Memphis Grizzlies vs Orlando Magic Prediction, Odds, Lines, Team Props – NBA, Jan. 5

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jan 05, 2023, 4:30 PM
  • The Grizzlies (24-13) are -7.5 favorites vs. the Magic (14-24)
  • Total (Over/Under): 231.5 points
  • Thursday, January 5, 2023 at 7:00pm EST
  • Watch the game on BSFL & BSSE

The Memphis Grizzlies visit Amway Center to take on the Orlando Magic on Thursday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in Orlando.

The Grizzlies are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (-115).

The Grizzlies vs Magic Over/Under is 230.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Grizzlies are 19-16 against the spread, while the Magic are 20-16 against the spread.


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Grizzlies vs. Magic Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Memphis Grizzlies-6.5 -115O 230.5 -105-250
Orlando Magic +6.5 -105U 230.5 -105+200

Magic vs Grizzlies Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Grizzlies will win Thursday‘s game with 66.5% confidence.

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Grizzlies will cover the spread for Thursday‘s game with 57.5% confidence.

These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Grizzlies and Magic, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.


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  • The Memphis Grizzlies have covered the 1H Spread in 60 of their last 92 games (+25.95 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the 1H Moneyline in 63 of their last 92 games (+24.60 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 58 of their last 84 games (+24.40 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have covered the 1Q Spread in 50 of their last 78 games (+20.80 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have covered the Spread in 54 of their last 92 games (+15.50 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Orlando Magic have hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 13 games (+17.50 Units / 116% ROI)
  • The Orlando Magic have covered the 4Q Spread in 27 of their last 37 games at home (+16.15 Units / 40% ROI)
  • The Orlando Magic have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 21 of their last 30 games (+14.07 Units / 45% ROI)
  • The Orlando Magic have covered the 1Q Spread in 34 of their last 58 games (+9.00 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Orlando Magic have covered the Spread in 11 of their last 14 games (+7.70 Units / 50% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Grizzlies have gone 19-16 (+1.4 Units / 3.44% ROI).

  • 24-13 against the Moneyline (+1.1 Units / 1.34% ROI)
  • 16-20 against the Over for game total points (-6 Units / -14.74% ROI)
  • 20-16 against the Under for game total points (+2.4 Units / 5.9% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Magic have gone 20-16 (+2.4 Units / 5.74% ROI).

  • 14-24 against the Moneyline (+9.05 Units / 21.86% ROI)
  • 20-18 against the Over for game total points (+0.2 Units / 0.48% ROI)
  • 18-20 against the Under for game total points (-4 Units / -9.57% ROI)
  • The Orlando Magic have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 26 of their last 80 games (-22.69 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Orlando Magic have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 14 of their last 51 games (-20.49 Units / -38% ROI)
  • The Orlando Magic have only covered the 3Q Spread in 34 of their last 80 games (-17.37 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The Orlando Magic have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 35 of their last 81 games (-17.24 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The Orlando Magic have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 26 of their last 75 games (-15.23 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 33 of their last 87 games (-37.45 Units / -33% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 37 of their last 92 games (-25.33 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 27 of their last 73 games (-25.07 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only covered the 4Q Spread in 35 of their last 87 games (-22.65 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 33 of their last 85 games (-22.60 Units / -24% ROI)

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Memphis Grizzlies: Keys to the Game vs. the Orlando Magic

The Memphis Grizzlies are 4-16 (.200) when losing the rebounding margin since the start of the 2021-22 season — ninth-worst among NBA teams. The New Orleans Pelicans have averaged 45.2 rebounds per game (4,291 rebounds/95 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — sixth-highest among NBA teams.

The Grizzlies are 64-34 (.653) when they win the turnover margin since the start of the 2020-21 season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .567

The Grizzlies are 54-10 (.844) when scoring 110 or more points since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .704

The Grizzlies are 37-21 (.638) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2020-21 season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .549

Orlando Magic: Keys to the Game vs. the Memphis Grizzlies

The Magic are 10-38 (.208) when their opponent attempts 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .451

The Magic are 1-25 (.038) when allowing their opponent to shoot 50% or better from the field since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .198

The Magic are 13-25 (.342) when scoring 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .539

The Magic are 9-32 (.220) when scoring fewer than 10 fastbreak points since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .427

Injury Report: Magic vs. GrizzliesThursday‘s Game, Jan. 5

  • Jonathan Isaac (Magic): Isaac has yet to play in the preseason as he recovers from knee and leg injuries.
  • Bol Bol (Magic): The Magic placed Bol in the league’s health and safety protocols.
  • Chuma Okeke (Magic): Okeke underwent an arthroscopic procedure on his knee and is expected to be out at least a month, according to Adrian Wojnarowski of ESPN.
  • Jalen Suggs (Magic): Suggs is questionable for Thursday’s (Jan. 5) game against Memphis.
  • Danny Green (Grizzlies): The 76ers announced that Green has a torn ACL and LCL in his left knee.
  • Brandon Clarke (Grizzlies): Clarke did not play in Wednesday’s (Jan. 4) game against Charlotte.

Memphis Grizzlies Offensive Stats & Trends

The Grizzlies have averaged 27.9 points in the paint per game (4,632 points/166 games) in the second half since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 22.9

The Grizzlies have averaged 56.5 points in the paint per game (5,372 points/95 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 47.3

The Grizzlies have averaged 57.1 points in the paint per game (2,686 points/47 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 47.8

The Grizzlies have averaged 56.7 points in the paint per game (4,760 points/84 games) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 47.1

Orlando Magic Offensive Stats & Trends

The Magic are shooting 43% (3,210/7,483) in the first half since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%

The Magic are shooting 43% (6,411/14,735) since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 46%

The Magic have averaged 1.18 points per shot (17,452 points/14,735 shots) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.26

The Magic have averaged 1.17 points per shot (8,563 points/7,317 shots) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.25

Memphis Grizzlies Defensive Stats & Trends

The Grizzlies have averaged 9.2 steals per game (1,535 steals/167 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6

The Grizzlies have averaged 6.1 blocks per game (294 blocks/48 games) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.6

The Grizzlies have averaged 9.3 steals per game (880 steals/95 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6

The Grizzlies have averaged 9.1 steals per game (428 steals/47 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6

Orlando Magic Defensive Stats & Trends

The Magic have averaged 36.4 defensive rebounds per game (473 rebounds/13 games) this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.3

The Magic have averaged 6.6 steals per game (629 steals/95 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6

The Magic have averaged 5.8 steals per game (75 steals/13 games) this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4

The Magic have averaged 6.5 steals per game (305 steals/47 games) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6


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