Grizzlies vs Cavaliers Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Feb. 2

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 02, 2023, 4:30 PM
  • The Cavaliers (31-22) are -6.5 favorites vs. the Grizzlies (32-19)
  • Total (Over/Under): 223.5 points
  • Thursday, February 2, 2023 at 7:30pm EST
  • Watch the game on TNT & TNT

The Memphis Grizzlies visit Rocket Mortgage Fieldhouse to take on the Cleveland Cavaliers on Thursday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EST in Cleveland.

The Cavaliers are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -5.5 (-115).

The Grizzlies vs Cavaliers Over/Under is 222.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Grizzlies are 24-25 against the spread, while the Cavaliers are 25-24 against the spread.


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Grizzlies vs. Cavaliers Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Memphis Grizzlies+5.5 -105O 222.5 -115+185
Cleveland Cavaliers -5.5 -115U 222.5 -115-225

Cavaliers vs Grizzlies Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Cavaliers will win Thursday‘s game with 64.5% confidence.

Cavaliers vs Grizzlies Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Grizzlies will cover the spread for Thursday‘s game with 52.5% confidence.

These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Grizzlies and Cavaliers, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.


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  • The Memphis Grizzlies have covered the 1H Spread in 59 of their last 92 games (+24.10 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the 1H Moneyline in 63 of their last 92 games (+21.95 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 53 of their last 84 games (+18.11 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 53 of their last 87 games (+14.59 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 59 of their last 92 games (+11.90 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 21 of their last 28 games at home (+12.85 Units / 40% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 33 of their last 52 games (+11.62 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 25 of their last 39 games (+9.70 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the Moneyline in 21 of their last 27 games at home (+8.50 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 22 of their last 36 games (+7.65 Units / 19% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Grizzlies have gone 24-25 (-3.5 Units / -6.24% ROI).

  • 32-19 against the Moneyline (-2.5 Units / -1.93% ROI)
  • 22-27 against the Over for game total points (-7.7 Units / -13.73% ROI)
  • 27-22 against the Under for game total points (+2.8 Units / 4.99% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Cavaliers have gone 25-24 (-1.4 Units / -2.4% ROI).

  • 31-22 against the Moneyline (-3.15 Units / -2.87% ROI)
  • 24-29 against the Over for game total points (-7.9 Units / -13.55% ROI)
  • 29-24 against the Under for game total points (+2.6 Units / 4.46% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 33 of their last 79 games (-25.44 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 38 of their last 84 games (-23.35 Units / -18% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only covered the 3Q Spread in 32 of their last 81 games (-22.54 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 34 of their last 83 games (-21.29 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 20 of their last 55 games (-19.25 Units / -31% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 35 of their last 92 games (-40.10 Units / -33% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 31 of their last 84 games (-28.78 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 43 away games (-26.45 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 34 of their last 87 games (-26.00 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 18 of their last 48 away games (-25.31 Units / -35% ROI)

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Memphis Grizzlies: Keys to the Game vs. the Cleveland Cavaliers

The Memphis Grizzlies are 78-19 (.804) when winning the rebounding margin since the start of the 2021-22 season — sixth-best among NBA teams. The Sacramento Kings have averaged 42.6 rebounds per game (5,415 rebounds/127 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — fourth-lowest among NBA teams.

The Grizzlies are 17-4 (.810) when allowing 15 or more second chance points this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .472

The Grizzlies are 16-3 (.842) when allowing 12 or more offensive rebounds this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .515

The Grizzlies are 35-12 (.745) when allowing 12 or more offensive rebounds since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .507

Cleveland Cavaliers: Keys to the Game vs. the Memphis Grizzlies

The Cavaliers are 1-19 (.050) when allowing an eFG of 60% or better since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .157

The Cavaliers are 41-20 (.672) when they win the turnover margin since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .576

The Cavaliers are 36-35 (.507) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2020-21 season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .541

The Cavaliers are 12-22 (.353) when their opponent attempts 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2021-22 season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .460

Injury Report: Cavaliers vs. GrizzliesThursday‘s Game, Feb. 2

  • Dylan Windler (Cavaliers): Windler hasn’t played this season and he remains out indefinitely.
  • Steven Adams (Grizzlies): Adams will be sidelined three to five weeks after sustaining a PCL sprain in his right knee per Grizzlies PR twitter.
  • John Konchar (Grizzlies): Konchar did not play in Wednesday’s (Feb 1) game against Portland.

Memphis Grizzlies Offensive Stats & Trends

The Grizzlies have averaged 13.9 offensive rebounds per game (1,776 rebounds/128 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 10.4

The Grizzlies have averaged 12.9 offensive rebounds per game (2,579 rebounds/200 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 10.2

The Grizzlies have averaged 28.3 points in the paint per game (5,654 points/200 games) in the second half since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 23.1

The Grizzlies have averaged 58.2 points in the paint per game (7,450 points/128 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 48.2

Cleveland Cavaliers Offensive Stats & Trends

The Cavaliers averaged 102.5 points per game (7,379 points/72 games) in the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 111.8

The Cavaliers shot 34% from three (714/2,125) in the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 37%

The Cavaliers have averaged 1.39 points per shot (2,605 points/1,873 shots) in the second half this season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.31

The Cavaliers have averaged 1.32 points per shot (5,361 points/4,047 shots) this season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.30

Memphis Grizzlies Defensive Stats & Trends

The Grizzlies have averaged 6.9 blocks per game (439 blocks/64 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8

The Grizzlies have averaged 6.3 blocks per game (628 blocks/100 games) at home since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

The Grizzlies have averaged 6.4 blocks per game (814 blocks/128 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Grizzlies have averaged 9.1 steals per game (1,166 steals/128 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

Cleveland Cavaliers Defensive Stats & Trends

The Cavaliers have averaged 4.2 blocks per game (201 blocks/48 games) this season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Cavaliers have averaged 4.3 blocks per game (435 blocks/102 games) at home since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

The Cavaliers have averaged 6.5 steals per game (312 steals/48 games) this season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

The Cavaliers have averaged 4.3 blocks per game (863 blocks/202 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.