New Orleans Pelicans

The LA Clippers are 41-24 (.631) when they win the turnover margin since the start of the 2021-22 season — eighth-best among NBA teams. The Orlando Magic have averaged 14.8 turnovers per game (2,242 turnovers/152 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — fourth-highest among NBA teams.

The Clippers are 62-28 (.689) when scoring more second chance points than their opponent since the start of the 2020-21 season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .545

The Clippers are 18-12 (.600) when shooting 80% or better from the free throw line this season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .545

The Clippers are 32-6 (.842) when winning the rebounding margin by 10 or more since the start of the 2020-21 season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .773

New Orleans Pelicans: Keys to the Game vs. the LA Clippers

The New Orleans Pelicans are 8-20 (.286) when losing the rebounding margin this season — seventh-worst among NBA teams. The Los Angeles Lakers have averaged 54.0 rebounds per game (3,670 rebounds/68 games) this season — fifth-highest among NBA teams.

The New Orleans Pelicans are 18-40 (.310) when losing the rebounding margin since the start of the 2021-22 season — ninth-worst among NBA teams. The Los Angeles Lakers have averaged 53.3 rebounds per game (7,990 rebounds/150 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — sixth-highest among NBA teams.

The Pelicans are 11-20 (.355) when their opponent attempts 25 or more free throws this season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .469

The Pelicans are 8-20 (.286) when losing the rebounding margin this season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .369

Injury Report: Pelicans vs. ClippersSaturday‘s Game, Apr. 1

  • E.J. Liddell (Pelicans): Liddell is doing some light shooting and is making progress from a torn right ACL, according to Cody Taylor of The USA Today. He’s expected to miss most of the season.
  • Zion Williamson (Pelicans): The Pelicans announced that Williamson will be re-evaluated in two weeks.
  • Jose Alvarado (Pelicans): Alvardo played his last game (Feb.27), he will be re-examined in 2-3 weeks.
  • Brandon Boston Jr. (Clippers): Boston Jr. hasn’t played since Feb. 14 against Golden State and remains without a timetable to return.
  • Paul George (Clippers): George has a sprained right knee and will be re-evaluated in 2-3 weeks, according to Adrian Wojnarowski of ESPN.
  • Marcus Morris Sr. (Clippers): The Clippers have listed Morris Sr. as OUT for Friday’s game (Mar. 31) against the Grizzlies.

LA Clippers Offensive Stats & Trends

The Clippers shot 41% from three (1,027/2,498) in the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 37%

The Clippers are shooting 40% from three (1,494/3,771) at home since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Clippers have averaged 21.0 points in the paint per game (3,196 points/152 games) in the first half since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 24.9

The Clippers have averaged 43.3 points in the paint per game (9,700 points/224 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 48.3

New Orleans Pelicans Offensive Stats & Trends

The Pelicans have 24.7 free throw attempts per game this season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 23.7

The Pelicans have a 28% free throw rate (2,771 free throw attempts/9,804 field goal attempts) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 25%

The Pelicans have averaged 14.7 second chance points per game (2,200 points/150 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.4

The Pelicans have a 28% free throw rate (5,462 free throw attempts/19,581 field goal attempts) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 25%

LA Clippers Defensive Stats & Trends

The Clippers have averaged 36.6 defensive rebounds per game (8,190 rebounds/224 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36.0

The Clippers have averaged 36.1 defensive rebounds per game (2,529 rebounds/70 games) this season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Clippers have averaged 36.5 defensive rebounds per game (5,550 rebounds/152 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.8

The Clippers have averaged 5.0 blocks per game (384 blocks/77 games) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.6

New Orleans Pelicans Defensive Stats & Trends

The Pelicans have averaged 8.3 steals per game (1,252 steals/150 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Pelicans have 572 steals this season — tied for 3rd most among NBA teams

The Pelicans have averaged 8.4 steals per game (572 steals/68 games) this season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

The Pelicans have averaged 4.1 blocks per game (610 blocks/150 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.