Grizzlies vs Mavericks Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Mar. 13

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 13, 2023, 5:30 PM
  • The Grizzlies (40-26) are -1.5 favorites vs. the Mavericks (34-34)
  • Total (Over/Under): 224.5 points
  • Monday, March 13, 2023 at 7:30pm EDT
  • Watch the game on BSSW & BSSE

The Memphis Grizzlies visit American Airlines Center to take on the Dallas Mavericks on Monday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EDT in Dallas.

The Grizzlies are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-110).

The Grizzlies vs Mavericks Over/Under is 224.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Grizzlies are 31-33 against the spread, while the Mavericks are 24-41 against the spread.


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Grizzlies vs. Mavericks Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Memphis Grizzlies-1.5 -110O 224.5 -110-120
Dallas Mavericks +1.5 -110U 224.5 -110+100

Mavericks vs Grizzlies Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Mavericks will win Monday‘s game with 53.4% confidence.

Mavericks vs Grizzlies Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Mavericks will cover the spread for Monday‘s game with 52.8% confidence.

These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Grizzlies and Mavericks, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.


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  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 54 of their last 82 games (+22.50 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the 1H Moneyline in 44 of their last 59 games (+21.55 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have covered the 1H Spread in 56 of their last 89 games (+21.15 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have covered the 1Q Spread in 43 of their last 72 games (+12.65 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 47 of their last 78 games (+12.48 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 18 of their last 26 games at home (+9.15 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 37 of their last 63 games (+8.35 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 2H Moneyline in 12 of their last 18 games (+7.88 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 9 of their last 10 games (+7.78 Units / 69% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the Game Total Over in 22 of their last 36 games at home (+7.70 Units / 19% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Grizzlies have gone 31-33 (-5.3 Units / -7.3% ROI).

  • 40-26 against the Moneyline (-1.65 Units / -1.01% ROI)
  • 27-36 against the Over for game total points (-12.6 Units / -17.36% ROI)
  • 36-27 against the Under for game total points (+6.3 Units / 8.68% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Mavericks have gone 24-41 (-21.05 Units / -28.16% ROI).

  • 34-34 against the Moneyline (-21.15 Units / -14.3% ROI)
  • 37-30 against the Over for game total points (+4 Units / 5.35% ROI)
  • 30-37 against the Under for game total points (-10.7 Units / -14.3% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 21 of their last 59 games (-29.89 Units / -35% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the Moneyline in 35 of their last 73 games (-24.70 Units / -16% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only covered the Spread in 25 of their last 73 games (-24.45 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only covered the 2Q Spread in 20 of their last 59 games (-23.35 Units / -36% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 33 of their last 83 games (-22.44 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 35 of their last 92 games (-37.94 Units / -32% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 30 of their last 86 games (-33.54 Units / -34% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only covered the 4Q Spread in 23 of their last 70 games (-28.91 Units / -37% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 44 away games (-26.50 Units / -32% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 12 of their last 35 games (-24.91 Units / -42% ROI)

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Memphis Grizzlies: Keys to the Game vs. the Dallas Mavericks

The Memphis Grizzlies are 3-12 (.200) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three this season — tied for seventh-worst among NBA teams. The Denver Nuggets has shot 39% from three (742/1,882) this season — best among NBA teams.

The Memphis Grizzlies are 24-7 (.774) when they win the turnover margin this season — third-best among NBA teams. The Denver Nuggets have averaged 14.3 turnovers per game (856 turnovers/60 games) this season — tied for sixth-highest among NBA teams.

The Memphis Grizzlies are 59-23 (.720) when they win the turnover margin since the start of the 2021-22 season — third-best among NBA teams. The Denver Nuggets have averaged 14.0 turnovers per game (1,991 turnovers/142 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for fourth-highest among NBA teams.

The Grizzlies are 40-21 (.656) when allowing 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .461

Dallas Mavericks: Keys to the Game vs. the Memphis Grizzlies

The Mavericks are 36-19 (.655) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2020-21 season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .550

The Mavericks are 20-5 (.800) when scoring 15 or more fastbreak points since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .566

The Mavericks are 43-38 (.531) when allowing 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2020-21 season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .457

The Mavericks are 44-22 (.667) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .539

Injury Report: Mavericks vs. GrizzliesMonday‘s Game, Mar. 13

  • Luka Doncic (Mavericks): Doncic is out for Monday’s (Mar. 13) game against Memphis.
  • Kyrie Irving (Mavericks): Irving is questionable for Monday’s (Mar. 13) game against Memphis.
  • Vince Williams Jr. (Grizzlies): Williams Jr. is out for Monday’s (Mar. 13) game against Dallas.
  • Steven Adams (Grizzlies): The Grizzlies announced that Adams continues to recover and will be re-evaluated in about four weeks.
  • Brandon Clarke (Grizzlies): Clarke will miss the rest of the season with a left Achilles tear, according to Adrian Wojnarowski of ESPN.
  • Jake LaRavia (Grizzlies): LaRavia is out for Monday’s (Mar. 13) game against Dallas.

Memphis Grizzlies Offensive Stats & Trends

The Grizzlies have a TS% of 43% in close and late situations this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 49%

The Grizzlies have averaged 28.3 points in the paint per game (6,006 points/212 games) in the second half since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 23.2

The Grizzlies have averaged 17.0 second chance points per game (1,798 points/106 games) at home since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.4

The Grizzlies have averaged 60.0 points in the paint per game (4,200 points/70 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 48.9

Dallas Mavericks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Mavericks have averaged 39.7 points in the paint per game (1,232 points/31 games) on the road this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 49.7

The Mavericks have averaged 12.3 turnovers per game (1,333 turnovers/108 games) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.9

The Mavericks have averaged 11.9 turnovers per game (883 turnovers/74 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.9

The Mavericks have averaged 9.2 fast break points per game (286 points/31 games) on the road this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.5

Memphis Grizzlies Defensive Stats & Trends

The Grizzlies have averaged 9.4 steals per game (655 steals/70 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Grizzlies have averaged 9.1 steals per game (1,939 steals/212 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Grizzlies have averaged 9.2 steals per game (1,284 steals/140 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Grizzlies have averaged 6.8 blocks per game (479 blocks/70 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8

Dallas Mavericks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Mavericks have averaged 3.7 blocks per game (272 blocks/74 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8

The Mavericks have averaged 6.6 steals per game (970 steals/146 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Mavericks have averaged 3.9 blocks per game (563 blocks/146 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Mavericks have averaged 6.5 steals per game (418 steals/64 games) this season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.