Grizzlies vs Hawks Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Mar. 23

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  • Total (Over/Under): Total points
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The Memphis Grizzlies visit State Farm Arena to take on the Atlanta Hawks on Monday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:30 pm in Atlanta, GA.

The are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().

The Grizzlies vs Hawks Over/Under is total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Grizzlies are 32-37 against the spread, while the Hawks are 38-33 against the spread.


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Grizzlies vs. Hawks Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Memphis Grizzlies O
Atlanta Hawks U

Hawks vs Grizzlies Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Hawks will win Monday‘s game with 79.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Grizzlies and Hawks.

Hawks vs Grizzlies Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Grizzlies will cover the spread for Monday‘s game with 70.0% confidence.


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  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 25 of their last 45 away games (+12.50 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have covered the 1H Spread in 15 of their last 18 away games (+11.60 Units / 57% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the Game Total Under in 28 of their last 45 away games (+9.30 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the 1H Moneyline in 10 of their last 18 away games (+9.15 Units / 50% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have covered the 1Q Spread in 16 of their last 23 away games (+9.10 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 29 of their last 40 games at home (+16.65 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the 2H Moneyline in 17 of their last 21 games at home (+13.35 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 25 games (+11.80 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the 1H Moneyline in 23 of their last 40 games (+9.50 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the 2H Game Total Under in 13 of their last 16 games (+9.46 Units / 51% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Grizzlies have gone 32-37 (-8.7 Units / -11.46% ROI).

  • 23-46 against the Moneyline (-26.75 Units / -30.59% ROI)
  • 33-36 against the Over for game total points (-6.6 Units / -8.7% ROI)
  • 36-33 against the Under for game total points (-0.3 Units / -0.4% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Hawks have gone 38-33 (+1.75 Units / 2.24% ROI).

  • 39-32 against the Moneyline (+4.45 Units / 3.23% ROI)
  • 35-36 against the Over for game total points (-4.6 Units / -5.89% ROI)
  • 36-35 against the Under for game total points (-2.5 Units / -3.2% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 11 of their last 40 games at home (-22.55 Units / -48% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the 2H Game Total Over in 17 of their last 45 games (-14.95 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 21 of their last 50 games (-13.60 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 15 of their last 40 games at home (-13.60 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only covered the 3Q Spread in 21 of their last 50 games (-12.50 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 2 of their last 20 away games (-16.05 Units / -75% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 40 away games (-15.85 Units / -36% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 17 of their last 45 away games (-15.40 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the Game Total Over in 17 of their last 45 away games (-13.80 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only covered the 2H Spread in 5 of their last 20 away games (-12.62 Units / -54% ROI)

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Memphis Grizzlies: Keys to the Game vs. the Atlanta Hawks

The Grizzlies were winless (0-19) when allowing an eFG of 60% or better in the 2023-24 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .142

The Grizzlies are 9-23 (.281) when allowing 15 or more fastbreak points this season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .430

The Grizzlies were undefeated (10-0) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .627

The Grizzlies were 3-27 (.100) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three in the 2023-24 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .317

Atlanta Hawks: Keys to the Game vs. the Memphis Grizzlies

The Hawks are winless (0-5) when scoring fewer than 10 fastbreak points this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .372

The Hawks are 23-7 (.767) when winning the rebounding margin this season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .647

The Hawks are 21-31 (.404) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .554

The Hawks are winless (0-6) when assisting on fewer than 20 field goals since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .232

Memphis Grizzlies Offensive Stats & Trends

The Grizzlies had an eFG% of 51% in the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 55%

The Grizzlies averaged 105.8 points per game (8,677 points/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 114.3

The Grizzlies shot 43% (1,551/3,600) at home in the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 48%

The Grizzlies averaged 1.20 points per shot (8,677 points/7,230 shots) in the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.28

Atlanta Hawks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Hawks have averaged 30.3 assists per game (2,151 assists/71 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 26.6

The Hawks are shooting 44% from three (127/289) in close and late situations this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 34%

The Hawks have averaged 10.4 fast break points per game (737 points/71 games) in the first half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.9

The Hawks averaged 5.3 assists per game (336 assists/63 games) in close and late situations last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.2

Memphis Grizzlies Defensive Stats & Trends

The Grizzlies have allowed 17.6 second chance points per game (1,230 points/70 games) this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 15.0

The Grizzlies averaged 36.8 defensive rebounds per game (3,017 rebounds/82 games) last season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3

The Grizzlies averaged 34.0 defensive rebounds per game (2,785 rebounds/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Grizzlies averaged 5.6 blocks per game (462 blocks/82 games) last season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

Atlanta Hawks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Hawks averaged 35.0 defensive rebounds per game (2,868 rebounds/82 games) last season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3

The Hawks have allowed an eFG% of 48% in close and late situations this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 53%

The Hawks allowed opponents to shoot 41% from three (571/1,405) in the second half in the 2023-24 season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 36%

The Hawks have averaged 9.9 steals per game (766 steals/77 games) on the road since the start of the 2024-25 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.4


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.