Grizzlies vs Mavericks Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Mar. 7

  • The are favorites vs. the
  • Total (Over/Under): Total points
  • Watch the game on ESPN | FDSM | KFAA

The Memphis Grizzlies visit American Airlines Center to take on the Dallas Mavericks on Friday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EST in Dallas, TX, USA.

The are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().

The Grizzlies vs Mavericks Over/Under is total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Grizzlies are 35-26 against the spread, while the Mavericks are 30-31 against the spread.


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Grizzlies vs. Mavericks Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Memphis Grizzlies O
Dallas Mavericks U

Mavericks vs Grizzlies Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Grizzlies will win Friday‘s game with 80.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Grizzlies and Mavericks.

Mavericks vs Grizzlies Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Grizzlies will cover the spread for Friday‘s game with 61.8% confidence.


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  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the Team Total Over in 50 of their last 77 games (+18.75 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the Game Total Over in 40 of their last 64 games (+13.60 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have covered the 1Q Spread in 41 of their last 69 games (+13.05 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the Moneyline in 36 of their last 57 games (+11.55 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 19 of their last 26 away games (+11.00 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 26 of their last 35 games at home (+16.75 Units / 42% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 34 of their last 50 games at home (+16.70 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have covered the 4Q Spread in 58 of their last 98 games (+16.33 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the Moneyline in 57 of their last 100 games (+13.95 Units / 6% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 23 of their last 32 games at home (+13.90 Units / 38% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Grizzlies have gone 35-26 (+6.4 Units / 9.4% ROI).

  • 38-24 against the Moneyline (+4.05 Units / 3.09% ROI)
  • 38-24 against the Over for game total points (+11.6 Units / 17.01% ROI)
  • 24-38 against the Under for game total points (-17.8 Units / -26.1% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Mavericks have gone 30-31 (-4.1 Units / -5.92% ROI).

  • 32-31 against the Moneyline (+5.4 Units / 4.01% ROI)
  • 32-31 against the Over for game total points (-2.1 Units / -3.03% ROI)
  • 31-32 against the Under for game total points (-4.2 Units / -6.06% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 41 of their last 100 games (-26.37 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 15 of their last 50 games at home (-24.27 Units / -42% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 23 of their last 50 games at home (-19.50 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 17 of their last 49 games at home (-18.63 Units / -33% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the Game Total Over in 44 of their last 100 games (-17.60 Units / -16% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the Team Total Under in 27 of their last 77 games (-30.22 Units / -34% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 7 of their last 28 games (-23.15 Units / -50% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the Game Total Under in 31 of their last 78 games (-20.70 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 5 of their last 24 games (-17.60 Units / -53% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only covered the 1H Spread in 8 of their last 30 games (-17.35 Units / -50% ROI)

Jump to:

Memphis Grizzlies: Keys to the Game vs. the Dallas Mavericks

The Grizzlies are undefeated (5-0) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points this season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: .455

The Grizzlies are 1-7 (.125) when forcing fewer than 5 steals since the start of the 2023-24 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .386

The Grizzlies were 3-27 (.100) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three last season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .317

The Grizzlies were 7-43 (.140) when allowing 110 or more points last season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .339

Dallas Mavericks: Keys to the Game vs. the Memphis Grizzlies

The Mavericks are 40-11 (.784) when shooting 40% or better from three since the start of the 2023-24 season — 9th-best in the NBA. The Grizzlies have allowed opponents to shoot 37% from three since the start of the 2023-24 season — 7th-worst in the NBA.

The Mavericks were 41-27 (.603) when grabbing 12 or more offensive rebounds last season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .487

The Mavericks are 38-32 (.543) when allowing 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .448

The Mavericks are undefeated (8-0) when winning the rebounding margin by 10 or more this season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: .743

Memphis Grizzlies Offensive Stats & Trends

The Grizzlies averaged 105.8 points per game (8,677 points/82 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 114.3

The Grizzlies shot 43% (3,145/7,230) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%

The Grizzlies had a TS% of 48% last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 52%

The Grizzlies have averaged 58.5 points in the paint per game (1,872 points/32 games) at home this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 49.2

Dallas Mavericks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Mavericks had an assist to turnover ratio of 2.5 (240 assists/ 95 TOs) in close and late situations last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Mavericks averaged 15.4 offensive rebounds per game (1,263 rebounds/82 games) last season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 16.2

The Mavericks have averaged 25.3 assists per game (1,595 assists/63 games) this season — tied for 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 26.5

The Mavericks averaged 119.2 points per game (9,772 points/82 games) last season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 114.3

Memphis Grizzlies Defensive Stats & Trends

The Grizzlies averaged 6.1 blocks per game (501 blocks/82 games) last season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

The Grizzlies have averaged 6.2 blocks per game (439 blocks/71 games) on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.0

The Grizzlies have allowed 19.4 offensive rebounds per game (1,202 rebounds/62 games) this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 17.1

The Grizzlies have blocked 864 shots since the start of the 2023-24 season — 4th most among NBA teams

Dallas Mavericks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Mavericks averaged 36.0 defensive rebounds per game (2,951 rebounds/82 games) last season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Mavericks averaged 7.0 steals per game (572 steals/82 games) last season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Mavericks have averaged 5.8 blocks per game (367 blocks/63 games) this season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.0

The Mavericks have blocked 782 shots since the start of the 2023-24 season — 9th most among NBA teams


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.