Grizzlies vs Mavericks Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Feb. 27

• The – are favorites vs. the –
• Total (Over/Under): Total points
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The Memphis Grizzlies visit American Airlines Center to take on the Dallas Mavericks on Friday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:30 pm in Dallas, TX.

The – are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().

The Grizzlies vs Mavericks Over/Under is total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Grizzlies are 25-32 against the spread, while the Mavericks are 26-32 against the spread.

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Grizzlies vs. Mavericks Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

Mavericks vs Grizzlies Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Mavericks will win Friday‘s game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Grizzlies and Mavericks.

Mavericks vs Grizzlies Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Grizzlies will cover the spread for Friday‘s game with 51.0% confidence.

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Grizzlies Best Bets for Tonight:

• The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 22 of their last 40 away games (+11.20 Units / 24% ROI)
• The Memphis Grizzlies have covered the 1H Spread in their last 10 away games (+10.00 Units / 88% ROI)
• The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the Team Total Over in 26 of their last 40 games (+9.75 Units / 21% ROI)
• The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 14 of their last 18 games (+9.45 Units / 47% ROI)
• The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 14 of their last 24 games (+9.30 Units / 36% ROI)

Mavericks Best Bets for Tonight:

• The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 26 of their last 35 games (+15.45 Units / 37% ROI)
• The Dallas Mavericks have covered the 2H Spread in 33 of their last 50 games (+13.44 Units / 23% ROI)
• The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 2H Moneyline in 26 of their last 50 games (+10.15 Units / 18% ROI)
• The Dallas Mavericks have hit the Team Total Over in 26 of their last 40 games (+9.75 Units / 21% ROI)
• The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 28 of their last 50 games (+9.70 Units / 18% ROI)

Memphis Grizzlies Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Grizzlies have gone 25-32 (-10.2 Units / -16.27% ROI).

• 21-36 against the Moneyline (-19.4 Units / -25.75% ROI)
• 28-29 against the Over for game total points (-3.9 Units / -6.22% ROI)
• 29-28 against the Under for game total points (-1.8 Units / -2.87% ROI)

Dallas Mavericks Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Mavericks have gone 26-32 (-9.25 Units / -14.49% ROI).

• 21-37 against the Moneyline (-10.95 Units / -14.6% ROI)
• 27-31 against the Over for game total points (-7.1 Units / -11.13% ROI)
• 31-27 against the Under for game total points (+1.3 Units / 2.04% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Mavericks:

• The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 15 of their last 50 games (-20.95 Units / -37% ROI)
• The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 9 of their last 35 games (-20.10 Units / -51% ROI)
• The Dallas Mavericks have only covered the 1Q Spread in 19 of their last 50 games (-16.60 Units / -29% ROI)
• The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the Team Total Under in 14 of their last 40 games (-15.75 Units / -34% ROI)
• The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 14 of their last 40 games at home (-14.85 Units / -32% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Grizzlies:

• The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 30 games (-19.50 Units / -46% ROI)
• The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 7 of their last 30 games (-17.33 Units / -47% ROI)
• The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the Team Total Under in 14 of their last 40 games (-15.65 Units / -34% ROI)
• The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 13 of their last 40 away games (-12.90 Units / -25% ROI)
• The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 10 of their last 30 games (-12.05 Units / -35% ROI)

Jump to:

• Keys to Winning for the Memphis Grizzlies
• Keys to Winning for the Dallas Mavericks
• Player Injuries for Memphis Grizzlies vs. Dallas Mavericks
• Memphis Grizzlies Offensive stats
• Dallas Mavericks Offensive stats
• Memphis Grizzlies Defensive stats
• Dallas Mavericks Defensive stats

Memphis Grizzlies: Keys to the Game vs. the Dallas Mavericks

The Grizzlies are winless (0-15) when allowing their opponent to shoot 50% or better from the field this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .215

The Grizzlies are 3-13 (.188) when forcing fewer than 5 steals since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .388

The Grizzlies are 5-18 (.217) when their opponent attempts 25 or more free throws this season — 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .449

The Grizzlies were 7-1 (.875) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .455

Dallas Mavericks: Keys to the Game vs. the Memphis Grizzlies

The Mavericks are 8-21 (.276) when allowing 15 or more fastbreak points this season — 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .437

The Mavericks were 34-12 (.739) when scoring 15 or more fastbreak points in the 2023-24 season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .566

The Mavericks were 14-6 (.700) when forcing 10 or more steals last season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .611

The Mavericks are undefeated (22-0) when allowing fewer than 100 points since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: .911

Memphis Grizzlies Offensive Stats & Trends

The Grizzlies shot 43% (3,145/7,230) in the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%

The Grizzlies had a TS% of 48% in the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 52%

The Grizzlies had an eFG% of 51% in the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 55%

The Grizzlies averaged 11.6 fast break points per game (950 points/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.4

Dallas Mavericks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Mavericks had an assist to turnover ratio of 2.5 (240 assists/ 95 TOs) in close and late situations in the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Mavericks are shooting 33% from three (306/921) in the first half this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Mavericks have averaged 19.4 fast break points per game (600 points/31 games) at home this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 15.3

The Mavericks have made 10.7 three-pointers per game this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.3

Memphis Grizzlies Defensive Stats & Trends

The Grizzlies averaged 34.0 defensive rebounds per game (2,785 rebounds/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Grizzlies averaged 5.6 blocks per game (462 blocks/82 games) last season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

The Grizzlies allowed opponents to shoot 41% (370/903) in close and late situations in the 2023-24 season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 46%

The Grizzlies blocked 501 shots in the 2023-24 season — 4th most among NBA teams

Dallas Mavericks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Mavericks have averaged 37.2 defensive rebounds per game (2,155 rebounds/58 games) this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.0

The Mavericks averaged 5.4 blocks per game (445 blocks/82 games) last season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

The Mavericks have averaged 36.0 defensive rebounds per game (8,001 rebounds/222 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Mavericks have averaged 7.6 steals per game (439 steals/58 games) this season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.5

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